snowstormcanuck Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 That wasn't really my point. I'm simply pointing out that this could be the start of a trend (maybe) and at least it's in the right direction. The GEM was nearly throwing out Jan 1998 ice storm solutions before this run. Haven't seen what sfc temps look like but verbatim I'm guessing the NAM is pretty toasty. OB's grinch storm on display. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 Congrats MSP not really Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 Congrats MSP lol, stop trying to feign humility Madison boy. You're going to get a healthy serving of snow and you know it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 More like congrats KC to Sheboygan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 If I had decided on staying in Edmonton for Christmas, this would have been a blizzard for YYZ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 That wasn't really my point. I'm simply pointing out that this could be the start of a trend (maybe) and at least it's in the right direction. The GEM was nearly throwing out Jan 1998 ice storm solutions before this run. Yeah whatever. The point is whether it's 40mm or 25mm that's still a lot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 Double barrel. Out to 60 on e-wall. Gonna be nice for parts of MO, IA, WI, and MI...I think. this is really ugly, orphaned 850 cutting west of Chicago as best moisture races at light speed east. Will lay down a thin 6-10" stripe but crap the bed as it heads NE. Even Bo will torch. Canada people can probably stop worrying about anything other than a light glazing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whitelakeroy Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 12z NAM looks like it's going to be a full phase. Congrats GRB. Can you please go outside and pump up that pressure. If you could please get it to about 1040mb from Edmonton to about Hudson Bay... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 Haven't seen what sfc temps look like but verbatim I'm guessing the NAM is pretty toasty. OB's grinch storm on display. Toss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MadTown Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 I really don't believe we will get the direct hit with this one. Maybe its me trying not to get my hopes up, but not feeling this one at all. How many storms make that last 50 mi jump north the day of the storm. I know those just to the south in chitown have seen it happen to them when I get big snows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 Yeah whatever. The point is whether it's 40mm or 25mm that's still a lot. wtf is your problem? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 If I had decided on staying in Edmonton for Christmas, this would have been a blizzard for YYZ. Lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 KS is the big winner. 4-8" quick hitter from N. MO through WI. What a turd solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Perry Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 wtf is your problem? Lawl... Everyone's getting on edge because the models are being models. Oh well the weather outside is weather.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 Can you please go outside and pump up that pressure. If you could please get it to about 1040mb from Edmonton to about Hudson Bay... I just opened by refrigerator door. Maybe that'll make it colder. Anything else that requires me to put on pants I won't do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whitelakeroy Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 I really don't believe we will get the direct hit with this one. Maybe its me trying not to get my hopes up, but not feeling this one at all. How many storms make that last 50 mi jump north the day of the storm. I know those just to the south in chitown have seen it happen to them when I get big snows. Can't say I blame you at all. Happens here all the time ... day of storm ... everything in the models look perfect ... results => 50-150 miles NW get hammered. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 Lol. You know I speak truth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 I really don't believe we will get the direct hit with this one. Maybe its me trying not to get my hopes up, but not feeling this one at all. How many storms make that last 50 mi jump north the day of the storm. I know those just to the south in chitown have seen it happen to them when I get big snows. meh. The SLP is going to race off well to your east and that 850 low can only go so far west. The bigger issue will be the lack of moisture left for the ULL to play with and super brief duration. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whitelakeroy Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 I just opened by refrigerator door. Maybe that'll make it colder. Anything else that requires me to put on pants I won't do. Great. Thanks for you support Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 At least the nearly uninterrupted SSW 850s from the Gulf to Toronto is pretty cool...maybe we can break some temp records. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestCoaster Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 The models still want to ruin Xmas with a devastating ice storm for Toronto :-( Can't wait for my candlelit Xmas dinner with non perishables on the menu.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 You know I speak truth. Skip the flight. Fly back on Monday Lets see what happens. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whitelakeroy Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 You know I speak truth. How do you know a true weather freak ... EPIC weather avoids them. I often feel like offering protection to towns in Tornado alley. Pay me live in your town and you won't see a Severe T-storm again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 At least the nearly uninterrupted SSW 850s from the Gulf to Toronto is pretty cool...maybe we can break some temp records. I've reached acceptance on the 5 stages of grief. Bring it on. As much as I'm trying to get psyched about the icing potential I'd rather just avoid that mess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoar_Frost Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 Looks like all the deep moisute is getting shunted way east. Consolation advisory snows well northwest with the detached 850 Yeah, that looks kind of like sh*t for the middle of the country. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LizardMafia Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 I just opened by refrigerator door. Maybe that'll make it colder. Anything else that requires me to put on pants I won't do. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 The models still want to ruin Xmas with a devastating ice storm for Toronto :-( Can't wait for my candlelit Xmas dinner with non perishables on the menu.... The NAM does not show an ice storm for toronto...it's at worst a minor glaze followed by a torch and heavy rain. The much talked about cold low level NE flow looks weak sauce, where as the WAA is impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 The models still want to ruin Xmas with a devastating ice storm for Toronto :-( Can't wait for my candlelit Xmas dinner with non perishables on the menu.... It's an outlier admittedly but the NAM has the cure for what ails you. Most of the heavy QPF falls as just plain rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Perry Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 Anyone hear STL remarking on the storm not being able to be fully sampled until 12z Saturday?? Wouldn't that make for an interesting surprise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
roardog Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 That solution is a ton of rain here. It looks like a lot of NE surface winds though until the low passes by. Even though it's torching at 850, it won't be torching at the surface with NE winds. It will may torch here briefly if the low does indeed travel west of here but I really wonder what the surface temps will be for most of the rain. This could be one nasty ice storm if the surface is cold enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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