PB GFI Posted December 17, 2013 Share Posted December 17, 2013 http://radar.weather.gov/Conus/northeast_loop.php 1st batch coming through , 24 Degrees Light snow , Coating . Lets see where the 2nd batch fires up . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rygar Posted December 17, 2013 Share Posted December 17, 2013 Currently 18.1 with light snow. Looks great outside. Temp's have risen about 10 degrees since 1:30 AM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted December 17, 2013 Share Posted December 17, 2013 Light/moderate snow with a solid coating on the ground Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mulen Posted December 17, 2013 Share Posted December 17, 2013 Historically these systems rarely bring any significant snow and it is way early in the season .enjoy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted December 17, 2013 Share Posted December 17, 2013 Light snow falling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sampson Posted December 17, 2013 Share Posted December 17, 2013 5th time we've seen snow by 12/17!! I don't care what happens today (coating on the ground now), it has been an extremely active and fun start to our young winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 17, 2013 Share Posted December 17, 2013 light snow, all surfaces coated..this looks like a coating - 1" for everyone although I'm sure someone will come in with 1.5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted December 17, 2013 Share Posted December 17, 2013 light snow, all surfaces coated..this looks like a coating - 1" for everyone although I'm sure someone will come in with 1.5 Sounds a little *too* conservative but everyone is entitled to their view and TWT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 17, 2013 Author Share Posted December 17, 2013 Wow woke up with a steady light snow.. Coating already on the ground.. 11f Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted December 17, 2013 Share Posted December 17, 2013 the first part of this storm might give an inch in the city...The second part could be a little warmer and accumulations will depend on the temperature later in the day... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 17, 2013 Author Share Posted December 17, 2013 light snow, all surfaces coated..this looks like a coating - 1" for everyone although I'm sure someone will come in with 1.5 what happened overnight? NWS increased my forcast totals from 2-4 to 3-5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 17, 2013 Share Posted December 17, 2013 Sounds a little *too* conservative but everyone is entitled to their view and TWT. I think we'll still see 2-4 inches, at this point I really doubt anyone is going to changeover except perhaps Suffolk Co and that may be ERN Suffolk, the low track to me now seems as if its going to be too far SE for warm air to work in because we're sort of splitting systems now with the 2nd wave being a factor as well...no model is doing well at all on this, the HRR is verifying poorly on the snow right now (first event all winter its done this), some sort of blend of the RAP/GFS looks good to me as the RAP seems to be handling the current areas of snow better...I think we snow another 1-2 hours, a break and then sometime between 17-00Z we see a 4-5 hour period of snow again, just not sure on when...gotta watch that 2nd wave this evening very closely, especially ERN areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxnyc Posted December 17, 2013 Share Posted December 17, 2013 The radar looked really bad before but some heavier echoes are developing just to our southwest and moving ne. 25f so it's definitely going to make things icy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 17, 2013 Share Posted December 17, 2013 Sounds a little *too* conservative but everyone is entitled to their view and TWT. Well I was speaking mainly in regards to this initial wave of snow. The second/third rounds are a bit of a wild card not only given the track and intensity uncertainties but also the boundary layer temperatures. Anyway the HRRR shows three rounds of snow today: http://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/HRRR/jsloopLocalDiskDateDomainZip.cgi?dsKeys=hrrr_jet:&runTime=2013121709&plotName=1ref_sfc&fcstInc=60&numFcsts=16&model=hrrr&ptitle=HRRR%20Model%20Fields%20-%20Experimental&maxFcstLen=15&fcstStrLen=-1&resizePlot=1&domain=full Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mweisenfeld Posted December 17, 2013 Share Posted December 17, 2013 26f and snowing lightly in Maplewood, NJ, Essex Cty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 17, 2013 Share Posted December 17, 2013 Just beautiful out there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted December 17, 2013 Share Posted December 17, 2013 The radar looked really bad before but some heavier echoes are developing just to our southwest and moving ne. 25f so it's definitely going to make things icy. Radar still looks really bad - where is this 3 - 5 inches coming from exactly ? Very few storm closings or delays also here in central nj http://www.wunderground.com/radar/radblast.asp?num=6&delay=15&scale=1.00&noclutter=0&ID=DIX&type=N0R&lat=0&lon=0&label=you&showstorms=0&showlabels=1&rainsnow=0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
supermeh Posted December 17, 2013 Share Posted December 17, 2013 Moderate snow... Half inch so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 17, 2013 Share Posted December 17, 2013 Radar still looks really bad - where is this 3 - 5 inches coming from exactly ? http://www.wunderground.com/radar/radblast.asp?num=6&delay=15&scale=1.00&noclutter=0&ID=DIX&type=N0R&lat=0&lon=0&label=you&showstorms=0&showlabels=1&rainsnow=0 Who said 3-5? This has always been a 1-3 type deal with perhaps more near ne jersey. We will have a 2nd batch of snow, could be rain as we need to watch temps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted December 17, 2013 Share Posted December 17, 2013 Who said 3-5? This has always been a 1-3 type deal with perhaps more near ne jersey. We will have a 2nd batch of snow, could be rain as we need to watch temps do you read Upton ???? http://kamala.cod.edu/nj/latest.wwus41.KOKX.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 17, 2013 Author Share Posted December 17, 2013 do you read Upton ???? http://kamala.cod.edu/nj/latest.wwus41.KOKX.html Yea my WWA was increased since last night to a 3-5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted December 17, 2013 Share Posted December 17, 2013 Light snow in Long Beach, coating on the ground. Temp 28 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 17, 2013 Author Share Posted December 17, 2013 Moderate snow .5" on ground... 11F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted December 17, 2013 Share Posted December 17, 2013 do you read Upton ???? http://kamala.cod.edu/nj/latest.wwus41.KOKX.html After a quick inch around the area , we break for a few hours , and temps rise ahead of the 2 nd round .The 2nd round is developing in CPA and NWV. That " should "intensify and moves through the I95 corridor . When that snow starts temps will fall again , because 850`s are Minus 3 by that point , so yes we will warm because we are dry - but as the moisture falls it will cool the column . I always thought 2 to 4 - but if the GFS is right then Upton will be right . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 17, 2013 Share Posted December 17, 2013 do you read Upton ???? http://kamala.cod.edu/nj/latest.wwus41.KOKX.html Mt holly has always had 1-3 for the entire event. Why would you believe 3-5? Most models had 2-4 at most Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 17, 2013 Share Posted December 17, 2013 0.5 here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm At Sea Posted December 17, 2013 Share Posted December 17, 2013 It's more tenuous that what meets the eye. This is where one cannot just look at the qpf and project amounts. GFS had a developing deformation band on back side as SLP develops. If all works out it could really shock folks. Mt holly has always had 1-3 for the entire event. Why would you believe 3-5? Most models had 2-4 at most Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted December 17, 2013 Share Posted December 17, 2013 Mt holly has always had 1-3 for the entire event. Why would you believe 3-5? Most models had 2-4 at most whatever you say Allsnow - I wasn't aware Mt Holly forecasted for most of the NYC metro area - Time will tell if Upton is correct or they have to revise their advisory http://kamala.cod.edu/nj/latest.wwus41.KOKX.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted December 17, 2013 Share Posted December 17, 2013 Light snow in Long Beach, coating on the ground. Temp 28 LGA is at 24 degrees. Long Beach is almost always living on the edge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 17, 2013 Share Posted December 17, 2013 whatever you say Allsnow - I wasn't aware Mt Holly forecasted for most of the NYC metro area http://kamala.cod.edu/nj/latest.wwus41.KOKX.html Just let it play out, by 12pm you should know the answer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.