ChalkHillSnowNut Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 That looks just about the same to me.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
meatwad Posted February 4, 2014 Author Share Posted February 4, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Evilpens64 Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 That looks just about the same to me.... Nah Heavier Snow is down to Pitts Airport, I am still about the same though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Evilpens64 Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Man those temps we have on our posts are too warm, My House it is 16.5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 That's the weekend storm... but pretty nice to look at! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackngoldrules Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Big changes on the 00z GFS run for the weekend storm. Not for the good unfortunately. Hopefully, just one run and won't turn into a trend. Let's see what the 00z Euro has to say about this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psunate1977 Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Still think that rain line is too close. Seems like we get more rain then snow with these setups. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackngoldrules Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Winter Storm Warning URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA 340 AM EST TUE FEB 4 2014 MDZ001-OHZ039>041-048>050-057-058-PAZ013-014-020>023-029-073-074- 076-WVZ001-002-041645- /O.UPG.KPBZ.WS.A.0002.140205T0000Z-140206T0000Z/ /O.NEW.KPBZ.WS.W.0003.140205T0000Z-140205T1800Z/ GARRETT-TUSCARAWAS-CARROLL-COLUMBIANA-COSHOCTON-HARRISON- JEFFERSON OH-MUSKINGUM-GUERNSEY-LAWRENCE-BUTLER-BEAVER-ALLEGHENY- ARMSTRONG-INDIANA-WASHINGTON-WESTMORELAND-WESTMORELAND RIDGES- FAYETTE RIDGES-HANCOCK-BROOKE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OAKLAND MD...NEW PHILADELPHIA... CARROLLTON...SALEM...COSHOCTON...CADIZ...STEUBENVILLE... ZANESVILLE...CAMBRIDGE...NEW CASTLE...BUTLER...BEAVER... PITTSBURGH METRO AREA...KITTANNING...INDIANA...WASHINGTON... GREENSBURG...LATROBE...LIGONIER...DONEGAL...CHAMPION...OHIOPYLE... WEIRTON...BETHANY 340 AM EST TUE FEB 4 2014 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST WEDNESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PITTSBURGH HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW...SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST WEDNESDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * ICE ACCUMULATIONS...A TENTH TO A QUARTER OF AN INCH. * SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 7 INCHES...HIGHEST TOTALS NORTH OF PITTSBURGH. * SNOW AND ICE BEGINNING...THIS EVENING. * PERIOD OF MOST INTENSE SNOW AND ICE...MIDNIGHT TO DAYBREAK WEDNESDAY. * SNOW AND ICE ENDING...LATE WEDNESDAY MORNING. * WINDS...NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH. * TEMPERATURES...MID TO UPPER 20S. * IMPACTS...TREACHEROUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED DUE TO A WINTRY MIX OF SNOW SLEET AND ICE. THE WEIGHT OF THE SNOW AND ICE ACCUMULATIONS COULD KNOCK DOWN SOME TREE LIMBS AND POWER LINES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS THAT SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE WILL MAKE TRAVEL HAZARDOUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. REPORT SNOW OR ICE ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING...412-262-1988... POSTING TO THE NWS PITTSBURGH FACEBOOK PAGE...OR USING TWITTER @NWSPITTSBURGH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Well drive into work was eye opening for sure this morning. Literally 4 miles south of my back yard had at least 1 inch, 10 miles south was 2-3 easily. After that it was like a winter wonderland. Hopefully being a bit NE should help out with the storm tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Big changes on the 00z GFS run for the weekend storm. Not for the good unfortunately. Hopefully, just one run and won't turn into a trend. Let's see what the 00z Euro has to say about this. Yeah I saw that, seems like all models lost the storm to some degree. I guess there is that saying that models tend to lose the storm at some point, hopefully we are just in that period. Now this is just pure conjecture, but I've always wondered when all models tend to lose a storm at once if it has something to do with data sampling. IE, lets say some critical part of the storm that was modeled to exist all of the sudden finds itself in some sparse region that doesn't get sampled well, that then causes the solutions to be way off (hence the models lost the storm), then once this feature moves back into better sampling the storm re-emerges. On the other hand, it could just be that as we get closer in time and things are better resolved its now been determined the storm won't happen, I guess time will tell the tale. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psunate1977 Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Thinking North of 422 is going to be the place to be. Still think that rain line goes farther north. Maybe to I-70? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jen16226 Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Thinking North of 422 is going to be the place to be. Still think that rain line goes farther north. Maybe to I-70? I live 1 mile south of 422. It amazes me how it truly is a dividing line with the weather. It could be flurries in Ford City and as soon as you go across the bridge into Kittanning, BAM....a blizzard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gibson14 Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 I live 1 mile south of 422. It amazes me how it truly is a dividing line with the weather. It could be flurries in Ford City and as soon as you go across the bridge into Kittanning, BAM....a blizzard. I'm pretty close to you any thoughts on Indiana? Nam really brings in warm air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Evilpens64 Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 I'm pretty close to you any thoughts on Indiana? Nam really brings in warm air. NAM Is the outlier & did terrible on Last storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rdd9108 Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Wow NAM is awful. Hope everyone enjoys some cold rain. I am sick of winter and I know its gonna be a case of snowing till the end of march. We cant cash in on any storm. Either too far south or north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rdd9108 Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 But really now that my weenie rant is over. How does the NAM think is cutting into Erie like this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 NAM Is the outlier & did terrible on Last storm NAM sniffed out the Sunday Night storm first. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psunate1977 Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Like I said that rain line is too close for my liking. Looked like Flood watches are now further North Greene and Fayette. South of Route 22 may see more rain then anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psunate1977 Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 I'm pretty close to you any thoughts on Indiana? Nam really brings in warm air. Indiana will prob see some Ice, but snow mostly. I'm guessing 2-5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 NAM sniffed out the Sunday Night storm first. Most mets think the nam is totally out to lunch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Evilpens64 Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 NAM sniffed out the Sunday Night storm first. It Did ?? man I was looking at so many models my minds is a blur Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Evilpens64 Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Most mets think the nam is totally out to lunch. yeah I did read that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Like I said that rain line is too close for my liking. Looked like Flood watches are now further North Greene and Fayette. South of Route 22 may see more rain then anything. Based on what? Why are we all of a sudden taking the nam over other guidance? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psunate1977 Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 Based on what? Why are we all of a sudden taking the nam over other guidance? I'm using my gut on this one and other like storms over past 5 years. I guess we will see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 It Did ?? man I was looking at so many models my minds is a blur Yep, I mentioned it on Thursday that Sunday/Mon would need to be watched based on the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psunate1977 Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 ACCUWEATHER. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rdd9108 Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 I'm using my gut on this one and other like storms over past 5 years. I guess we will see im with you on this. More often than not, if theres warm air near by it usually creeps further north than modeled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 I doubt we see all that much snow, but this mostly rain stuff that is being said is simply not true. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psunate1977 Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 I doubt we see all that much snow, but this mostly rain stuff that is being said is simply not true. You better hope we see rain or snow. With the short salt supply Ice would be horrible. I just think that low is going to push warm air further North. I'll admit I haven't had time to dissect models, but knowing our history on this type of event we torch (at least city and south) more times then not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChalkHillSnowNut Posted February 4, 2014 Share Posted February 4, 2014 See what the RUC shows later...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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