Damage In Tolland Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 I'd be shocked at 1". Maybe a see through dusting.Lol just enough to see the weenie thru Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 Lol just enough to see the weenie thru I'd certainly watch it, but it looks like it may dive SE this aftn. But, certainly cannot rule out a dusting there and maybe King James gets a little OES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 I'd be shocked at 1". Maybe a see through dusting. Wouldn't be enough for White Christmas since more than 70& of the grass would still be showing... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 hRRR shows the possibility of a Christmas Eve surprise for CT RI SE mass. How cool would that be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 hRRR shows the possibility of a Christmas Eve surprise for CT RI SE mass. How cool would that be. Good luck down there! I'll keep my fingers crossed that I can see a flurry up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 I'd certainly watch it, but it looks like it may dive SE this aftn. But, certainly cannot rule out a dusting there and maybe King James gets a little OES. How has torontos blizzard winter been going? Have not seen much of him Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 Looks like we'll get some cooler air in here next week. Maybe Santa will bring me some gloves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 24, 2013 Author Share Posted December 24, 2013 I posted this in the other thread but rightfully so that one is getting less attention at this point ... there might be a period/burst of light snow on Boxing day, but that is unrelated to a new wave that has emerged in the fast overall flow translation since this thread began... The last several GFS cycles have sharpened up this feature, now having even a slight negative orientation with strong mid-level wind max cutting over or just under our latitude(s), centered on hour 60. It's greatest currently modeled limitation is the lack of antecedent baroclinicity in the region from the OV to the upper MA, as the current best axis for that is being evacuated seaward; the ambiance won't have recovered in time (at least it doesn't appear that it could). The 12z Euro also has a very energetic mid-level evolution with this same feature, and the RH fields of all products suggests some saturability of the column, so one would think with that much dynamics cutting over-head we'd get a pulse or too of UVM and at least some shredded banding. Not a big deal, but adding some air affects to the holiday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 How's the clipper look for 30-31 on pm runs today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 How's the clipper look for 30-31 on pm runs today? Compressed on the Euro today...into the meat grinder. It may come back though on subsequent runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 How's the clipper look for 30-31 on pm runs today? OP Runs Euro is wet, 0c 850 line is way out in W NY. All of New Eng is above 0c, except for extreme N ME. GFS is OTS GGEm closer but still OTS Ukie looks OTS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 Compressed on the Euro today...into the meat grinder. It may come back though on subsequent runs. Compressed? Looks like it hits all of SNE up into CNE with a rain storm. Looking at Wunderground maps. 992mb low just SSW of ACK at 135hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols1989 Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 EURO amplifies the clipper around hour 120 through 144 and then a southern stream system gets in the mix and phases over Nova Scotia, Canada. MA, RI and CT gets rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 Compressed? Looks like it hits all of SNE up into CNE with a rain storm. Looking at Wunderground maps. 992mb low just SSW of ACK at 135hrs. I think you are looking at the downslope dandy on the 29th and not the New Years Eve clipper. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 I think you are looking at the downslope dandy on the 29th and not the New Years Eve clipper. Nope, Monday the 30th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 Nope, Monday the 30th. 12z Euro 135h image.JPG There's a clipper behind it that the Euro has been signaling for NYE and maybe into NY day. That's the one I am referring to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 There's a clipper behind it that the Euro has been signaling for NYE and maybe into NY day. That's the one I am referring to. Never knew there was one in there. I would not be optimistic about with the way models have the PV oriented around than. Meat-grinder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 Wait we have a warm Rainer on the 29th? I thought folks said we were done with those Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 Wait we have a warm Rainer on the 29th? I thought folks said we were done with those Yeah Euro is a rainer unfortunately Sunday night. Very mild. 850s start out at like +5C And... we have been saying that this weekend would be mild. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 Wait we have a warm Rainer on the 29th? I thought folks said we were done with those Why would we be done? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 Yeah Euro is a rainer unfortunately Sunday night. Very mild. 850s start out at like +5C And... we have been saying that this weekend would be mild. #fallenondeafears Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 Why would we be done?Yestwrday the talk was one mild day and then it's off to epic ness. Now there's 55 degree high dew soueaster thrown in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 There was no talk of a warm rainstorm. Not one comment about that. It's nbd but let's not act like that was talked about as going to happen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 Do we really get going after the Rainer on the 29th? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 Yestwrday the talk was one mild day and then it's off to epic ness. Now there's 55 degree high dew soueaster thrown in There was no talk of a warm rainstorm. Not one comment about that. It's nbd but let's not act like that was talked about as going to happen Most of us assume people look at the models at the very least and the red tag stuff is just value added discussion. Also depends on how you define epic. Will it get cold? Absolutely. Will the cold be wire to wire with no chance of a bad storm track when the PV wobbles? Absolutely not. Hopefully santa brings you some reading comprehension skills Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 Do we really get going after the Rainer on the 29th? Probably not - Euro is likely out to lunch... I bet that wave is suppressed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 There was no talk of a warm rainstorm. Not one comment about that. It's nbd but let's not act like that was talked about as going to happen Relax. Euro develops a low over the SE. May or may not happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 Relax. Euro develops a low over the SE. May or may not happen. Yeah I'm skeptical of that low affecting us...but the downslope dandy on the 29th has been there for days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols1989 Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 Most models develop a SE low, GFS, GGEM and EURO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 24, 2013 Share Posted December 24, 2013 Do we really get going after the Rainer on the 29th? Probably not - Euro is likely out to lunch... I bet that wave is suppressed. Agreed. Sent from my DROID RAZR using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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