Damage In Tolland Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 I actually decided to start a thread for it ... it may not garner much attention and it's probably lower priority with this icing thing and our warm up pre-occupying folks' attention, but if something comes of that, at least we will have had some attention given to it.Weve been talking about for 2 days. It looks similar to that one a few weeks ago that was supposed to snow but the cold didn't arrive in time and ended up meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 20, 2013 Author Share Posted December 20, 2013 Weve been talking about for 2 days. It looks similar to that one a few weeks ago that was supposed to snow but the cold didn't arrive in time and ended up meh A few may have mentioned it, I don't doubt, but by and large the balance of the attention is obsessing over this losing snow thing. Yes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 20, 2013 Share Posted December 20, 2013 Weve been talking about for 2 days. It looks similar to that one a few weeks ago that was supposed to snow but the cold didn't arrive in time and ended up meh Yeah that was mentioned by a bunch yesterday and Wed when some models like the GGEM had snowfall...fallen on the back burner for now as a low threat situation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 20, 2013 Author Share Posted December 20, 2013 Yeah that was mentioned by a bunch yesterday and Wed when some models like the GGEM had snowfall...fallen on the back burner for now as a low threat situation. So what? So it was mentioned -- it isn't now and it should be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 21, 2013 Share Posted December 21, 2013 I wonder if Judah Cohen picks stocks too? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols1989 Posted December 21, 2013 Share Posted December 21, 2013 GGEM is aggressive with the frontal low, a lot of precip hits SNE. Then flow backs northerly for a time on Wednesday morning, I think we could get a few good hours of snow showers developing over the bay, but nothing accumulating currently anticipated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 21, 2013 Share Posted December 21, 2013 I wonder if Judah Cohen picks stocks too? Since most of us picked a +AO winter, we should be rich. Beware of a more -AO possibly developing over the next month as the PV gets disturbed. It's not a definite but something to watch. Solar bombardment and westerly QBO to go along with that thought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 21, 2013 Share Posted December 21, 2013 multiple threats on the horizon. maybe warms a bit just after xmas again but after that, seems like polar bears will be migrating south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 21, 2013 Share Posted December 21, 2013 multiple threats on the horizon. maybe warms a bit just after xmas again but after that, seems like polar bears will be migrating south. Yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 21, 2013 Share Posted December 21, 2013 anything good on or before Dec 31? 45 people in the Berks celebrating my 50th.... been so focused on the ice storm and the Jan pattern that I haven't really paid attention to the next 7-10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 21, 2013 Share Posted December 21, 2013 YesWhen is next threat? Late next week? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobertSul Posted December 21, 2013 Share Posted December 21, 2013 I don't know if anyone mentioned it but upper-level shear in New England at 15z Christmas Eve is literally off the charts... 12z NAM showing 140+ knots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 21, 2013 Share Posted December 21, 2013 When is next threat? Late next week? After NY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 21, 2013 Share Posted December 21, 2013 After NY. Shades down for ten more days? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 21, 2013 Share Posted December 21, 2013 Shades down for ten more days? It will be cold from time to time, but I don't see a combo of snow and cold until after NY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 21, 2013 Share Posted December 21, 2013 It's basically boredom between now and NY unless a miracle happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 21, 2013 Share Posted December 21, 2013 Which is why i am heading to NNE this pm. If its 33f rain i will not be happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 21, 2013 Share Posted December 21, 2013 It will be cold from time to time, but I don't see a combo of snow and cold until after NY. WTF happened. This blows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 21, 2013 Share Posted December 21, 2013 WTF happened. This blows Maybe your day 10 NYE festivus storm works out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 21, 2013 Share Posted December 21, 2013 Maybe your day 10 NYE festivus storm works out.i have a hard time believing there s not gonna be any flakes or light snow events thru the end of the year. Esp in a cold below normal pattern. Something will come along. Some clipper or something Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 21, 2013 Share Posted December 21, 2013 i have a hard time believing there s not gonna be any flakes or light snow events thru the end of the year. Esp in a cold below normal pattern. Something will come along. Some clipper or something Maybe, but I see nothing really legit. I already wrote the period off. If something happens...awesome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted December 21, 2013 Share Posted December 21, 2013 Holy crap! So we basically go 2 weeks with nothing (from this past Wednesday) in what has been a good winter? Oy vey.... I'll believe Leon when I see him. Harumph and Bah Humbug! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted December 21, 2013 Share Posted December 21, 2013 I see 3 "cold blasts", but no real snow chances until NY like Coastal said because each time the cold is transitional. First front Tuesday, second Friday, then the third around New Years...The last one (NY time period) may not be transitional, and therefore we see snow chances arise in Early Jan. The last one is the good one because it looks like we see a true +PNA form by then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 21, 2013 Share Posted December 21, 2013 WTF happened. This blows At least its cold, lol. It looks awful boring on the 12z models for the next 10 days...maybe a couple very weak fropas with flurries and a clipper or two north of the US/Canadian border. Total QPF is useless at that point of time, but models are showing under 0.25" (and even under 0.1" for some areas) for all of New England during the 7 days between Xmas and New Years. Take a nap and wake up in 2014. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 21, 2013 Share Posted December 21, 2013 Cold and dry or warm and wet. Story of early 2014 too. Transitional periods where it's colder longer and snowy. No real Atlantic blocking will keep things moving Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 21, 2013 Share Posted December 21, 2013 Pattern is fine. Spoiled people thinking it has to be cold and snow. January looks good from my end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 21, 2013 Share Posted December 21, 2013 Cold and dry or warm and wet. Story of early 2014 too. Transitional periods where it's colder longer and snowy. No real Atlantic blocking will keep things moving Not really. Nov was solidly below normal and so far Dec is too (even with this thaw). Most are above normal in SF too. Just had to call you out on that. It's wrong. And secondly, it's not even 2014 yet. Posts like this just stir the pot and lead to insufferable posts (this one I'm typing included!). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 21, 2013 Share Posted December 21, 2013 Not really. Nov was solidly below normal and so far Dec is too (even with this thaw). Most are above normal in SF too. Just had to call you out on that. It's wrong. And secondly, it's not even 2014 yet. Posts like this just stir the pot and lead to insufferable posts (this one I'm typing included!). Well, where he lives, it has been cold and dry/warm and wet...well, maybe a little cool and wet? All about perspective....he has .5" on the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 21, 2013 Share Posted December 21, 2013 Not really. Nov was solidly below normal and so far Dec is too (even with this thaw). Most are above normal in SF too. Just had to call you out on that. It's wrong. And secondly, it's not even 2014 yet. Posts like this just stir the pot and lead to insufferable posts (this one I'm typing included!). We had about week or so of snowier weather in sne. Thats gone and ftmp isn't returning before the calendar rolls barring a major change A majority of the few big qpf producers have been on the warmer side. My feeling on early January is without blocking the coastal areas in sne will continue to struggle with mild ups with systems flying across. When we have cold highs building down its dry when we have storms the cold is able to retreat enough to give up the toys the further south one goes. I don't see early January as particularly encouraging in lower sne. I see more slop but hopefully that evolves I've got 5.5 to 6" Ray. I was very much on the side of December being good. I'm just not nearly as confident with January as many are here. again for coastal sne Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols1989 Posted December 21, 2013 Share Posted December 21, 2013 We had about week or so of snowier weather in sne. Thats gone and ftmp isn't returning before the calendar rolls barring a major change A majority of the few big qpf producers have been on the warmer side. My feeling on early January is without blocking the coastal areas in sne will continue to struggle with mild ups with systems flying across. When we have cold highs building down its dry when we have storms the cold is able to retreat enough to give up the toys the further south one goes. I don't see early January as particularly encouraging in lower sne. I see more slop but hopefully that evolves I've got 5.5 to 6" Ray. I was very much on the side of December being good. I'm just not nearly as confident with January as many are here. again for coastal sne Coastal SNE doesn't normally get their big snows until mid to late January into February anyways so it doesn't bother me that we get rain while areas further inland jackpot and get big snow totals. By the way, anyone seen the 18z NAM, it goes bonkers with the h5 shortwave trough over New England. Near record cold or at least very cold air coming for Tuesday. And if we get some snow along with that cold it will be terrific. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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