Ginx snewx Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 I'm liking MLK ands beyond for the fresh reload. Next week is cold, week after mild,MLK week cold and snowy.good call it appears. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 I like the lack of spread on the 00z gefs for the -EPO ridge to return off the W coast around the 18th, along with a Hudson Bay vortex. Next 5-7 days of model runs ...are crucial...hope it holds that time frame and doesnt back off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Sounds like Ventrice got ahold of this account Weather Advance @WeatherAdvance1h Most indicators like eq zonal wind, EPO, AO, ENSO, & PDO analogs suggest winter may go down in flames, blowtorch Feb? pic.twitter.com/N79W9t60mI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Sounds like Ventrice got ahold of this account Weather Advance @WeatherAdvance1h Most indicators like eq zonal wind, EPO, AO, ENSO, & PDO analogs suggest winter may go down in flames, blowtorch Feb? pic.twitter.com/N79W9t60mI Cue Wiz's May 1st countdown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 What's amazing to me is when the big time torch before reload happened 20 years ago, all the "credible" long rangers said winter was over. That busted and busted badly. I remember reading a piece in the NYT on the way to work back in those days when I was working near the north end and had to take the T in but I felt relaxed because then as now, I knew it was only a temporary change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Can someone run others winter months with those parameters? Tyia. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Sounds like Ventrice got ahold of this account Weather Advance @WeatherAdvance1h Most indicators like eq zonal wind, EPO, AO, ENSO, & PDO analogs suggest winter may go down in flames, blowtorch Feb? pic.twitter.com/N79W9t60mI I don't buy that at all. It looks to be like we're going to see a pretty solid cold reload into Canada and probably the northenr CONUS for the latter part of January....which by default will tend to leak right over into at least early February. It's still quite a ways out, but reloading the AK ridge and keeping the PV on our side tells me we're not done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 The Euro says take a break for the next 10 days before a rainer starts a potential shift back to at least brief cold at the end of the period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 I don't buy that at all. It looks to be like we're going to see a pretty solid cold reload into Canada and probably the northenr CONUS for the latter part of January....which by default will tend to leak right over into at least early February. It's still quite a ways out, but reloading the AK ridge and keeping the PV on our side tells me we're not done. It looks like Jan 18th or so we flip back to normal cold and the last week or so of the month looks very cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols1989 Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 OES potential signal is big at least within the next 72 hours or so. Where it does snow it will be heavy as CAPE values produce good snowfall rates in convection. If a band can develop over the islands and pivot into CHH we may get a few inches, global models produce more of a southwest flow than the NAM, GFS produces an inch of snow for CHH. Its all convective precip too, which means CAPE values are probably high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Sounds like Ventrice got ahold of this account Weather Advance @WeatherAdvance1h Most indicators like eq zonal wind, EPO, AO, ENSO, & PDO analogs suggest winter may go down in flames, blowtorch Feb? pic.twitter.com/N79W9t60mI -EPO majestic Florida cold and NE warm, yeah OK Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Yeah agree. If anything I wouldn't be shocked at the AO trying to flip too in Feb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols1989 Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Scott what are your thoughts on the OES potential for Monday night into Tuesday night? GFS is more robust, shows potential for an inch or more of OES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 James, start a thread on cape Oes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 -EPO majestic Florida cold and NE warm, yeah OKJust keep the polar vortex on THIS side and w warm anomalies in GOA ill take my chances. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Definitely looking more favorable as we get out into d10-14, but until then it could be pretty boring after this upcoming cold shot. Until then hopefully heavy, heavy Pats. Next Saturday's divisional game could actually be quite pleasant wx wise compared to the games this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Definitely looking more favorable as we get out into d10-14, but until then it could be pretty boring after this upcoming cold shot. Until then hopefully heavy, heavy Pats. Next Saturday's divisional game could actually be quite pleasant wx wise compared to the games this weekend.things have a way of popping up this year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Definitely looking more favorable as we get out into d10-14, but until then it could be pretty boring after this upcoming cold shot. Until then hopefully heavy, heavy Pats. Next Saturday's divisional game could actually be quite pleasant wx wise compared to the games this weekend. Are you forgetting the end of week storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Are you forgetting the end of week storm? North of pike deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 North of pike deal. What happened to snow/ice south? It's gone? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 What happened to snow/ice south? It's gone? Nope still there, but it could be better north in terms of snow. Maybe snow to ice or something for you..but it still is far out and models aren't agreeing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Nope still there, but it could be better north in terms of snow. Maybe snow to ice or something for you..but it still is far out and models aren't agreeing. I'm not thinking it's a big deal..but was thinking maybe 1-3 then ice or something. Only to have 40's on Saturday..but at least 1 more minor event before hell Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 I'm sticking with any meaningfully winter wx post Jan 18th. I could see a transitional cutter possible hence the later date. Might not happen...but something I could see. Might be better not to rush it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Flying under the radar is today's glorious wx. Relatively mild but snow quality hasn't changed with little melting. In the woods hiking in deep snow with my beloved pet. Not worried about future wx and am enjoying wonderful winter weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Flying under the radar is today's glorious wx. Relatively mild but snow quality hasn't changed with little melting. In the woods hiking in deep snow with my beloved pet. Not worried about future wx and am enjoying wonderful winter weekend.The differences between west and east is stunning, I am in between at 31 with clouds and freezing mist Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Are you forgetting the end of week storm? Looks kinda meh. I'd hardly call it a storm right now. Yeah...I'll still be posting with everyone else if we get a couple of inches, but it's still overall mild and boring from a wintry perspective. This last week has been fun though. Deep, deep winter just like the ones I used to know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 About time we kicked the harsh winter wx and moved into a more mild winter pattern. Could be a mild February and March, especially if we aren't talking about much of any blocking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 About time we kicked the harsh winter wx and moved into a more mild winter pattern. Could be a mild February and March, especially if we aren't talking about much of any blocking.huh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 About time we kicked the harsh winter wx and moved into a more mild winter pattern. Could be a mild February and March, especially if we aren't talking about much of any blocking. We haven't had any blocking yet, and we've had incredibly cold temperatures and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randy4Confluence Posted January 5, 2014 Share Posted January 5, 2014 Flying under the radar is today's glorious wx. Relatively mild but snow quality hasn't changed with little melting. In the woods hiking in deep snow with my beloved pet. Not worried about future wx and am enjoying wonderful winter weekend. +5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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