Stinkbugspecialist Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 Hey thanks jen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 I had to go over to Passavant Hospital in the North Hills for a medical emergency last night and arrived at the Hospital at 10:00. It was just starting to flurry when I went in. I left the hospital at Midnight and there was 3 inches of snow on my car and it was snowing harder than I have seen this year ( at least 1/8 mile visibility or less) . On my 7 mile trip home I saw one other car and almost the entire trip had "zero" tire tracks on the roads. It was one of the worst times to be driving. You couldn't see and tell what lane you were in. When I pulled in to house the snow was starting to mix and turn to sleet and freezing rain. Must have picked up 4 inches in 2 hours before the changeover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jwilson Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 Losing confidence in weekend system, at least anything meaningful. The whole flow looks like it flattens out, definitely not conducive to a prolonged, amplified event. It's possible the pattern breaks for a week coming into this weekend then re-establishes in time for V-day/President's day. Little faith in any long-term solutions anymore. This storm looked great for maybe five days in a row, and now the models have almost completely flipped the look of the upper levels. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 Canadian looks like a nice hit for us for weekend. http://collaboration.cmc.ec.gc.ca/cmc/cmdn/pcpn_type/pcpn_type_gem_reg.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 I had to go over to Passavant Hospital in the North Hills for a medical emergency last night and arrived at the Hospital at 10:00. It was just starting to flurry when I went in. I left the hospital at Midnight and there was 3 inches of snow on my car and it was snowing harder than I have seen this year ( at least 1/8 mile visibility or less) . On my 7 mile trip home I saw one other car and almost the entire trip had "zero" tire tracks on the roads. It was one of the worst times to be driving. You couldn't see and tell what lane you were in. When I pulled in to house the snow was starting to mix and turn to sleet and freezing rain. Must have picked up 4 inches in 2 hours before the changeover. Similar experience last night - i was out during most of the actual falling snow, but no plows out yet. Storm arrived in spectacular fashion like Feb '10. No messing arround waiting for the heavy stuff. Different end result of course Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Evilpens64 Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 Losing confidence in weekend system, at least anything meaningful. The whole flow looks like it flattens out, definitely not conducive to a prolonged, amplified event. It's possible the pattern breaks for a week coming into this weekend then re-establishes in time for V-day/President's day. Little faith in any long-term solutions anymore. This storm looked great for maybe five days in a row, and now the models have almost completely flipped the look of the upper levels. hahaha so you lose faith in a storm that hasn't "Been there" for 2 days BUT you really Have High Hope fo storm over a week away STOP Living & Dying Run to Run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA 1156 AM EST WED FEB 5 2014 .LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/... CHANGES TO THE LONG TERM FORECAST INCLUDED AN UPWARD ADJUSTMENT TO SUNDAY POPS GIVEN GFS/ECMWF AGRMNT ON PHASING...CROSSING SHRTWV. AS THIS SOLN LOOSELY CORRELATES WITH PREVIOUS TRENDS...HAVE PROGGED HIGH END CHC NMBRS WITH LIMITATIONS IMPOSED VIA A NRN LOW TRACK AND PROGGED MID LVL DRY SURGE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 Don't know how well this short term model did with other areas, but it looks like it did pretty well with our area from what I can tell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SteelCity08 Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 So looks like a bust on the cold side, the torrential rains and heavy ice never came, this was mostly a snow event for a majority of the Pittsburgh metro area. Maybe a lesson for the Eeyores here so quick to bellyache about .."Oh it always rains here, it always does" I'm not sure it was the cold that busted so much. The low was forecasted pretty well. We picked up most of our snow in a 2.5, 3 hour window, followed by 3-4 hours of ice. If anything busted it was how heavy the precip was. That certainly helped keep the layers cool enough to keep us all snow a little longer than expected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Evilpens64 Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 I'm not sure it was the cold that busted so much. The low was forecasted pretty well. We picked up most of our snow in a 2.5, 3 hour window, followed by 3-4 hours of ice. If anything busted it was how heavy the precip was. That certainly helped keep the layers cool enough to keep us all snow a little longer than expected. NOPE!! NWS had just changed my forecast to brief period of Sleet & Freezing Rain to all rain & Possible heavy Rain as it was starting to dump snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackngoldrules Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 We have some snow showers moving through putting down a coating. Roads are a little slick right now with the wet roadways refreezing over and a coating of snow on top of that. Sent from my XT897 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 I'll give till the 00z runs tonight, but I think the weekend storm is likely not going to materialize. Henry is still hyping it, but he always does this and then blames the models if they dissappear... Same with jb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rdd9108 Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 I'll give till the 00z runs tonight, but I think the weekend storm is likely not going to materialize. Henry is still hyping it, but he always does this and then blames the models if they dissappear... Same with jb. i kind of agree but all it takes is the s/w to dig deeper than the models are showing and the east coast gets a big storm. We shall see, it seems like the good storms are the ones that dont show up till 2 days before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChalkHillSnowNut Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 yea Im gonna take a break until tomorrow night or friday morning....I almost guarantee its going to show something for the weekend....even if only 3-6"..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted February 5, 2014 Share Posted February 5, 2014 yea Im gonna take a break until tomorrow night or friday morning....I almost guarantee its going to show something for the weekend....even if only 3-6"..... Same here, probably check the models once per day for 12z runs and see if anything is moving in the right direction. Could be another storm mid week next week too, right now its a bit to far south, but at 7-8 days out maybe things can work out for it. Still not sure what to make of the weekend storm. Too early to just dismiss it given how storms have popped up or changed dramatically in relatively short lead times this year. No reason to think that won't continue, of course it could end up completely missing too. Would love to see those amped and phased solutions (so long is it doesn't turn into a cutter) again but a 2-4 or even 3-6 would be nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rdd9108 Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 So just want to say that I hate TWC. someone I work with came up to me and showed me an article on their site. Of course it read, "A mega blizzard this weekend?" The article was about how that control run map was showing huge amounts of snow. It wasn't a bad article but that headline is gonna mislead a lot of common folk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jwilson Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 So just want to say that I hate TWC. someone I work with came up to me and showed me an article on their site. Of course it read, "A mega blizzard this weekend?" The article was about how that control run map was showing huge amounts of snow. It wasn't a bad article but that headline is gonna mislead a lot of common folk. It's a sensationalist headline to drive traffic, pretty much all media is guilty of this. TWC does it all the time. I've noticed the control maps and the Weather Bell maps can all be ignored; for whatever reason the snow outputs on those are way overdone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SteelCity08 Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 NOPE!! NWS had just changed my forecast to brief period of Sleet & Freezing Rain to all rain & Possible heavy Rain as it was starting to dump snow I was referring more towards allegheny county, they pretty much nailed the forecast up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 I think I've had on-going light snow for the last couple hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rdd9108 Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 So I was looking at the Euro on weatherbell for upcoming storms and i know its far out but vday storm looks good. Widespread 6+ inches and we see close to a foot. A little northern trend and we see a foot+. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PennMan Posted February 6, 2014 Share Posted February 6, 2014 Someone should start a new Pittsburgh thread when they get the chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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