SnowMan Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 i didn't say mid 50s. i see the 50f isotherm near hillsboro at hour 84 You wearing shorts today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 That's ugly. We usually will warm up in these situations eventually up here (I see most models eventually flip us into the 35F range between 12z and 18z Sunday) quicker than you guys further east...but I've been here long enough to know that here on the east slope of the Spine it won't happen easily...and it may be too little too late. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 i didn't say mid 50s. i see the 50f isotherm near hillsboro at hour 84 I still don't buy it. 9,999,999/10,000,000 instances models were too warm with fronts busting into NH. I could see a brief temp that high with the front itself possibly, but that would be brief if at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 I still don't buy it. 9,999,999/10,000,000 instances models were too warm with fronts busting into NH. I could see a brief temp that high with the front itself possibly, but that would be brief if at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 Pretty sure it went over your head..lol. Yea...passive aggressive, veiled humor lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 the euro brings 50's almost into central NH. drip drop Climo ftw , we toss Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 They should just change the name of ECMWF to GRINCH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 They should just change the name of ECMWF to GRINCH I think the "G" in GFS already stands for that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 I get the trolling because a lot of us in this forum are easy targets, but not at the expense of compromising your board reputataton as a pro met....most of us in sne will undoubtedly be left devoid of snowpack, but anyone who thinks that central NH sniffs 50 either printed their met degree off of a computer, or needs to lead the charge to sne climo 101. Perhaps a combination of the two, who knows...something, though... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 Might be to the coast..but coastal MA near Kittery could turn onshore.Thanks ...supposed to be a few miles inland southern ME this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 Thanks ...supposed to be a few miles inland southern ME this weekend. You maybe in trouble up here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 There is no reason anybody should be happy about this one that is for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 Phil I'm not sure why you now think its peaceful, and that it may not be if I were here. Not sure what else to say other than to wish you a merry-passively aggressive Christmas. Enjoy your day. I am going to puke if I read that psycho babble passive aggressive term again. Yuppified Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 Congrats to all who are icing? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 There is no reason anybody should be happy about this one that is for sure. I am not happy believe me. Need this south lol... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 You maybe in trouble up hereWe are literally 1.8 miles from the beach...wells area... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 I get the trolling because a lot of us in this forum are easy targets, but not at the expense of compromising your board reputataton as a pro met....most of us in sne will undoubtedly be left devoid of snowpack, but anyone who thinks that central NH sniffs 50 either printed their met degree off of a computer, or needs to lead the charge to sne climo 101. Perhaps a combination of the two, who knows...something, though... Well if the ECM has 50F entering southern NH, and some posts what it shows verbatim I don't see an issue...we all post what models say verbatim but that doesn't mean we think it'll actually happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MainePhotog Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 Good Lord, that is not good. Tried blowing it up so I could get details and looks like 30mm over my area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 Well if the ECM has 50F entering southern NH, and some posts what it shows verbatim I don't see an issue...we all post what models say verbatim but that doesn't mean we think it'll actually happen. I didn't say that there was an issue with regurgitating raw model output. "anyone who thinks that central NH sniffs 50"...ie. the statement was theoretical in nature. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 I didn't say that there was an issue with regurgitating raw model output. "anyone who thinks that central NH sniffs 50"...ie. the statement was theoretical in nature. Ahhh I figured that was a response to Forky's post. I like hearing what the models have verbatim, but yes probably not getting 50F to NH, though maybe briefly if it mixes out near the FROPA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 Mike is shaking in his shawl nervously pacing back and forth doing donuts around the woodpile I'm at peace with my melting. That's ugly. We usually will warm up in these situations eventually up here (I see most models eventually flip us into the 35F range between 12z and 18z Sunday) quicker than you guys further east...but I've been here long enough to know that here on the east slope of the Spine it won't happen easily...and it may be too little too late. Now THAT's locking in your snowpack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 Ahhh I figured that was a response to Forky's post. I like hearing what the models have verbatim, but yes probably not getting 50F to NH, though maybe briefly if it mixes out near the FROPA. Agreed. I was just generally speaking to the ongoing daalogue regarding how far n the wf penertrates... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 What a battle. There is really very little chance that anybody in the GYX gets much above freezing before the front. However, that mid level front could very well be at the international border. The heaviest QPF will be on the cold side of that boundary (as usual), so that could save us from something truly nasty. However, damming can occur up through the atmosphere to 925 or higher sometimes. If that happens the mid level front may struggle to get that far north. This is one of the more difficult phenomenon to forecast, since the conditions needed are so specific. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MainePhotog Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 What a battle. There is really very little chance that anybody in the GYX gets much above freezing before the front. However, that mid level front could very well be at the international border. The heaviest QPF will be on the cold side of that boundary (as usual), so that could save us from something truly nasty. However, damming can occur up through the atmosphere to 925 or higher sometimes. If that happens the mid level front may struggle to get that far north. This is one of the more difficult phenomenon to forecast, since the conditions needed are so specific. Would you suggest that everyone in the GYX area begin preparing for possible power outages, downed trees, etc.? I'm not trying to put you on the spot. I just don't want my daughter and her family (including my newest grand daughter) traveling up here from PA on Saturday if this has a possibility of becoming a nightmare with the power and icy roads. I already have her in a holding pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 I am not happy believe me. Need this south lol... Lol, I'm going N for it. But to live and be stuck up there is gonna be difficult, W/O power for a Long time (potentially) , maine looks like best chance, we shall see hopefully for many folks the cold layer is deeper and this is sleet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolMike Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 Anyone have a good idea on timing for this thing? Sunday morning rain all the way to the Canadian border or snow to pingers to rain during the day Sunday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 Would be nice to have the models stop trending warmer with every run. I could see this pretty much being a 32F-34F rain here while coldfront gets encased. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 Lol, I'm going N for it. But to live and be stuck up there is gonna be difficult, W/O power for a Long time (potentially) , maine looks like best chance, we shall see hopefully for many folks the cold layer is deeper and this is sleet You are willfully driving into a potential ice storm? interesting. Or were these pre-existing plans? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 Would you suggest that everyone in the GYX area begin preparing for possible power outages, downed trees, etc.? I'm not trying to put you on the spot. I just don't want my daughter and her family (including my newest grand daughter) traveling up here from PA on Saturday if this has a possibility of becoming a nightmare with the power and icy roads. I already have her in a holding pattern.I would really suggest everybody be prepared for that heading into winter. However, it's really too early to pin down those most at risk. It could easily be a 33 rain as well as a half inch of ice.I do think we get serious ice somewhere in the CWA though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 NAM even warmer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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