Ajdos Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 There is a second low right behind the first one, and the second low at hour 84 is in N/Indiana and moves N/E to Port Huron, pretty much all rain after hour 78.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 Lawls, Major ice storm for the GTA...it did shift a bit SE too. The precip barriers split after about 75 hours.. I don't follow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chargers09 Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 There is a second low right behind the first one, and the second low at hour 84 is in N/Indiana and moves N/E to Port Huron, pretty much all rain after hour 78.. Lmfao. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 I don't follow The moisture bands trailing along the cold front stay south of the border. Similar to what the GFS showed i believe. So its a one time hit and a crucifying one too. It looks pretty disorganized with very little precip on the NW side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ryanthunder Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 Could anyone post the latest euro run or link me? I wanna see this for myself. Staying across the river from Burlington, Iowa and was really hoping for a blizzard. Euro shattered my dreams earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 Lmfao. How is that funny? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 Heaviest snow on the Euro runs from around Hays KS, up through Omaha/Des Moines up to between Wausau and Green Bay, through weatherbo on northeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 19, 2013 Author Share Posted December 19, 2013 0z ECMWF: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chargers09 Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 How is that funny? Because it trends south, and yet there's another LP somehow that finds a way to bump NW still. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 Because it sags south, and yet there's another LP somehow that finds a way to bump NW still. Oh. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 Well today was fun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 The moisture bands trailing along the cold front stay south of the border. Similar to what the GFS showed i believe. So its a one time hit and a crucifying one too. It looks pretty disorganized with very little precip on the NW side. I still don't follow. Is it still showing heavy QPF for YYZ and is most of that QPF still ice? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 0z ECMWF: Clarity. Thank you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 I think we might just have to go into nowcasting with this thing.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 Would anybody be surprised if we're back to a wound up solution at 12z? 12z to 00z has been another example of how things can change and why it's silly to get too worked up when there's still a few days to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 I still don't follow. Is it still showing heavy QPF for YYZ and is most of that QPF still ice? Judging by the wxbell precip maps, I would think that a lot of the QPF is ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 Well today was a big waste of time FYP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 I still don't follow. Is it still showing heavy QPF for YYZ and is most of that QPF still ice? Based on the maps, YYZ sees mostly if not all of the QPF as ICE.. The storm looks disorganized to put it in better terms IMO. If I could post the map I would.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 19, 2013 Author Share Posted December 19, 2013 I still don't follow. Is it still showing heavy QPF for YYZ and is most of that QPF still ice? I think what he's trying to say is that it's a two wave scenario. First wave is the big hit, with the 2nd wave being nothing of note. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 There is a second low right behind the first one, and the second low at hour 84 is in N/Indiana and moves N/E to Port Huron, pretty much all rain after hour 78.. Is it ice or snow for this area of MI? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 I think what he's trying to say is that it's a two wave scenario. First wave is the big hit, with the 2nd wave being nothing of note. +1 Yeah exactly what he said, lol... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 I think what he's trying to say is that it's a two wave scenario. First wave is the big hit, with the 2nd wave being nothing of note. comprende. Is the QPF map you post exclusively the Sat-Sunday storm or does it include the Friday system? I'm trying to figure out how screwed we are Saturday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 Is it ice or snow for this area of MI? Yeah, 69 and North there is 6"+ snowfall amnts.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ryanthunder Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 Does anyone have an updated euro snowfall map? Skilling decided to go AWOL on me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 Now that the 00z model suite is complete, I think we can all agree there is pretty much zero confidence in any solution working out correctly at this point. Sort of feels like we've entered some kind of data void window, where models aren't being fed all the information they need. Personally, my confidence in seeing a decent snow here isn't that great anymore, but at this point who really knows. I'm sure tomorrow is gonna feature a whole new batch of curve balls. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 Yeah, 69 and North there is 6"+ snowfall amnts.. Thanks. Sweet. I guess we will see how it plays out in two days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 0z ECMWF: rain and dryslut? What a garbage December if this plays out.. Multiple Misses to Columbus, Ohio and now the token December Dubuque and Madison Mauler Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 19, 2013 Author Share Posted December 19, 2013 comprende. Is the QPF map you post exclusively the Sat-Sunday storm or does it include the Friday system? I'm trying to figure out how screwed we are Saturday night. It includes the Friday system...But QPF for the weekend event is still around 1.35"...give or take. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 Would anybody be surprised if we're back to a wound up solution at 12z? 12z to 00z has been another example of how things can change and why it's silly to get too worked up when there's still a few days to go. Not I.. Why i have given up trying to figure what this thing will do. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mississaugasnow Posted December 19, 2013 Share Posted December 19, 2013 I have seen a lot of talk about the influence of the lake for the lakeshore communities in the GTA. I had to go and double check the last ice storm we had which was in April and the winds were from the NE. Even along the immediate lakeshore where I am the trees were coated in light layer of ice and that was in mid April. One question though, how much colder do you think the lake is compared to mid april storm? Essentially what I am saying is that if I can see Ice in mid april along the lakeshore, I see no reason why the lakeshore is sparred this time around Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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