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Pittsburgh/Western Pa Weather


meatwad

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I am gonna post this just for fun. Mondays threat according to the gfs 00z. Wish we could look this in.

C3CA743F-F8DF-4D93-A87D-1A88944D4588_zps

 

 

I think with the next 3 clippers 4-8 inches would be very possible for WPA with possible blizzard conditions Saturday.  While not major snows for a single event, the fact that the 3 clippers are so close together will hopefully make it seem like 1 long event.

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Something to really consider with us going in the deep freeze the next week and a half, and a possible favorable pattern for storms in February is if we get a cutter with lots of rain and a thaw at the end of the pattern there could be major flooding issues. The rivers are likely to freeze over completely, as much as they have in quite some time as I am having a hard time remembering an extended stretch of under 20 degree weather like this recently.

Something to keep an eye on for sure.

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Weekend system looks like its dropping between .2 -.3 qpf per 12z NAM and GFS, if that trend continues it seems reasonable to say a widespread area of 3-5 inches are possible.

 

Monday system looks to be trending more NW, need that thing to track along the M/D line then swing North, but still time to see how both of these potential events will evolve.

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Weekend system looks like its dropping between .2 -.3 qpf per 12z NAM and GFS, if that trend continues it seems reasonable to say a widespread area of 3-5 inches are possible.

 

Monday system looks to be trending more NW, need that thing to track along the M/D line then swing North, but still time to see how both of these potential events will evolve.

Well Channel 2 KDKA just tweeted & Facebooked a 3-6 inch total 

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Winter Weather Advisory


URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA

322 PM EST THU JAN 23 2014

...VERY COLD WIND CHILLS TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING AND

ACCUMULATING SNOW FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...

OHZ039>041-048>050-057>059-068-069-PAZ007>009-013>016-020>023-029-

031-073-075-WVZ001>004-012-021-022-240930-

/O.NEW.KPBZ.WW.Y.0005.140125T0500Z-140125T2300Z/

/O.CON.KPBZ.WC.Y.0004.140124T0000Z-140124T1500Z/

TUSCARAWAS-CARROLL-COLUMBIANA-COSHOCTON-HARRISON-JEFFERSON OH-

MUSKINGUM-GUERNSEY-BELMONT-NOBLE-MONROE-MERCER-VENANGO-FOREST-

LAWRENCE-BUTLER-CLARION-JEFFERSON PA-BEAVER-ALLEGHENY-ARMSTRONG-

INDIANA-WASHINGTON-GREENE-WESTMORELAND-FAYETTE-HANCOCK-BROOKE-

OHIO-MARSHALL-WETZEL-MARION-MONONGALIA-

INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEW PHILADELPHIA...CARROLLTON...SALEM...

COSHOCTON...CADIZ...STEUBENVILLE...ZANESVILLE...CAMBRIDGE...

ST. CLAIRSVILLE...CALDWELL...WOODSFIELD...GROVE CITY...FRANKLIN...

TIONESTA...NEW CASTLE...BUTLER...CLARION...BROOKVILLE...BEAVER...

PITTSBURGH METRO AREA...KITTANNING...INDIANA...WASHINGTON...

WAYNESBURG...GREENSBURG...LATROBE...UNIONTOWN...WEIRTON...

BETHANY...WHEELING...MOUNDSVILLE...NEW MARTINSVILLE...FAIRMONT...

MORGANTOWN

322 PM EST THU JAN 23 2014

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING

TO 10 AM EST FRIDAY...

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT FRIDAY NIGHT

TO 6 PM EST SATURDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PITTSBURGH HAS ISSUED A WINTER

WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT

FROM MIDNIGHT FRIDAY NIGHT TO 6 PM EST SATURDAY.

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...MAINLY 3 TO 5 INCHES.

* TIMING...BEGINNING EARLY SATURDAY MORNING WITH THE HEAVIEST SNOW

EXPECTED PRE-DAWN THROUGH NOON.

* WINDS...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

* WIND CHILL...10 TO 15 BELOW TONIGHT.

* IMPACTS...FROST BITE AND HYPOTHERMIA ARE POSSIBLE IF

PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN

* IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED DUE TO SNOW

COVERED ROADS AND REDUCED VISIBILITIES FROM ACCUMULATING AND

BLOWING SNOW.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WIND

WILL PRODUCE LOW WIND CHILL INDICES. THIS COULD RESULT IN FROST

BITE AND HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT TAKEN. IF YOU MUST

VENTURE OUTDOORS...MAKE SURE YOU DRESS PROPERLY.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW MEANS THAT

TRAVELING WILL BE INHIBITED DUE TO SLIPPERY ROADS AND REDUCED

VISIBILITY. USE CAUTION WHEN TRAVELING AND REPORT SNOW

ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING 412-262-

1988...POSTING TO THE NWS PITTSBURGH FACEBOOK PAGE...OR USING

TWITTER @NWSPITTSBURGH.

&&

$$

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Winter Weather Advisory

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA

854 PM EST THU JAN 23 2014

...WIND CHILLS ADVISORY TONIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING AND

ACCUMULATING SNOW FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...

OHZ039>041-048>050-057>059-068-069-PAZ007>009-013>016-020>023-029-

031-073-075-WVZ001>004-012-021-022-241000-

/O.CON.KPBZ.WC.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-140124T1500Z/

/O.CON.KPBZ.WW.Y.0005.140125T0500Z-140125T2300Z/

TUSCARAWAS-CARROLL-COLUMBIANA-COSHOCTON-HARRISON-JEFFERSON OH-

MUSKINGUM-GUERNSEY-BELMONT-NOBLE-MONROE-MERCER-VENANGO-FOREST-

LAWRENCE-BUTLER-CLARION-JEFFERSON PA-BEAVER-ALLEGHENY-ARMSTRONG-

INDIANA-WASHINGTON-GREENE-WESTMORELAND-FAYETTE-HANCOCK-BROOKE-

OHIO-MARSHALL-WETZEL-MARION-MONONGALIA-

INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEW PHILADELPHIA...CARROLLTON...SALEM...

COSHOCTON...CADIZ...STEUBENVILLE...ZANESVILLE...CAMBRIDGE...

ST. CLAIRSVILLE...CALDWELL...WOODSFIELD...GROVE CITY...FRANKLIN...

TIONESTA...NEW CASTLE...BUTLER...CLARION...BROOKVILLE...BEAVER...

PITTSBURGH METRO AREA...KITTANNING...INDIANA...WASHINGTON...

WAYNESBURG...GREENSBURG...LATROBE...UNIONTOWN...WEIRTON...

BETHANY...WHEELING...MOUNDSVILLE...NEW MARTINSVILLE...FAIRMONT...

MORGANTOWN

854 PM EST THU JAN 23 2014

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST FRIDAY...

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT FRIDAY

NIGHT TO 6 PM EST SATURDAY...

* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...2 TO 4 INCHES.

* TIMING...BEGINNING AFTER MIDNIGHT FRIDAY NIGHT WITH THE HEAVIEST

SNOW EXPECTED PRE-DAWN THROUGH NOON.

* WIND...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

* WIND CHILL...AS LOW AS 15 BELOW TONIGHT.

* IMPACTS...FROST BITE AND HYPOTHERMIA IF PRECAUTIONS ARE NOT

TAKEN

* IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED DUE TO SNOW

COVERED ROADS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WIND CHILL ADVISORY MEANS THAT VERY COLD AIR AND STRONG WIND

WILL PRODUCE LOW WIND CHILL INDICES.

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY THAT TRAVELING WILL BE INHIBITED DUE TO

SLIPPERY ROADS AND REDUCED VISIBILITY. REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATION

TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING 412-262- 1988...POSTING

TO THE NWS PITTSBURGH FACEBOOK PAGE...OR USING TWITTER

@NWSPITTSBURGH.

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Was just browsing through the New England thread and came across this: http://www.wsi.com/blog/energy/sub-seasonal-u-s-temperature-outlook-bitter-cold-weather-is-anticipated-to-continue-through-the-end-of-february/

 

If you are rooting for cold through the end of Feb it should make you pretty happy! If this verifies I hope we can time a nice moisture laden system with one of the outbreaks.

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I too keep seeing varying amounts. Heres hoping we all get large amounts with this storm and/or with future storms. I am still wishing/waiting for that one big snow storm this year. (Fingers crossed)

well Im hoping for wpxi prediction 3-5. Also Superbowl weekend looks interesting for a bigger storm.
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So how much snow are we getting? I am seeing vastly different predictions anywhere from 1-3 to 4-6.

Where are you seeing higher amounts?  NWS has 1-3 inches.  The latest GFS has a snow hole in AGC.   I have seen that snow hole on models for a few days now.  Expecting an inch or 2 of blowing snow in SW AGC. 

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I see PBZ has dropped totals from 3-5 area wide to 2-4.

 

Yeah, I am seeing around .2 qpf, except the NAM which had almost.3 (and it's only right when it shows less qpf than other models  :P ) but either way 2-4 looks good and I think most should be closer to the 3-4 range. Keep in mind a few .01 one way or another will make a difference.

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Looks like we're back to 3-5" from PBZ.  Down here, I think 2-4" is more appropriate.

 

BexML39CIAEcHwc.png

Yeah Advisory has been updated as well:

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGENATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA232 PM EST FRI JAN 24 2014...ACCUMULATING AND BLOWING SNOW FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...MDZ001-OHZ039>041-048>050-057>059-068-069-PAZ007>009-013>016-020>023-029-031-073>076-WVZ001>004-012-021>023-041-250545-/O.CON.KPBZ.WW.Y.0005.140125T0500Z-140125T2300Z/GARRETT-TUSCARAWAS-CARROLL-COLUMBIANA-COSHOCTON-HARRISON-JEFFERSON OH-MUSKINGUM-GUERNSEY-BELMONT-NOBLE-MONROE-MERCER-VENANGO-FOREST-LAWRENCE-BUTLER-CLARION-JEFFERSON PA-BEAVER-ALLEGHENY-ARMSTRONG-INDIANA-WASHINGTON-GREENE-WESTMORELAND-WESTMORELAND RIDGES-FAYETTE-FAYETTE RIDGES-HANCOCK-BROOKE-OHIO-MARSHALL-WETZEL-MARION-MONONGALIA-PRESTON-TUCKER-INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OAKLAND MD...NEW PHILADELPHIA...CARROLLTON...SALEM...COSHOCTON...CADIZ...STEUBENVILLE...ZANESVILLE...CAMBRIDGE...ST. CLAIRSVILLE...CALDWELL...WOODSFIELD...GROVE CITY...FRANKLIN...TIONESTA...NEW CASTLE...BUTLER...CLARION...BROOKVILLE...BEAVER...PITTSBURGH METRO AREA...KITTANNING...INDIANA...WASHINGTON...WAYNESBURG...GREENSBURG...LATROBE...LIGONIER...DONEGAL...UNIONTOWN...CHAMPION...OHIOPYLE...WEIRTON...BETHANY...WHEELING...MOUNDSVILLE...NEW MARTINSVILLE...FAIRMONT...MORGANTOWN...KINGWOOD...PARSONS232 PM EST FRI JAN 24 2014...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHTTONIGHT TO 6 PM EST SATURDAY...* SNOW BEGINNING...AFTER MIDNIGHT.* SNOW ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 5 INCHES. LOCALLY UP TO 7 INCHES ALONG AND                       NORTH OF INTERSTATE 80 AND ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST       RIDGES.* PERIOD OF MOST INTENSE SNOW...SHORTLY BEFORE DAYBREAK THROUGH EARLY                                AFTERNOON ON SATURDAY.* SNOW ENDING...LATE SATURDAY EVENING.* WIND...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.* IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED DUE TO SNOW  COVERED ROADS AND SIGNIFICANT REDUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY AT  TIMES.
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Looks like we're back to 3-5" from PBZ.  Down here, I think 2-4" is more appropriate.

 

 

 I personally think 1-5" or maybe 2-9" that is very appropriate but definitely not 3-5" :axe:, ...oy arguing minutiae has become topical now.  Liked it better  a few years ago when we talked about the NAM, when we had mets here commenting on cyclogenesis and orthographic lift in Mon valley. Now we are contrarians for the sake of being contrarians.

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 I personally think 1-5" or maybe 2-9" that is very appropriate but definitely not 3-5" :axe:, ...oy arguing minutiae has become topical now.  Liked it better  a few years ago when we talked about the NAM, when we had mets here commenting on cyclogenesis and orthographic lift in Mon valley. Now we are contrarians for the sake of being contrarians.

 

Uhh, what?  :huh:

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