Hoosier Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 brutal beat down for the Euro Possible this could all be a model fakeout and things go back the other way eventually. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 Knew it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAFF Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 I can't take it !!!! A SE shift and its a week or more of work, to the NW twiddle my thumbs time and watch her melt down. At this point and a educated guess I'm going with all rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whitelakeroy Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 Cadillac, mi Even that is too far south per the latest EURO... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 Through 90 hours I dont see much if any difference. Temperatures are marginal, similar to the 0z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 Liking today's trends! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 Through 90 hours I dont see much if any difference. Temperatures are marginal, similar to the 0z. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Central Illinois Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 West we go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 lol Yeah it looks similar to the GFS by 100 hours... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 Possible this could all be a model fakeout and things go back the other way eventually. Yeah definitely. Like Baroclinic Instability used to say, garbage in garbage out. If the 12z data ingestion was sort of lacking in key areas all of the models will have some sort of reaction to that. Who knows, but it's possible anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 Through 90 hours I dont see much if any difference. Temperatures are marginal, similar to the 0z. It's clearly warmer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 I would feel pretty comfortable if I were sitting along a KC > Cedar Rapids > Madison > Green Bay line winner Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 Possible this could all be a model fakeout and things go back the other way eventually. maybe, 3rd and long Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 lol x100 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RJSnowLover Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 And...the King is dead. At least for White Christmas prospects here in Chicago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 18, 2013 Author Share Posted December 18, 2013 Consistent ECMWF is consistent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 Still looking like a nice snow event for the GTA mixed in with freezing rain/sleet. Snow line did shift north, similar to the GFS elsewhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 KDTW gets in the mid 50s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 Still looking like a nice snow event for the GTA mixed in with freezing rain/sleet. Snow line did shift north, similar to the GFS elsewhere. You have to lay off those wxbell maps. How many times has it been explained to you that they're contaminated with PL and ZR. It's not a "nice snow event" for any part of the GTA. Snow doesn't fall when 850 temps = +6c Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 Well so much for 18-26" in DTW :lol: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whitelakeroy Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 winner I can't imagine Madison getting a monster winter storm ... oh wait thats right they get one all the time now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestCoaster Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 ZR galore again. NOT liking this. Would rather plain rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radtechwxman Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 Consistent ECMWF is consistent. wait has it shifted nw or not? everyone is freaking out that it is warmer and closer to GFS now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 Yeah definitely. Like Baroclinic Instability used to say, garbage in garbage out. If the 12z data ingestion was sort of lacking in key areas all of the models will have some sort of reaction to that. Who knows, but it's possible anyway. I'm going to hang my hat on this until 0z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 You have to lay off those wxbell maps. How many times has it been explained to you that they're contaminated with PL and ZR. It's not a "nice snow event" for any part of the GTA. Snow doesn't fall when 850 temps = +6c LOL, yeah true i do.. I dont have access to the raw data so TorontoBlizzard is going to have to post that.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 Congrats to weatherbo!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 Still holding out hope that this goes so far west that we escape any heavy rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 LOL, yeah true i do.. I dont have access to the raw data so TorontoBlizzard is going to have to post that.. Here's a tip. When analyzing a model, snowfall is not the first plot you should check. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 Congrats to weatherbo!!! 40" snow depth by this time next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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