forkyfork Posted January 13, 2014 Share Posted January 13, 2014 the way to get KU's with a naso good atlantic is 60/61. we need a southern stream though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 13, 2014 Share Posted January 13, 2014 The Happy Hour GFS OP run was pretty fun. All joking aside, the Euro ensembles basically support runs like that. There's going to be a lot of cold around again once we get through this next few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 13, 2014 Share Posted January 13, 2014 On 1/13/2014 at 11:04 PM, forkyfork said: the way to get KU's with a naso good atlantic is 60/61. we need a southern stream though We're prob going to have some Miller B chances...if we can get split flow for a time, then we might get a more widespread system. Jan '61 was a Miller B...a really good one and an analog for this pattern. Jan '05 of course occurred in a pacific-driven pattern not dissimilar from this one. Obviously those are extreme examples. But that is probably how we would get a biggie in late January this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 13, 2014 Share Posted January 13, 2014 One might figure for a -EPO to evolve up underneath this ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 13, 2014 Share Posted January 13, 2014 There are other tools measuring a rapidly warming stratosphere at high latitudes ... unlike a month ago, when it was purported to be on-going when it wasn't ... this is really actually happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 13, 2014 Share Posted January 13, 2014 On 1/13/2014 at 11:04 PM, forkyfork said: the way to get KU's with a naso good atlantic is 60/61. we need a southern stream thoughyep, top analog going in to this winter for me. Matt didn't like it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 13, 2014 Share Posted January 13, 2014 On 1/13/2014 at 11:06 PM, ORH_wxman said: The Happy Hour GFS OP run was pretty fun. All joking aside, the Euro ensembles basically support runs like that. There's going to be a lot of cold around again once we get through this next few days. Lol, happy hour, shot hour Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 13, 2014 Share Posted January 13, 2014 Let's target just past MLK and then go to town. If we get anything before it's luck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randy4Confluence Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 On 1/13/2014 at 11:44 PM, weathafella said: Let's target just past MLK and then go to town. If we get anything before it's luck. Sounds good.But lets try hard to grab a couple of inches of cement before that to rebuild the foundation? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 On 1/13/2014 at 10:28 PM, Brian5671 said: We all fear 01-02 and 11-12 (and 05-06 to some extent) where the goods were to come but never showed...not saying that's the case here, but after those 3 disasters, I'm never sold until it's in the shorter range.How can you compare this winter to those?Dobbs Ferry has already had 25" of snow this year...I've had 18" in Southern Brooklyn. 01-02 had only 8" in Dobbs Ferry, and 11-12 had only 20", half of that in October. We are also heading for a much colder than normal January with a memorable arctic shot with single digit high tenperatures. December was near average. November was -2.5F. We had nothing like that in 01-02 or 11-12. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 Quite the pattern advertised next week and beyond, Leon may have been knocked out cold but it appears that he returns rejuvenated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 Is Leon the PV? The PV that sits over southern Hudson Bay? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 On 1/14/2014 at 11:51 AM, mahk_webstah said: Is Leon the PV? The PV that sits over southern Hudson Bay? Leon is 1993-94. The train derailed of late but. It appears a comeback is coming and yes.lllthe pattern is dripping with epioosity. Except this time it's the best of 1993-94, 2004-05, 1960-61. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 +PTO. I'll let you figure that one out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 Well at least the weather has been good for outdoor projects. Had to fix the gutter that blew off in the blizzard and build a workbench in the basement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 On 1/14/2014 at 12:23 PM, CoastalWx said: +PTO. I'll let you figure that one out. Just admit it, you have fuly disrobed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 On 1/14/2014 at 12:47 PM, wx2fish said: Just admit it, you have fuly disrobed. Pretty much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 On 1/14/2014 at 12:30 PM, CoastalWx said: Well at least the weather has been good for outdoor projects. Had to fix the gutter that blew off in the blizzard and build a workbench in the basement. you need good weather to work in the basement? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 On 1/14/2014 at 12:49 PM, CoastalWx said: Pretty much. details on the nudity? (the reasons for...) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 I'm sort of in the same boat as Jerry. I'm still not high on the weekend threat for SNE. That system still needs some help. First and foremost it needs a better supply of cold air and 2ndly it needs to dig further S which would help #1. I'm liking the look of next week right now for a more widespread colder system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 On 1/14/2014 at 12:30 PM, CoastalWx said: Well at least the weather has been good for outdoor projects. Had to fix the gutter that blew off in the blizzard and build a workbench in the basement. building a workbench in the basement is an outdoor project? Agree though, we don't have to look at x-mas decorations until March this year given the warmth of late/lack of snowcover Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 On 1/14/2014 at 1:35 PM, Brian5671 said: building a workbench in the basement is an outdoor project? Agree though, we don't have to look at x-mas decorations until March this year given the warmth of late/lack of snowcover Well just trucking materials in and out, makes life easier I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 On 1/14/2014 at 1:02 PM, Baroclinic Zone said: I'm sort of in the same boat as Jerry. I'm still not high on the weekend threat for SNE. That system still needs some help. First and foremost it needs a better supply of cold air and 2ndly it needs to dig further S which would help #1. I'm liking the look of next week right now for a more widespread colder system. We're jumping on every threat 5+ days out. When it's inside of 3 days wake me up. On 1/14/2014 at 1:35 PM, Brian5671 said: building a workbench in the basement is an outdoor project? Agree though, we don't have to look at x-mas decorations until March this year given the warmth of late/lack of snowcover Sawdust prevention. It's been nice to do a little lawn and house repair, trim the bushes etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 On 1/14/2014 at 1:56 PM, PolarVortex said: We're jumping on every threat 5+ days out. When it's inside of 3 days wake me up. Sawdust prevention. It's been nice to do a little lawn and house repair, trim the bushes etc. We'll have a thread by Friday for next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 Towards the end of the 11-15 day I'm noticing lower heights out west with a ridge still in AK. That means with the PV nearby and split flow look out west...it could be a very exciting time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 On 1/14/2014 at 2:27 PM, CoastalWx said: Towards the end of the 11-15 day I'm noticing lower heights out west with a ridge still in AK. That means with the PV nearby and split flow look out west...it could be a very exciting time. Sweet - I will be Arizona the 27th through the 30th so I imagine we will get slammed then... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 On 1/14/2014 at 2:27 PM, CoastalWx said: Towards the end of the 11-15 day I'm noticing lower heights out west with a ridge still in AK. That means with the PV nearby and split flow look out west...it could be a very exciting time. Yeah that might support a more widespread system across the country versus Miller B or clipper threats. I remember Feb '94 occurred in that time of split flow -EPO pattern. In the meantime before that, it looks damned cold in the Jan 22-30 timerange. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leesun Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 Pretty decent temp. gradient down in the northern GOM at 84H on the NAM. That trough is drilling for oil. Can't believe we wouldn't get something spin up out of that. Question is, will the next s/w coming down into the trough kick it out like the one before it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guvna Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 On 1/14/2014 at 2:50 PM, ORH_wxman said: Yeah that might support a more widespread system across the country versus Miller B or clipper threats. I remember Feb '94 occurred in that time of split flow -EPO pattern. In the meantime before that, it looks damned cold in the Jan 22-30 timerange. As cold as what we previously just had??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 On 1/14/2014 at 5:00 PM, Guvna said: As cold as what we previously just had??? It is too early to say. Regardless, we should have a very favorable pattern for snow chances too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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