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January 2014 pattern discussion


CapturedNature

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I meant in PNS

Yea, I see what you mean but look at the maps after QC , seem pretty damn uniform and what cweat, messenger, rollo,Winston said was predictions drove reports which I think does a disservice to the many dedicated spotters. I mean just look at the final report on Blizzard 13, a storm which was as difficult to measure as any, look at the uniformity in measurements, within an inch or two for the most part. There are the Stephenin CT folks for sure but on the whole the system works pretty damn good. The hype happens, it's what the media does but I can guarantee this, it saved lives , wether overhyped or not.
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Let us hope -EPO returns end of month (post thaw) , i mean is this a lock?

Nothing's a lock pickles, you know that. Guidance shows it though and it has happened repeatedly this winter. And it's not we're flipping raging positive, more like a movement of the deck chairs.

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I dunno we get a ton of bad reports. Almost all are too high. Why do I never see a report and think "gee... That sounds low"?

Even legit spotters can frequently measure in bad spots.

its crazy....even a lot of the submitted reports around here seem one to three inches. or more higher than what i measure ( even factoring in six hr measuring). last feb blizzard was one of the very few events that i came up a little higher and jan 27 2011 and feb 2006 bc the hvy snow totals were located closer to ct border.
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Haha SE and NW New England teaming up... only 56% of normal in December here. Though around 75-80% on the season as November was good.

 

I was kidding I'm way above...have to be pushing almost 20" now when 30" is the normal yearly total. 

 

I dunno we get a ton of bad reports. Almost all are too high. Why do I never see a report and think "gee... That sounds low"?

Even legit spotters can frequently measure in bad spots.

 

I'm noticing the last year or two more clearly bad reports are getting into the mix.  Yesterday was a perfect example and it had nothing to do with settling or anything else.  JMHO like I said forecasts drive the accumulation reports now.  If you guys tell someone to expect 15-20" and it's even close to that you're going to get a ton of 15" reports even if only 10" is on the ground.

 

You do a great deservice to the many dedicated coops and certified storm spotters in our area, just saying, sure an inflated report pops up here and there but the NWS filters them out.

 

Yesterdays reports from down here were terrible.    Out of 22 reports from the county a full 12 out of the top 14 came from "HAM" radio or "public" and many IMO were just so far above what fell here they're comical.  Absent this time were the NWS Employee reports which normally kind of set the bar for the upper cape.  Otherwise this is what we seem to end up with....I can guarantee you 15" didn't fall around Bourne or South Plymouth, not even close. :)   It's a storm that required careful measurement and some thought.  I did notice guys like Harvey excluded almost all of the reports from down here that were high in their maps.  When I see a report shrink from 15" to 14" as the storm went on that tells me the report was pretty crappy and probably should have been tossed.  Take a look at Barnstable County's reports yesterday.  Heavily weighted to non spotter, non employee reports vs the rest of the reporting area.

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