ORH_wxman Posted December 21, 2013 Share Posted December 21, 2013 No ice potential in Ma? Doubt it...I mean maybe near the NH border if the cold tuck is strong enough? But it would be very marginal at that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx2fish Posted December 21, 2013 Share Posted December 21, 2013 How far SW do the 20s push? It looks like it gets MHT around 30 by 22z. Looks like it drops your area into the upper 20s by 15z. Its real cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted December 21, 2013 Share Posted December 21, 2013 Looking at the picture of the bike just posted it looks like the bike is under a drip edge. If it were freezing rain there would not be a big thick ice glob in the middle of the handle bars, it would be more uniform over the bike. Cant tell with that tape measure picture if it is under the drip edge too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 21, 2013 Share Posted December 21, 2013 Looking at the picture of the bike just posted it looks like the bike is under a drip edge. If it were freezing rain there would not be a big thick ice glob in the middle of the handle bars, it would be more uniform over the bike. Cant tell with that tape measure picture if it is under the drip edge too. They even slant stick ice.........lol, Those pics are very suspect, Just look at the bike seat, There is not a lot there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 21, 2013 Share Posted December 21, 2013 It looks like it gets MHT around 30 by 22z. Looks like it drops your area into the upper 20s by 15z. Its real cold. Awesome....thanks. Looking at the picture of the bike just posted it looks like the bike is under a drip edge. If it were freezing rain there would not be a big thick ice glob in the middle of the handle bars, it would be more uniform over the bike. Cant tell with that tape measure picture if it is under the drip edge too. The ice equivalent of slant sticking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coastalfront Posted December 21, 2013 Share Posted December 21, 2013 36 and rain in bolton, cold air is draining down from the NE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 21, 2013 Share Posted December 21, 2013 If we get a mesolow east of BOS (which many of the meso models are showing), then it will easily make it...probably move south of ORH even if that happens. The models will often underestimate the southward push from a mesolow. But of course ifit doesn't really form until further northeast like in the Gulf of Maine...then it will stop further north. That's what I envision...a weak low south of PWM to give it that extra push. Not that it matters in terms of snow...but kind of a cool lesson in meteorology either way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan Posted December 21, 2013 Share Posted December 21, 2013 A member of my FD works for a CL-P tree crew and got the word they are heading north, staging in Manchester Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 21, 2013 Share Posted December 21, 2013 I still think QPF placement is a concern. The axis still should be further north deeper into the cold, but now nrn VT looks to be in most danger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 21, 2013 Share Posted December 21, 2013 Getting ugly in the Champlain Valley and Saint Lawrence Valley. A friend (Wadsworth) posted this on Facebook from Burlington earlier this afternoon...and this was just from the freezing rain yesterday and last night, with the bulk expected tonight into tomorrow. Nearing an inch of ice in spots already... Dear lord. ... St. Lawrence County... 2 NW South Hammond 0.88 300 PM 12/21 trained spotter South Colton 0.50 405 PM 12/21 trained spotter 2 WNW West Fowler 0.50 250 PM 12/21 trained spotter 3 WNW Gouverneur 0.50 1043 am 12/21 co-op observer 3 WSW South Colton 0.33 1114 am 12/21 trained spotter Massena 0.25 628 am 12/21 Emergency Mngr 3 SSE Morristown 0.25 1112 am 12/21 trained spotter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 21, 2013 Share Posted December 21, 2013 33.1F and dropping Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattlacroix4 Posted December 21, 2013 Share Posted December 21, 2013 I am hiking into Tuckerman Ravine area on Monday. Any chance I could see some snow with that last wave? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 21, 2013 Share Posted December 21, 2013 I am hiking into Tuckerman Ravine area on Monday. Any chance I could see some snow with that last wave? You have experience hiking in a ice'd over landscape. On the e side of mt wash... That could be a frz rain jackpot ....(the climb up) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 21, 2013 Share Posted December 21, 2013 More ice from the Champlain Valley on the NY side of the lake... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 21, 2013 Share Posted December 21, 2013 I am hiking into Tuckerman Ravine area on Monday. Any chance I could see some snow with that last wave? Better have crampons. Or fresh microspikes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 21, 2013 Share Posted December 21, 2013 The bike pic almost looks like its ice from underneath a dripping gutter or something...esp noticeable because of the thick pile of ice between the handlebars. That inch of ice pic can't be close to representative of the general ice accretion...they haven't had enough QPF for even a third of that, have they? Oh that bike pic is definitely dripping off the roof. The poster on FB said so... I should've clarified. Its just a cool pic, haha. Water coming from somewhere and freezing. A few hours ago, a NWS met had 0.5" of ice in a Burlington suburb already. We've gotten a good deal of precipitation between yesterday and today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattlacroix4 Posted December 21, 2013 Share Posted December 21, 2013 Yup I am ready! I was in the Kinsmans once where there was 2-3 inches of ice covering everything. Any chance for snow on top? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 21, 2013 Share Posted December 21, 2013 35-36 N conway-Bartlett currently. En route in and around MHT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 21, 2013 Share Posted December 21, 2013 If there was an inch of ice, we would hear of destruction which I have not heard of yet. I don't know... pretty sparsely populated in northern NY. And northern NY had up to 0.75" of QPF as mixed precip yesterday alone, much less what's been falling today and this evening. If this all has fallen as ZR in some of these spots, I could see them getting critical mass. SLK is around 1.0" total QPF so far and I'm nearing 0.75" including yesterday's mixed precip. Most of the ASOS stations appear to be sucking with QPF measurements except for the spots that are straight rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted December 21, 2013 Share Posted December 21, 2013 Never made it out of the 20s, but not much precip either. Night 2 of our Christmas program - looking at radar (and thermometer), could be an interesting ride home about 9. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted December 21, 2013 Share Posted December 21, 2013 Still sitting at 38f which was the high. No cooling going on here. Maybe 0.50" ice for this area according to map. Northeast of here looks much worse Sent from my LG-E980 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 21, 2013 Share Posted December 21, 2013 Man, 1-2" of ice is a big deal. BTV's map has now increased some point ice accumulations as high as 1.6" in upstate NY. INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MASSENA...MALONE...PLATTSBURGH... DANNEMORA...PORT HENRY...TICONDEROGA...OGDENSBURG...POTSDAM... GOUVERNEUR...ALBURGH...SOUTH HERO...ST. ALBANS...NEWPORT... ISLAND POND...BURLINGTON...MIDDLEBURY...VERGENNES... ENOSBURG FALLS...RICHFORD...UNDERHILL 353 PM EST SAT DEC 21 2013 ...ICE STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST SUNDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BURLINGTON CONTINUES THE ICE STORM WARNING...UNTIL 7 PM EST SUNDAY. * LOCATIONS...THE SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY IN NEW YORK...AND THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN CHAMPLAIN VALLEY INTO EXTREME NORTHERN VERMONT. * HAZARD TYPES...FREEZING RAIN AND SLEET. * ACCUMULATIONS...SLEET ACCUMULATION UP TO 1 INCH. TOTAL ICE ACCUMULATIONS BY SUNDAY MORNING AROUND AN INCH...EXCEPT UP TO 1 TO 2 INCHES OVER THE SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY IN NORTHERN NEW YORK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEK_VT_Upslope_Event Posted December 21, 2013 Share Posted December 21, 2013 What do people think the severity of the ice storm will be here in Caledonia County (St J, Lyndonville, Peacham/Danville, Burke)? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 21, 2013 Share Posted December 21, 2013 I don't know... pretty sparsely populated in northern NY. And northern NY had up to 0.75" of QPF as mixed precip yesterday alone, much less what's been falling today and this evening. If this all has fallen as ZR in some of these spots, I could see them getting critical mass. SLK is around 1.0" total QPF so far and I'm nearing 0.75" including yesterday's mixed precip. Most of the ASOS stations appear to be sucking with QPF measurements except for the spots that are straight rain. 1" of ice is destructive. Even if it's 24 out, some of the QPF is lost to drippage. I bet some Areas have close to 0.7" though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 21, 2013 Share Posted December 21, 2013 "Frozen" Precip falling right near the border in NY and VT. KMSS and KFSO alternating between snow and sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Digityman Posted December 21, 2013 Share Posted December 21, 2013 34.5 at 6pm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxjim207 Posted December 21, 2013 Share Posted December 21, 2013 What do people think the severity of the ice storm will be here in Caledonia County (St J, Lyndonville, Peacham/Danville, Burke)? The most will be in Northern Passumpsic River Valley like Westmore, East Haven maybe Burke. St. Jay and Lyndonville may see up to 0.1" of ice. Warm air will continue to surge northward up the CT River Valley and Passumpsic river valleys Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 21, 2013 Share Posted December 21, 2013 Freshening northeast winds across the Capital Region of Maine, not looking good up there. Portland down to 35 this hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxjim207 Posted December 21, 2013 Share Posted December 21, 2013 Brunswick holding steady at 33F. Front should sag south in the next 1-2hrs I feel it will. I really think Coastal Cumberland county will be into trouble soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted December 21, 2013 Share Posted December 21, 2013 Freshening northeast winds across the Capital Region of Maine, not looking good up there. Portland down to 35 this hour. not sure how Pwm Is colder than here. Still 37f Sent from my LG-E980 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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