Tropopause_Fold Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 Canadian is really ugly for NNE...it looks more CADish than the GFS. downside to that run is the boundary getting hung up along the east coast into xmas eve. yuck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 downside to that run is the boundary getting hung up along the east coast into xmas eve. yuck. Well it does produce an anafront snow event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 SNE eventually torches, but nrn MA might be wedged. A chip and a putt and its in the hole! Not looking good IMO. The Aleutian Ridge completely breaks-down and it appears a Jet-Max is screaming across the CPAC. That would be a zonal flow into the Continent in the D10 timeframe and beyond. The Atlantic better cooperate or...I'm not going to say it but one thing is for sure it's going to get pretty testy in these threads. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 Well it does produce an anafront snow event. dah. lol. that must come after 144. i only saw out to 12z tue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 Canadian is really ugly for NNE...it looks more CADish than the GFS. More so than its 00z Run was? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 GFS is showing a huge coastal storm New Years Eve/New Years Day. Looking good! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 looks like its about 70F in newark. congrats. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 I have very high confidence in one of these 39/38 1/8SM vis fog and DZ+ days in the valley, especially if the further west trend continues and keeps us out of the heavier rains. Yeah, not really worried about complete decimation of the snow pack especially up in this part of the valley. Greenfield to Brattleboro ususlly damns the cold in pretty well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 GFS is showing a huge coastal storm New Years Eve/New Years Day. Eyes will be turning to that time period once christmas passes. It hasnt been the first time that popped up on the models. Gfs, euro have shown that time period to be watched. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 I think he does. He is just posting what the models show. He has not forecasted anything We need his input. Some of us might not like it, but it is what it is. Good medicine LMAO not really It is pretty obvious what is happening here both with FF and with the weather. God I've only been up here 5 years but this situation is an icestorm at least down to Will. Does it break through at some point for a few hours before a frontal passage? probably for most. Do we keep a good part of our snow pack? Yes. To add to the side of CAD is the thick snow pack which will make it even harder to move the front north. This feels like Dec 08 maybe a little further north. It'll run up Newark's fanny but won't get past Tolland's abs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 A chip and a putt and its in the hole! Not looking good IMO. The Aleutian Ridge completely breaks-down and it appears a Jet-Max is screaming across the CPAC. That would be a zonal flow into the Continent in the D10 timeframe and beyond. The Atlantic better cooperate or...I'm not going to say it but one thing is for sure it's going to get pretty testy in these threads. A chip and a putt and its in the hole! Not looking good IMO. The Aleutian Ridge completely breaks-down and it appears a Jet-Max is screaming across the CPAC. That would be a zonal flow into the Continent in the D10 timeframe and beyond. The Atlantic better cooperate or...I'm not going to say it but one thing is for sure it's going to get pretty testy in these threads. I think the Atlantic is going to cooperate. Maybe the New Years Eve storm (my 50th btw) will be the pattern changer to a better Atlantic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 he trolls those who root for snow and cold. Same routine on 2 message board for years That may be the case, but for the most part he's a pretty good forecaster. At least everyone on those "2 message boards" knows what Forky is all about. I'm not sure I can say the same about you and your 2 faces. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 Well it does produce an anafront snow event. Yeah me....I'll bank my sloppy 1" right now. Eh...the take away is the pattern is producing exactly what a lot of us thought. It may not be a prolonged snowpack type of winter and we're going to have substantial but brief pauses (warm ups) but we'll have our shots on either side. I like...long as I get out of the boned zone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 Not that cold but low 40's for sure You can envision a place like CEF locked at 32 all weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 The weekend event may warrants its own thread so as to not clutter up this dec pattern thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 GEFS are definitely cooler than the op for Saturday, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 New thread for the weekend is started. GEFS continue to trend colder? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 GEFS are definitely cooler than the op for Saturday, yeah much cooler. 30s pretty far south. maybe even freezing down into N MA by the looks of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 yeah much cooler. 30s pretty far south. maybe even freezing down into N MA by the looks of it. Where is the 32* isotherm in 6 months? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 lol ginx. that formatting is stellar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 Where is the 32* isotherm in 6 months? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cny rider Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 I don't contribute a lot, but read more to learn. I find forky's posts informative and I enjoy reading what he writes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 And just think..this is the coarse resolution of the GFS/GEFS picking up this signal. wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 84 Sun 12/22 00Z 24 ° 27 ° 24 ° 23 ° E 4 SSE 7 WSW 27 0.08 0.00 543 561 -16 ° 1 ° -5 ° 1022 100 % 0 ° 87 Sun 12/22 03Z 25 ° 25 ° 24 ° 23 ° ENE 2 SSE 7 SSW 22 0.14 0.00 545 562 -15 ° 1 ° -5 ° 1021 100 % 1 ° 90 Sun 12/22 06Z 26 ° 26 ° 24 ° 24 ° NE 4 E 7 SSW 16 0.14 0.00 546 563 -14 ° 1 ° -5 ° 1019 100 % 1 ° 93 Sun 12/22 09Z 26 ° 26 ° 25 ° 25 ° ENE 4 E 9 SSW 13 0.17 0.00 548 563 -13 ° 1 ° -4 ° 1018 100 % 1 ° 96 Sun 12/22 12Z 26 ° 26 ° 25 ° 25 ° ENE 7 E 13 SSW 16 0.12 0.00 548 564 -13 ° 1 ° -5 ° 1018 100 % 0 ° 99 Sun 12/22 15Z 25 ° 26 ° 23 ° 25 ° ENE 7 E 13 SSW 29 0.27 0.00 548 563 -12 ° 1 ° -7 ° 1017 100 % 1 ° 102 Sun 12/22 18Z 23 ° 26 ° 22 ° 21 ° ENE 7 ESE 13 SSW 40 0.21 0.00 551 563 -11 ° 2 ° -6 ° 1012 100 % 2 ° 105 Sun 12/22 21Z 26 ° 26 ° 22 ° 26 ° ENE 4 SE 13 SSW 45 0.28 0.00 555 563 -11 ° 5 ° -2 ° 1008 100 % 5 ° 108 Mon 12/23 00Z 30 ° 30 ° 22 ° 30 ° SSE 2 S 16 SW 63 0.09 0.00 557 563 -11 ° 9 ° 2 ° 1005 100 % 9 ° Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 I think the Atlantic is going to cooperate. Maybe the New Years Eve storm (my 50th btw) will be the pattern changer to a better Atlantic. Archembalt event maybe? Once the EPO relaxes and we recieve no help from the atlantic or pacific hopes of a good january as far as snow chances may diminish with pacific air in the pattern over the pure gold arctic air we've been blessed to have. Current teleconnector forecast today out 15 days really is not the prettiest thats for sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 84 Sun 12/22 00Z 24 ° 27 ° 24 ° 23 ° E 4 SSE 7 WSW 27 0.08 0.00 543 561 -16 ° 1 ° -5 ° 1022 100 % 0 ° 87 Sun 12/22 03Z 25 ° 25 ° 24 ° 23 ° ENE 2 SSE 7 SSW 22 0.14 0.00 545 562 -15 ° 1 ° -5 ° 1021 100 % 1 ° 90 Sun 12/22 06Z 26 ° 26 ° 24 ° 24 ° NE 4 E 7 SSW 16 0.14 0.00 546 563 -14 ° 1 ° -5 ° 1019 100 % 1 ° 93 Sun 12/22 09Z 26 ° 26 ° 25 ° 25 ° ENE 4 E 9 SSW 13 0.17 0.00 548 563 -13 ° 1 ° -4 ° 1018 100 % 1 ° 96 Sun 12/22 12Z 26 ° 26 ° 25 ° 25 ° ENE 7 E 13 SSW 16 0.12 0.00 548 564 -13 ° 1 ° -5 ° 1018 100 % 0 ° 99 Sun 12/22 15Z 25 ° 26 ° 23 ° 25 ° ENE 7 E 13 SSW 29 0.27 0.00 548 563 -12 ° 1 ° -7 ° 1017 100 % 1 ° 102 Sun 12/22 18Z 23 ° 26 ° 22 ° 21 ° ENE 7 ESE 13 SSW 40 0.21 0.00 551 563 -11 ° 2 ° -6 ° 1012 100 % 2 ° 105 Sun 12/22 21Z 26 ° 26 ° 22 ° 26 ° ENE 4 SE 13 SSW 45 0.28 0.00 555 563 -11 ° 5 ° -2 ° 1008 100 % 5 ° 108 Mon 12/23 00Z 30 ° 30 ° 22 ° 30 ° SSE 2 S 16 SW 63 0.09 0.00 557 563 -11 ° 9 ° 2 ° 1005 100 % 9 ° 1998 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 Jeff, that is 1.42 FZRN for Rumford Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 I pinned the newly created thread for the 12/22-12/23 event...we can move specific discussion of that system there and keep this one for the general pattern talk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 Granted, there is a passive aggressive element to his motive, but I blame those who respond with any hint of animosity....that is what he feeds off of. Either ignore it, or objectively discuss his contribuitions, and I'd bet that the frequency of his posts in this particular subforum would wane. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 18, 2013 Share Posted December 18, 2013 Jeff, that is 1.42 FZRN for Rumford I could not see the height columns Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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