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Pre Xmas storm


mahk_webstah

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Thanks guys for all the travel advice.  I just went out and our dirt road which goes down my 500 foot hill is totally ice covered.  Not one car has gone by.  Everything is ice.  If I could get to the main road I would make the trip but right now Im stuck.  Our road is a dead end so if there was every a medical emergancy or fire for the 10 houses up here we would be screwed.  Ice is worse than snow.

 

Eveyrthing glazed and light rain and 30.1F

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Not sure how accurate they are, but I love the new ice accretion obs in the METARs...

KAFN 231452Z AUTO VRB04KT 5SM -FZRA BR SCT003 OVC011 00/M01 A3002 RMK AO2

SLP181 P0005 60012 I1001 I3005 T00001011 50007=

KBML 231452Z AUTO 00000KT 3SM UP BR SCT006 OVC040 00/M01 A3001 RMK AO2

UPB1356E07B44FZRAB07E09 SLP176 P0000 60002 I1001 I3003 T00001011 50003=

KCON 231451Z AUTO 00000KT 2 1/2SM UP BR SCT005 OVC030 M01/M01 A3006 RMK AO2

UPB22FZRAE22 SLP184 P0008 60017 I1003 I3009 T10061011 58000=

KDAW 231451Z AUTO 35003KT 4SM -FZRA BR SCT005 OVC018 M01/M01 A3008 RMK AO2

UPE1359FZRAB1359 SLP187 P0006 60007 I1009 I3011 T10061011 51012=

KMHT 231453Z 01004KT 2SM -FZRA BR BKN006 OVC015 00/M01 A3006 RMK AO2

UPB48E50FZRAE48B50 SLP198 P0000 60000 I1001 I3004 T00001006 51010=

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Yeah...we're at 31.2F now, but it's been between 30.9F-31.2F for over 2hrs.

anything that might give another little push of CAA?  Lotta qpf pushing up.  Much more icing in Webster/Salisbury than lower Boscawen to Concord.  Trees getting iced up really fast at home.  Down in Con now.  31.7 on the mesowest across the street in Salisbury.

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Thanks to mixing in the moderate Freezing Rain out air temperature here in Brunswick shot up to 32F however has backed off now to 30F and falling. Cold Air holding strong!

 

0.13-0.15" of Ice so far for storm total. Trees are bending even more. 

 

Multiple reports of Trees coming down in Sagadahoc county (ie Bowdoin area). This is all reported from Sagadahoc county dispatch.

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anything that might give another little push of CAA?  Lotta qpf pushing up.  Much more icing in Webster/Salisbury than lower Boscawen to Concord.  Trees getting iced up really fast at home.  Down in Con now.  31.7 on the mesowest across the street in Salisbury.

I don't think so other than the usual ebb and flow. Everything upstream (to our NE) is holding steady or slowly rising. I think it's just a steady, slow climb until the CAA kicks in from the NW tonight.

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Light ZR and 27 in AUG, looks like about the same at home.  The lawns here are nice and shiny, and my driveway at home was impenetrable - any slope meant a slide, until I spread wood ashes.   Accretion was 0.2" at home and 0.3" in AUG earlier this morning, might have gained a tenth here, less at home, guessing by radar.  Birches are bent, but haven't seen anything broken - yet...

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Dodging a bullet here in Ayer.  It's 32 on the button and not accreting.  I've seen that before though, where if the temp takes a 18 hours to go from 33 to 32 ...there's something about being right on 32, like a molecular phase change and latent heat thing kind of like cheating.  ha.  

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Dodging a bullet here in Ayer.  It's 32 on the button and not accreting.  I've seen that before though, where if the temp takes a 18 hours to go from 33 to 32 ...there's something about being right on 32, like a molecular phase change and latent heat thing kind of like cheating.  ha.  

I also think any little bit of midday insolation (even at the winter solstice) doesn't help when you're right on 32F. I've been pretty much at 31F through this event and I notice more ice on the N side of the evergreens than the S. And yeah I know it's negligible this time of year...my max solar so far today is only 42w/m^2.

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I also think any little bit of midday insolation (even at the winter solstice) doesn't help when you're right on 32F. I've been pretty much at 31F through this event and I notice more ice on the N side of the evergreens than the S. And yeah I know it's negligible this time of year...my max solar so far today is only 42w/m^2.

 

Right ... and it's like "freezing" does not mean "frozen" -- there probably is an equal amount of liq and ice going on, but since there was no antecedent ice, the equal point is still 0.  In other words it's canceling out.  Kind of need that pulse of 31 DP to tip it in favor of the ice side -- we've discussed this in the past....blah blah

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I hadn't been paying much attention because the event is pretty much done here but seems to be an over-performing QPF event today for a good chunk of New England. I didn't know it was going to be raining all day today.

This final wave has been modeled for a couple days.

 

The glazing is about done here. There's probably more dripping than accretion. 31.9F with brightening overcast at times.

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This final wave has been modeled for a couple days.

 

The glazing is about done here. There's probably more dripping than accretion. 31.9F with brightening overcast at times.

I was just noticing that the "pool" of icing is shrinking.  Seems this event has exhausted its supply of cold and now it will slowly fill in...  Manchester NH is now above freezing too. 

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