Ottawa Blizzard Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 On 12/18/2013 at 5:04 PM, WestCoaster said: 36 hours straight of freezing rain. My God.. Would be a disaster for Toronto. Rob Ford may have his defining moment as leader of the city if this were to happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nelson Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 12z GFS and GEM runs looking pretty similar.... 12z GEM 12z GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Perry Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 My God, if the GGEM holds true. I can hear it already. The Christmas Ice Storm... 1-3" of ice on everything. That would be devastating for many. I think the threat for an ice storm here or near is VERY real. I'm starting to get a little concerned actually. This system means business, and for what's advertised, we wouldn't forget it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 On 12/18/2013 at 5:15 PM, Andy said: 12z GFS and GEM runs looking pretty similar.... 12z GEM GEM_12_054_12_108.jpg 12z GFS gfs_namer_099_850_temp_mslp_precip.gif GEM isn't as deep or as far NW with track of the sfc low though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestCoaster Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 On 12/18/2013 at 5:17 PM, Harry Perry said: My God, if the GGEM holds true. I can hear it already. The Christmas Ice Storm... 1-3" of ice on everything. That would be devastating for many. I think the threat for an ice storm here or near is VERY real. I'm starting to get a little concerned actually. This system means business, and for what's advertised, we wouldn't forget it. I'm very worried. Not only do I have travel plans on the Monday, but I also have an exam. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 On 12/18/2013 at 5:12 PM, Geos said: Lol, anyone see the DGEX?! Crazy amounts in IL. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 Not often do you see this type of environment with a developing winter storm.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
huronicane Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 On 12/18/2013 at 5:12 PM, RCNYILWX said: Gino is working today and he hates snow and cold so I'm sure he's rooting for the GFS/GEM lol. I can hear it now... "'Twas the Wednesday before Christmas, and all through LOT, we looked at the models and wished they were hot..." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 I wouldnt even look at the GGEM. Cycle through the maps and watch the low move and you will have a laugh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidwestChaser Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 On 12/18/2013 at 5:13 PM, Ottawa Blizzard said: Would be a disaster for Toronto. Rob Ford may have his defining moment as leader of the city if this were to happen. OT: Have you seen the Chris Farley Rob Ford trailer? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 Tsnow, I can see the convective activity robbing cold sector precipitation perhaps. Hopefully that doesn't come to fruition l. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 On 12/18/2013 at 5:12 PM, Geos said: Lol, anyone see the DGEX?! Crazy amounts in IL. Trolling the areas impacted by GHD 2011 hard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 Check out the tremendous PWats off the 12z St. Louis WRF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nelson Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 On 12/18/2013 at 5:19 PM, snowstormcanuck said: GEM isn't as deep or as far NW with track of the sfc low though I do agree about the low placement but the precip shields are pretty similar. It's always hard to place the SLP on the GEM maps - on this one it looks like the SLP is up near Green Bay. Next 24 hours will be fun as we close in on a solution. My .02 is that we'll end up somewhere between what the 12z GFS is showing and what the Euro has been showing fairly consistently for the last few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidwestChaser Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 12z Euro should be starting up soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 On 12/18/2013 at 5:21 PM, huronicane said: Gino is working today and he hates snow and cold so I'm sure he's rooting for the GFS/GEM lol. I can hear it now... "'Twas the Wednesday before Christmas, and all through LOT, we looked at the models and wished they were hot..." Lol, that's fantastic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torontonian Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 On 12/18/2013 at 5:20 PM, WestCoaster said: I'm very worried. Not only do I have travel plans on the Monday, but I also have an exam. Back in late 80's to mid 90's traveled back and forth Toronto to Montreal for school etc... So often big ice storm was forecast and Toronto would be 0.5 degree rain when i left. The ice started Trenton / Belleville and eastward usually. If some of there models came to fruition it would be a rare event for T.O. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 Crazy amounts of water on the GGEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 On 12/18/2013 at 5:30 PM, wisconsinwx said: Tsnow, I can see the convective activity robbing cold sector precipitation perhaps. Hopefully that doesn't come to fruition l. this needs to die Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Perry Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 On 12/18/2013 at 5:31 PM, Powerball said: Trolling the areas impacted by GHD 2011 hard. Hahaha... 36" of snow. Imagine 20:1 ratios. Weenie material for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 any word on the 12z GFS mean, i'm guessing it's east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 On 12/18/2013 at 5:36 PM, A-L-E-K said: any word on the 12z GFS mean, i'm guessing it's east. GEFS look wrapped up like the OP per ewall site. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 With the incredible amount of moisture available for this storm if it could just get structured right some ridiculous snowfall amounts aren't entirely out of the question IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 On 12/18/2013 at 5:34 PM, Geos said: Crazy amounts of water on the GGEM. Very EURO like Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 Still looks like more than 1/2 an inch of ice for YYZ on the GFS even with that track. Then it goes over to rain of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 On 12/18/2013 at 5:37 PM, snowstormcanuck said: GEFS look wrapped up like the OP per ewall site. just saw, member spread better than it has been but still not great Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 Ukie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 On 12/18/2013 at 5:37 PM, snowstormcanuck said: GEFS look wrapped up like the OP per ewall site. Perhaps 1 or 2 look like the OP otherwise most are GGEM and EURO like at least to my eye. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 classic ukie bomb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 This will indeed be a classic case of the King versus the other models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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