Damage In Tolland Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 Cooler rain for all in sneWoukd be a win Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 Woukd be a win I'm not seeing if as a win....but whatever. Perhaps that will allow for some of the zr areas to get more ip and narrow the zr belt. Perhaps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 If it were to somehow kiss Tolland, it might last 45 minutes. You are going to be in Tevas Sunday night. still resembles a spring backdoor with BOS getting into it for a short-time. not that it'll matter, but you may get to enjoy some upper 30s for a time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 If it were to somehow kiss Tolland, it might last 45 minutes. You are going to be in Tevas Sunday night.once it go south it don't go back. You can envision a quasi triple point SE of the cape or something Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 once it go south it don't go back. You can envision a quasi triple point SE of the cape or something I can envision it......but I envision lots of things. I also bought a megabucks ticket, eg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 Tip~ What CT zones, or CT in general? I am a big fan of the epic busts, when they occur -- this would have to be pretty huge to get that front to "sag" as far S as ...well, Kevin's crenshaw melon. In fact, calling it a sag would be kinda wrong. More like a BDF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 still resembles a spring backdoor with BOS getting into it for a short-time. not that it'll matter, but you may get to enjoy some upper 30s for a time. Yeah. Unfortunatlely, the snow will be long gone. Maybe a weenie pile or two where I snowblowed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 18Z GFS is slightly weaker with the CAD and is a bit warmer than 12Z. It's a tough forecast for here, but there's no way out of this for interior ME. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 once it go south it don't go back. You can envision a quasi triple point SE of the cape or something Yeah, over LWM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 Problem is ...if you get north of the boundary you also get deluged with rain. It's a lose lose proposition for the snowpack. 38 and heavy rain is still pretty ugly. Woukd be a win Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 Oceanstwx how bad do you think the icing is going to be at Sunday River? Looks like they're on the edge They might get just enough sleet to avoid disaster, but it looks like ice storm warning either way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 18Z GFS is slightly weaker with the CAD and is a bit warmer than 12Z. It's a tough forecast for here, but there's no way out of this for interior ME. Dude, look at that high. That is so ominous looking. Also this is an important detail to note. The GFS has the QPF max more along the WF over ctrl NH and ME while the euro is farther north where it's colder. The GFS basically says destructive ice for interior ME into adjacent NH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 Sebago lake ground zero? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 Let's get my napes back to where they initially were along my chest before my 40th bday. Sag sag sag All you can do is work out and hope for the best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 sniff sniff.... Sniff sniff I smell ZR and freshly cracked pine branches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 Yeah. Unfortunatlely, the snow will be long gone. Maybe a weenie pile or two where I snowblowed.snowblew? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 Sniff sniff I smell ZR and freshly cracked pine branches Looking forward to the 0z runs tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 snowblew? Did you decide to stay home this weekend? Maybe hit the beach? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 euro has probably a 25F to 30F temp difference between say LWM and OWD. LOL. it take the boundary just south of BOS then sort of curls it NW with the topography. Jesus.....what are the readings, 60* and 30*?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 Sebago lake ground zero? Hope not. I'm only a few miles away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 I'm not seeing if as a win....but whatever. Perhaps that will allow for some of the zr areas to get more ip and narrow the zr belt. Perhaps. We'll have some snow left. Not much damage today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 Dude, look at that high. That is so ominous looking. Also this is an important detail to note. The GFS has the QPF max more along the WF over ctrl NH and ME while the euro is farther north where it's colder. The GFS basically says destructive ice for interior ME into adjacent NH. Everyone's calling me and asking me if the our area (Northern Lakes Region of NH) is going to have an ice storm. These slight changes in each model run are driving me crazy. So today I guess Euro continues the slight warming trend as well as the 18Z GFS but the 18Z NAM has reversed course and is cooler. Dendrite says tough call for us, CoastalWX says watch that high. Knowing my area CAD always over performs but wish there was a clear trend instead of model hugging every 6 hours. Sure nervous with almost 2" QPF expected. 33.8F and light rain past hour. High was 36F today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 snowblew? Eh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 18Z GFS is slightly weaker with the CAD and is a bit warmer than 12Z. It's a tough forecast for here, but there's no way out of this for interior ME. Or the Champlain Valley... I think BTV is looking good for ground zero at this point. They are way colder than anywhere else in New England... its not even close to anyone else. VT's most populated county is about to get destroyed, lol. BTV is down in the low 20s now with freezing rain, and dew points have dropped into the teens! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 All you can do is work out and hope for the best. Like sweat off his brow during a Cowboys game...the snowmelt is becoming like a giant tsunami rolling off the Tolland mastiff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 Dude, look at that high. That is so ominous looking. Also this is an important detail to note. The GFS has the QPF max more along the WF over ctrl NH and ME while the euro is farther north where it's colder. The GFS basically says destructive ice for interior ME into adjacent NH. Yeah...I think we verify colder than the GFS is showing, but I'm relying on CAA this time instead of a cold airmass already in place. At least NE flow is my prime direction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 Man it sounds like commuter travel right now in the Champlain Valley is an absolute sh*tshow. I mean there is nothing you can do about 21/19 and liquid falling from the sky. That's going to freeze quickly and efficiently regardless of treatments. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 Or the Champlain Valley... I think BTV is looking good for ground zero at this point. They are way colder than anywhere else in New England... its not even close to anyone else. VT's most populated county is about to get destroyed, lol. BTV is down in the low 20s now with freezing rain, and dew points have dropped into the teens! Yeah...NAM/Euro had that for up there today/tonight, but moderates it some over the next 24hrs. With the sfc low potentially staying south of us the CV may not torch north of DDH on Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 Yeah...NAM/Euro had that for up there today/tonight, but moderates it some over the next 24hrs. With the sfc low potentially staying south of us the CV may not torch north of DDH on Sunday. BTV's stance is interesting but seems to be occurring right now... normally it is east of the Spine/cordillera that has the hardest time scouring out the cold air, but this time its relying on advection and not an already frigid airmass in place. So the normal climo of the Champlain Valley being warmest and eastern VT coldest doesn't look to hold true. The Champlain Valley gets the nod in any thermal advection because there is absolutely nothing stopping air from coming in from the north (just like southerly flow warms them up so quickly, same happens in reverse). It will be interesting to see how strong the CAA is in ME/NH coastal plain or foothills. CONFIDENCE CONTINUES TO INCREASE THAT A SIGNIFICANT ICING EVENT WILL LIKELY OCCUR ACROSS MUCH OF THE SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY...THE NORTHEASTERN SLOPES OF THE DACKS...AND THE LOWER ELEVATIONS OF THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN CHAMPLAIN VALLEY. THIS WOULD INCLUDE THE PLATTSBURGH/BURLINGTON AREA. NOT LOOKING AT ANYTHING HISTORIC...LETS BE CLEAR HERE...BUT ACCUMULATIONS IN EXCESS OF ONE THIRD...AND IN SOME CASES ONE HALF INCH ARE CERTAINLY POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS LIKELY LEADING TO PROBLEMATIC POWER OUTAGES AND LOCALLY DIFFICULT TRAVEL. ELSEWHERE...THE FORECAST IS ALSO QUITE TRICKY...BUT HAVE TO BELIEVE THE HIGHER RESOLUTION MODELS SHOWING MILDER AIR ALOFT WILL FIND ITS WAY INTO THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE DACKS/GREENS...AND MUCH OF SOUTHERN AND EASTERN VERMONT. HERE THERE COULD BE SOME BRIEF MIX SATURDAY NIGHT...BUT THE OVERALL IDEA WILL BE FOR A GENERAL TRANSITION TO ALL RAIN BY SUNRISE SUNDAY. COLD AIR IS TYPICALLY TOUGH TO SCOUR OUT IN EASTERN VT...BUT ALAS THIS IS AN ADVECTIVE PROCESS AND THE BLEEDING OF COLDER AIR SOUTHWARD INTO EASTERN VT WILL BE JUST AS TOUGH TO COME BY...THUS THE MODEL`S...AND MY FORECAST PREDICTION OF SOMEWHAT LESSER IMPACTS HERE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 Yeah...I think we verify colder than the GFS is showing, but I'm relying on CAA this time instead of a cold airmass already in place. At least NE flow is my prime direction. It's always tricky to rely on CAA oozing in from the NE, but usually you guys can do this with minimal downslope component. Some of those spots in the lakes region near and above 1k are in trouble. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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