blackngoldrules Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Nothing but a dusting here but icy spots as all wet areas have frozen solid. Looking at HRR most of our snow will come early am so don't let your guard down. Looks like a good couple of hours of moderate snow. Rush hour may have problems. Glad I don't have to work tomorrow. We'll see if the HRR turns out to be right. I was basically just eyeballing it earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoraopolisWx Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Impressive returns to the southwest. Whoever lands in that sweetspot should easily get 6-8". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoraopolisWx Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Sic gradient on the radar. You go from 25dbz to flurries within 20-30 miles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
meatwad Posted February 3, 2014 Author Share Posted February 3, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 An inch? Yeah I'm NE of the city, there is a very sharp cutoff in precip. IE, look at the snowfall map on the NAM. I'm right in the middle of the NWS 1-2 range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Evilpens64 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 **** you Not Jon Burnett just said 1-3 for Pgh. area & that he said was "UPPED" & the Mountains "Could" get a Foot !! hahahahahahahahaha What a Buffoon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Sickening gradient on the radar. You go from 25dbz to flurries within 20-30 miles Fixed. I dirve about 28 miles SE from my house to work in Greensburg, I feel like its very likely I go from a measly 1 -2 inches to 4-6 in that short distance. Frustrating to be so close to a signifcant storm and miss again. Second time this year. Sorry, had to get my toddler temper tantrum vented. With any lucky, maybe the University will close and I won't even have to shovel my sidewalk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 0z GFS is looking good for Wed. Looks like about 6-10 for WPa Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Yeah I'm NE of the city, there is a very sharp cutoff in precip. IE, look at the snowfall map on the NAM. I'm right in the middle of the NWS 1-2 range. Yes this will be very similar to the storm weeks back. We will be looking at 1-2 inches and the Southern Counties will be close to 5 again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rdd9108 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Idk I had a few for the game but it looks like the city is too far north for this storm. Idk the radar just looks like it just misses us. Am I wrong or does it look like we will be lucky to get a inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0058NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK1021 PM CST SUN FEB 02 2014AREAS AFFECTED...KY...SRN IND...SRN OH...WV...SWRN PA...WRN MD...FARNRN VACONCERNING...WINTER MIXED PRECIPITATIONVALID 030421Z - 030945ZSUMMARY...LARGE SHIELD OF MIXED PRECIPITATION WILL SPREAD FROMKY/NRN TN NORTHEAST INTO WV...WRN MD...AND SWRN PA...WITH SOMEINCREASE IN PRECIPITATION RATES POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT. SNOW WILL BETHE DOMINANT PRECIP TYPE ACROSS THE NRN PART OF THE MCD AREA WITHRATES OF 1-2 IN/HR BECOMING INCREASINGLY LIKELY AFTER 06Z. A NARROWZONE OF HEAVY ICING WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM NRN TN INTO SRN KY.DISCUSSION...A LARGE SHIELD OF WINTER PRECIP IS ONGOING AS OF 0400ZACROSS MUCH OF KY AND NRN TN...AHEAD OF A PROGRESSIVE UPPER WAVEMOVING INTO THE MS VALLEY. SUBSTANTIAL MOISTURE IS IN PLACE AHEAD OFTHIS WAVE...WITH 1 INCH PW VALUES NOTED AS FAR NORTH AS BNA ON THE00Z RAOB. A STRONG LOW-LEVEL JET WILL CONTINUE TO TRANSPORT THISMOISTURE OVER THE LEADING EDGE OF A COLD DOME...GENERATING A LARGEAREA OF MODERATE TO HEAVY PRECIPITATION.WHILE LOW-LEVEL COLD ADVECTION IS NOT PARTICULARLY STRONG...THE SFCFREEZING LINE HAS BEEN MOVING SLOWLY SWD THIS EVENING AND WILLCONTINUE TO DO SO OVERNIGHT. FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE FROM NRN TNINTO SRN KY...WITH ICING RATES AOA 0.05 IN/HR POSSIBLE. GRADUALDEEPENING OF THE COLD DOME ACROSS THE NRN PART OF THE MCD AREA WILLRESULT IN A TRANSITION TO PRIMARILY SNOW...WITH THE SNOW/FZRA LINEEXPECTED TO SLOWLY MOVE SWD WITH TIME. A CONSENSUS OF 00Z GUIDANCEINDICATES THE LLJ INCREASING TO 70-80 KTS AFTER 06Z...WHICH WILLSERVE TO INCREASE PRECIP RATES FROM ERN KY INTO SRN OH...NRNWV...AND SWRN PA LATE TONIGHT...WITH SNOW RATES OF 1-2 IN/HRBECOMING INCREASINGLY LIKELY...DEAN.. 02/03/2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Guy from Morgantown who posts in this thread... I imagine he'll be pretty happy when he awakens. They look to be getting absolutely hammered down there. 35-45dbz. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SteelCity08 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Brutal, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 lol Fixed. I dirve about 28 miles SE from my house to work in Greensburg, I feel like its very likely I go from a measly 1 -2 inches to 4-6 in that short distance. Frustrating to be so close to a signifcant storm and miss again. Second time this year. Sorry, had to get my toddler temper tantrum vented. With any lucky, maybe the University will close and I won't even have to shovel my sidewalk. I've got a dusting of snow at best.... Oh well, at least I get to go back to bed for a few hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psunate1977 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Have almost 4" here and still coming down good in SE Westmoreland Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psunate1977 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 lol Capture.JPG I've got a dusting of snow at best.... Oh well, at least I get to go back to bed for a few hours. Seems like anything south of Route 22 got good snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChalkHillSnowNut Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 On bethel Park schools closed today-guess there's about 3" out there right now-not a ton but certainly better than the forecasts of "up to an inch" even on evening newscasts last night...I'll take it and pray for Wednesday! Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoraopolisWx Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 On bethel Park schools closed today-guess there's about 3" out there right now-not a ton but certainly better than the forecasts of "up to an inch" even on evening newscasts last night...I'll take it and pray for Wednesday! LolYeah, it seems we got a little bit of northern edge love, here in the south hills. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Evilpens64 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 just did the steps & walk & I have at least 4 Inches & still snowing good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Evilpens64 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Joe Bastardi @BigJoeBastardi ecmwf has 20-30 inch snow cover in 8 days across southern pa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Had a short burst for about 20 minutes, starting to tapper off again. Closing in on a quarter inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jwilson Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 About 7" down here and still coming down at a decent rate. Most of that snow was dropped over a four-hour period, as I went to bed around 3 am and we only had a couple inches. If it hadn't been so warm the last couple days we may have done a bit better. Definitely taking this as in two days it will be washed away by rain, unfortunately. Hopefully Saturday or Sunday/Monday (depending on which model you choose) stays on course and it's a more widespread event for everyone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rdd9108 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Hows the next event looking. I only model I saw was the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Had a short burst for about 20 minutes, starting to tapper off again. Closing in on a quarter inch. 1/4 inch here as well. Pretty much cut across the city again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Evilpens64 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 http://link.brightcove.com/services/player/bcpid2929190252001?bckey=AQ~~,AAAAAGAhaJE~,HI8awA-NQcUiYEgk21efgU65gIfYDZ0U&bctid=3144814566001 Henry Margusity Morning Update ! short Version we is Getting Lots of Snow !!! if this is right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 About 3" at home just SE of Monroeville Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Found this regarding sampling of Wed storm. The system was partially sampled by 03/00z RAOBs in CA, but this feature`s paththrough northern Mexico will likely preclude full sampling until itreaches western TX around 12z Tu. This means that 1) models willlikely struggle to capture the true strength of the system, 2)model depictions of the H5/H85/sfc low tracks may shift around abit, leading to changes in the forecast onset of precipitation aswell as changes to ptypes and 3) last minute forecast adjustments to the axis of heaviest snowfallmay be required after the 12z models come in on Tue because thoseruns will have incorporated the most recent upper air observations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
meatwad Posted February 3, 2014 Author Share Posted February 3, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 NWS, says pretty much no snow accumulation for AGC for Tue/Wed Tuesday Night Rain, snow, and freezing rain likely before midnight, then snow, freezing rain, and sleet between midnight and 2am, then freezing rain and sleet after 2am. Low around 30. Northeast wind 8 to 11 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New precipitation amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible. Wednesday Snow and freezing rain likely before 11am, then a chance of snow. Cloudy, with a high near 35. Northwest wind 6 to 13 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch possible..SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... -- Changed Discussion -- INFLUENCE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE SHORT LIVED AS LOW PRESSURE WILL ADVANCE FROM THE SOUTHWEST. ALTHOUGH TUESDAY WILL BE DRY...TUESDAY NIGHT WILL BE THE PRIMARY TIME FOR PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION. ALTHOUGH THE NAM AND SREF HAVE NOW TRENDED TOWARDS THE REST OF THE MODEL GUIDANCE WHICH KEEPS THE SURFACE LOW FARTHER SOUTH AND EAST...DIFFERENCES IN THE TRACK OF THE 850MB LOW BETWEEN MODELS MAKES FORECASTING SPECIFIC PRECIPITATION TYPES VERY DIFFICULT. HAVE ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH FOR MOST AREAS NORTH OF PITTSBURGH...AS THIS IS THE AREA WITH HIGHER CONFIDENCE THAT WARNING CRITERIA SNOW WILL BE REACHED...ALTHOUGH SOME OF THESE COUNTIES WILL LIKELY SEE SOME SLEET OR FREEZING RAIN MIX IN AS WELL. EXCEPT FOR THE SOUTHERNMOST COUNTIES...WHERE PRECIPITATION COULD MANAGE TO REMAIN RAIN THE ENTIRE TIME...THE REST OF THE FORECAST AREA COULD RECEIVE NEARLY ANY PRECIPITATION TYPE. AM ALSO CONCERNED THAT THE RIDGES COULD HAVE A PROLONGED PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN...ALTHOUGH CONFIDENCE IS STILL LACKING ABOUT THE POSSIBLE ICE ACCUMULATION TO ISSUE A WATCH AT THIS TIME. FINALLY...ONE MORE CONCERN IS THAT IN LOCATIONS THAT RECEIVE PRIMARILY RAIN...RUNOFF COULD POTENTIALLY LEAD TO THE CREATION OF ICE JAMS ON LOCAL RIVERS. WITH THE SPEED OF THE SYSTEM...PRECIPITATION WILL BE CONTAINED TO ABOUT A 12 HOUR WINDOW...AND PRECIP SHOULD RAPIDLY DECREASE WEDNESDAY MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS. SOME LIGHT SNOW COULD CONTINUE IN THE TYPICAL LAKE EFFECT AND UPSLOPE AREAS...BUT A FROZEN LAKE ERIE SHOULD LIMIT THE AMOUNT OF MOISTURE AVAILABLE. TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE SHORT TERM SHOULD BE WITHIN A FEW DEGREES OF NORMAL. -- End Changed Discussion -- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psunate1977 Posted February 3, 2014 Share Posted February 3, 2014 Got over 6" here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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