Rdd9108 Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Does that map that meatwad posted include tuesday/wednesday storm also? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SteelCity08 Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Does that map that meatwad posted include tuesday/wednesday storm also? Nope, just tomorrow. From what I'm reading though the RUC has a northern bias. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Does that map that meatwad posted include tuesday/wednesday storm also? No that is just the next 24 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rdd9108 Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 I was going to say theres no way we see 6-8 inches with the little storm coming through. Although we have been surprised before. My guess would be 2-4. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Evilpens64 Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Well Joe Bastardi posted it on Twitter too, So he must agree with it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Nam has been super juicy the last couple of runs. A couple short range models I've seen are on board with the NAM totals, as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Well Joe Bastardi posted it on Twitter too, So he must agree with itThey were talking about the short term RUC which is notoriously amped up.The latest is painting a 12" bullseye in extreme northern Wva Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Nam showing nearly a half inch qpf. This bumps further north look out! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 feeling negative... First storm suppressed - congrats J Wilson though Second storm - a sloppy mess Third storm - vanishing by Wed. Hope i'm wrong - i'd love to see that 20" week per the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Evilpens64 Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 They were talking about the short term RUC which is notoriously amped up. The latest is painting a 12" bullseye in extreme northern Wva Joe Bastardi @BigJoeBastardi RUC model... kaboom! pic.twitter.com/gceqAHlNd0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Winter Storm Warning for Garrett (MD), Tucker (WV), and Preston (WV) now. 6-8". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Joe Bastardi @BigJoeBastardi RUC model... kaboom! pic.twitter.com/gceqAHlNd0 Oh gotcha - guess he posted that too, but it doesnt mean he fully buys it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Evilpens64 Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Oh gotcha - guess he posted that too, but it doesnt mean he fully buys it well I have followed him on Twitter for years & he usually posts things that he agrees with Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 well I have followed him on Twitter for years & he usually posts things that he agrees with...and that gets people going.Would be nice for us - just have seen that model do that before. The most recent is even better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Evilpens64 Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 ...and that gets people going. Would be nice for us - just have seen that model do that before. The most recent is even better No Model is Perfect but short Term ones are usually(NOT ALWAYS RIGHT) Good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Evilpens64 Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 http://i.imgur.com/VKawGay.png 18Z Hi Res NAM total snowfall for this storm.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChalkHillSnowNut Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 The weather channel isn't even catching on but they go straight GFS verbatim...it just says show showers and flurries overnight-30% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jwilson Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 I'm reading through other forums that the models showing high snowfall amounts are misreading temp profiles, so some of that moisture (probably half based on most estimates) ends up falling as rain. It's odd, though, because they aren't showing QPF amounts and then translating that to snowfall, at least as much as I understand. I just don't get why they are showing that much snow as "accumulated snowfall" if some of the QPF will be wasted as rain. WWA for our area 2-4", I just wonder if the NWS will adjust that at all. No idea what their thoughts are on this based on a lot of the models, including Canadian and I believe the Euro showing higher amounts. Edit - could be a ratio issue, models outputting in 10:1 when really it would be 6:1 or 8:1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 I'm reading through other forums that the models showing high snowfall amounts are misreading temp profiles, so some of that moisture (probably half based on most estimates) ends up falling as rain. It's odd, though, because they aren't showing QPF amounts and then translating that to snowfall, at least as much as I understand. I just don't get why they are showing that much snow as "accumulated snowfall" if some of the QPF will be wasted as rain. WWA for our area 2-4", I just wonder if the NWS will adjust that at all. No idea what their thoughts are on this based on a lot of the models, including Canadian and I believe the Euro showing higher amounts. I think NWS Pit is having a tough time too that is why they haven't updated yet. I am thinking a general 1-2 North Alleg Co. 2-3 in the South Hills and 3-5 for South of that. JMHO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackngoldrules Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 I think NWS Pit is having a tough time too that is why they haven't updated yet. I am thinking a general 1-2 North Alleg Co. 2-3 in the South Hills and 3-5 for South of that. JMHO They updated their forecast discussion so a new forecast should be coming shortly. They didn't give any specific amounts, but said the highest amounts will be south of I-70 which I think we all pretty much already knew. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 I'm reading through other forums that the models showing high snowfall amounts are misreading temp profiles, so some of that moisture (probably half based on most estimates) ends up falling as rain. It's odd, though, because they aren't showing QPF amounts and then translating that to snowfall, at least as much as I understand. I just don't get why they are showing that much snow as "accumulated snowfall" if some of the QPF will be wasted as rain. WWA for our area 2-4", I just wonder if the NWS will adjust that at all. No idea what their thoughts are on this based on a lot of the models, including Canadian and I believe the Euro showing higher amounts. Edit - could be a ratio issue, models outputting in 10:1 when really it would be 6:1 or 8:1. 4-6 now for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SteelCity08 Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Radar looks pretty nice, let's hope for the best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 20z RAP snowfall map is just crazy. lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Evilpens64 Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 https://twitter.com/Ray_WTAE/status/430095469348270080/photo/1 this is why I don't even watch Local weather & Sports they have so underfunded them & hiring Clueless boobs that I just get Sports, Weather & Even News online Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SteelCity08 Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 18z gfs seems to of came a bit north.. If I had to take a guess I'd say 2-4 on average through the county at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Evilpens64 Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 18Z Canadian RGEM snowfall total for the storm...looks very consistent with the NAM/Hi Res NAM/SREF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 It has begun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted February 2, 2014 Share Posted February 2, 2014 It has begun. Yep, driveway is lightly dusted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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