RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Im gonna be pessimistic and say that we dont see a decent storm this year its either clippers or we are in the wrong place, or the temps are an issue. That's SWPA climo, nickle and dime our way to 40 inches. Even if you discount the rest of this week, we still have 6 weeks at least that its reasonable to expect wintry weather. Given most long range guidance, at least as of today, has cold in the works for the next several weeks we probably have a higher than average shot still at seeing a bigger storm of 6+. Given all that, one can't deny that statistical odds favor your statement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Picked up another inch in the last hour. 4.5" now. Nice, you had a rough start to winter if I remember correctly. While those of us a bit to the North were cashing in, you had rain or missed out. Guess this is mother natures way of evening the score. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jwilson Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Still have moderate snow down here; I measured between 3" and 3.5" a few hours ago. Not sure how much longer it will snow, but the mega band over PHL has me pining for some of those 2" per hour rates. You just don't see banding like that out here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Nice, you had a rough start to winter if I remember correctly. While those of us a bit to the North were cashing in, you had rain or missed out. Guess this is mother natures way of evening the score. Yeah.. it feels good. lol. Looks to be a couple more chances within the next week for more accumulating snow. In case anyone's wondering.. we're over 5" here. So I'm pretty satisfied about that. Should be shutting down here soon, it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rdd9108 Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 My daily post for today. It looks like it will be not only cold but we should not see much if not any days above freezing in the next 14 days. Our chances for snow will continue and this looks like as of now its going to be an above avg winter for snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChalkHillSnowNut Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 I could care less about the cold....I would like a nice snow fall!..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rdd9108 Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 I could care less about the cold....I would like a nice snow fall!..... I also would rather it be low 30s and tons of snow rather than 10-20s and clippers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rolling Snowed Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 I really have no protected areas to measure, but I'd guessimate about 2 inches here. Kinda surprised my side roads (on which I live) are still crappy this afternoon. I know I'm the opposite of you all, and I've been behaving, but I'm totally done with this winter! is what I want. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Hard to tell for sure given the minor blowing and drifiting earlier, but looks like about a half inch here. I can still see the grass poking through and I had about a half inch to start. Sharp cutoff FTL here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 I could care less about the cold....I would like a nice snow fall!..... I want both lol. If I had a choice, id take a 6 inch storm with temps in the 20s and cold afterwards vs a 10 inch storm at 32 then rising to the 40s afterwards. You can't tell me your not jealous reading the obs threads from other regions with heavy wind driven snow and temps in the teens.. even just a bit. I'll admit though, I want to see more than these coatings to an inch deals so I can be persuaded otherwise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChalkHillSnowNut Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 I agree ritual.....I don't want it to melt either!..... I just want an event that produces a nice 3-4" even on top of what we have-that would be nice! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChalkHillSnowNut Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Don't get me wrong, I'd LOVE another feb 10'!! Haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lvfd404 Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 A dusting where Im at in northern Hancock County. I am on board with you guys - Feb 10 bring it on! lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoraopolisWx Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Sorry for the OT. But i just want to say congrats to Mailman, and especially JWilson for the snow amounts. This winter so far, has not been kind for the most part down your way. Good to see some decent snow for a change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rdd9108 Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Im gonna post this because it could be true but our snow depth at 1/27 according to gfs 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Im gonna post this because it could be true but our snow depth at 1/27 according to gfs 18z Upcoming pattern looks good. We'll see how we all do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Saw a 7" report out of Monesson and thought maybe it was a weenie. But then saw 6" in Mt Pleasant and 5" in Uniontown and Brownsville Looks like is was a decent little storm in the traditional "warm tongue" zone, so a nice little win for some after getting shafted a lot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jwilson Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Final measure - looks between 4.5" to 5" here. Although technically I busted on my own prediction, it was nonetheless wise to cut back on amounts from some of the earlier estimates toward 8" (thanks for nothing, GFS). NAM was the winner, and I noticed that when the NAM is dry it tends to be correct, whereas if it is wetter than the other models, it tends to be very wrong. Odd how that works. A week from today has some potential, but if we want something really big, the clippers aren't going to do it. We need STJ influence and the Gulf to open up, bringing in a true Miller A system with loads of moisture. Not sure what the prospects are on the STJ getting going this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rdd9108 Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Final measure - looks between 4.5" to 5" here. Although technically I busted on my own prediction, it was nonetheless wise to cut back on amounts from some of the earlier estimates toward 8" (thanks for nothing, GFS). NAM was the winner, and I noticed that when the NAM is dry it tends to be correct, whereas if it is wetter than the other models, it tends to be very wrong. Odd how that works. A week from today has some potential, but if we want something really big, the clippers aren't going to do it. We need STJ influence and the Gulf to open up, bringing in a true Miller A system with loads of moisture. Not sure what the prospects are on the STJ getting going this year. all of the mets are thinking feb will start the beginning of the stj being in play. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Yeah.. like I said earlier, it feels good to be on the higher end of things around here for once. Who knows when that might actually happen again? Haha. Guess that's what I get for not coming on here and crying about it all of the time. I, too, read about the southern jet being back in action in the longer range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChalkHillSnowNut Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Why can't we get a clipper to phase with a low closer to us than Philly!!!??....is that how all that precip bombed out over the south eastern part of our state?... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Just back from Pitt's big 33 point win over Clemson. Boy was it cold walking up the hill after the game. It looks like a one inch clipper tomorrow night and Thursday and the Saturday Clipper may be a 2-4 type deal. Fingers crossed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rdd9108 Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 I am gonna post this just for fun. Mondays threat according to the gfs 00z. Wish we could look this in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Quick look at the NAM for this weekend.. winds look to be cranking as the front moves into the area. Could get interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rdd9108 Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Quick look at the NAM for this weekend.. winds look to be cranking as the front moves into the area. Could get interesting. last post for tonight. We could possibly see some blizzard conditions if we get heavy precip. Somewhere idk if it will be us will see some heavy snowfall and blizzard conditions with squalls coming through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChalkHillSnowNut Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 and I'll be in Fombell up by zelienople with my daughter for an indian princess campout!....watch all the snow miss us to the south and bethel park gets more again.... lol....yea-congrats Wilson!!.....nice to see someone finally cashing in! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 I am gonna post this just for fun. Mondays threat according to the gfs 00z. Wish we could look this in. Looks similar to the storm we just had, just a much further North track. I'd lock that in right now for sure, but who knows it could be gone by 12z today, or 300 miles north or south lol. So much variability and uncertainty in anything past 72 hours right now with regards to SLP placements. Then again, it is going to hit just in time for the morning rush which seems to be the seasonal trend this year, so its a lock! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Why can't we get a clipper to phase with a low closer to us than Philly!!!??....is that how all that precip bombed out over the south eastern part of our state?... Look at a map. Where's the Atlantic Ocean? Now look at Philly, and now look at Pittsburgh. There's your answer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChalkHillSnowNut Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Look at a map. Where's the Atlantic Ocean? Now look at Philly, and now look at Pittsburgh. There's your answer. Hahah of course....but we had a phase for that feb 2010 storm no?....it does happen further inland.....that's what I was referring to-lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Final measure - looks between 4.5" to 5" here. Although technically I busted on my own prediction, it was nonetheless wise to cut back on amounts from some of the earlier estimates toward 8" (thanks for nothing, GFS). NAM was the winner, and I noticed that when the NAM is dry it tends to be correct, whereas if it is wetter than the other models, it tends to be very wrong. Odd how that works. A week from today has some potential, but if we want something really big, the clippers aren't going to do it. We need STJ influence and the Gulf to open up, bringing in a true Miller A system with loads of moisture. Not sure what the prospects are on the STJ getting going this year. I did see an 8" and a 7.5" out of Morgantown Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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