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December 21 - 23 Wintry Event


Storm At Sea

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When I think of Christmas, I think of snow and cold, not warm and rainy.

Yes I know but I am just saying how the previous GFS run showed an icestorm and also the Euro run showed something similiar until the recent runs.

I got you on this one ant ;) i support your weenie tendencies lol. But totally agree with what christmas week should be like

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What's the problem, it looks below normal for Xmas. The torch happens a couple of days before.

Its all in good fun right now. These few small snow events have really bought the weenie out in some of us lol.

Think the -EPO relaxation is almost set in stone. However, im more interested in what happens when it eventually reloads and whether or not we can get some cooperation from the PNA and NAO ( as unlikely as that looks right now looking at current 15 day forecast progs )

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snow on Christmas eve or Christmas day in NYC..lets see I started remembering weather...accumulating snow..more than an inch.. .Christmas eve 1966.,.Christmas night 1969, Christmas day 1975,Christmas night 1976,Christmas night 1993,Christmas day 2002..that's it folks..it hardly ever snows on Christmas eve or Christmas day..6 times in 50 years lol.a very unwhite Christmas is very typical for this area

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Its all in good fun right now. These few small snow events have really bought the weenie out in some of us lol.

Think the -EPO relaxation is almost set in stone. However, im more interested in what happens when it eventually reloads and whether or not we can get some cooperation from the PNA and NAO ( as unlikely as that looks right now looking at current 15 day forecast progs )

 

PNA is looking to go positive, if we see the EPO start trending more negative again than the last few days of December into January could be fun.

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PNA is looking to go positive, if we see the EPO start trending more negative again than the last few days of December into January could be fun.

Im going to say it wont suprise me if january took a break overall. Once a pretty big scale pattern change happens (-EPO) finally goes nuetral after being the main player thus far i think maybe 7-14 days into january we may see it come back. I also want to see where the MJO and NAO head as well. Latest EPO forecast shows that once it goes positive/nuetral for a bit looks like it will take some time to reload with arctic and not pacific air

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snow on Christmas eve or Christmas day in NYC..lets see I started remembering weather...accumulating snow..more than an inch.. .Christmas eve 1966.,.Christmas night 1969, Christmas day 1975,Christmas night 1976,Christmas night 1993,Christmas day 2002..that's it folks..it hardly ever snows on Christmas eve or Christmas day..6 times in 50 years lol.a very unwhite Christmas is very typical for this area

 

Last year we got about an inch on Christmas eve into Christmas day.  Not sure how you guys down south did.

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snow on Christmas eve or Christmas day in NYC..lets see I started remembering weather...accumulating snow..more than an inch.. .Christmas eve 1966.,.Christmas night 1969, Christmas day 1975,Christmas night 1976,Christmas night 1993,Christmas day 2002..that's it folks..it hardly ever snows on Christmas eve or Christmas day..6 times in 50 years lol.a very unwhite Christmas is very typical for this area

 

Last year we got about an inch on Christmas eve into Christmas day.  Not sure how you guys down south did.

 

umm coating..it was nice to see,but by the morning it was gone

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Looks like both the GFS (especially the 18z) and the Euro want to string out pieces of energy...heavy rain and some mixed precip well west of East Coast...front settles south and a new piece of energy rides up and re-develops...Merry Christmas snow...in fact, I think this is especially something to watch as northern stream energy looms and if that were to get involved, we'd have a serious storm on our hands. I actually like the looks much more. Euro not as aggressive at this point, but has SLP along NC (heading out to sea).

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Looks like both the GFS (especially the 18z) and the Euro want to string out pieces of energy...heavy rain and some mixed precip well west of East Coast...front settles south and a new piece of energy rides up and re-develops...Merry Christmas snow...in fact, I think this is especially something to watch as northern stream energy looms and if that were to get involved, we'd have a serious storm on our hands. I actually like the looks much more. Euro not as aggressive at this point, but has SLP along NC (heading out to sea).

That's very 1993-1994 esque, heavy rain and torching in the 60's to cold and snow a la 18z gfs.

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Yes; though, on 18z GFS, it's less of an overrunning event and more of a developing Miller A with subtle hints of a deformation band doing its dirty work on Christmas Eve.

 

That's very 1993-1994 esque, heavy rain and torching in the 60's to cold and snow a la 18z gfs.

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Looks like both the GFS (especially the 18z) and the Euro want to string out pieces of energy...heavy rain and some mixed precip well west of East Coast...front settles south and a new piece of energy rides up and re-develops...Merry Christmas snow...in fact, I think this is especially something to watch as northern stream energy looms and if that were to get involved, we'd have a serious storm on our hands. I actually like the looks much more. Euro not as aggressive at this point, but has SLP along NC (heading out to sea).

 

this threat does look legit. we need to be on the right side of the front to stay snow however, looks like another threat however :snowing:

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wave on 18z GFS gives us a White Christmas  lol

we are old enough to remember Christmas 1966...7" of snow and sleet starting before noon Christmas eve and ending early Christmas morning...the best white Christmas of my life...2009 was the last year we had snow on the ground Christmas morning...My list from the white Christmas post...

http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/38399-im-dreaming-of-a-white-christmas/

the years I remember snow falling Christmas eve after dark are...1961 had 6" of snow and sleet that started the evening of the 23rd and ended the evening of the 24th...1960 had flurries Christmas eve with an inch of old snow on the ground...1963 had a snowstorm that started around noon December 23rd and ended in the early hours of the 24th...Then for good measure there was a snow shower that coated the ground at dusk Christmas eve...1962 had a trace on the ground Christmas morning with light snow from late morning to late afternoon...It changed to freezing rain and plain rain at night...1969 had a dusting Christmas eve and snow Christmas night...1975 had a trace of snow on the ground Christmas morning and light snow in the afternoon that changed to rain at night...1980 had some light snow and sleet on the 23rd and a period of snow Christmas eve up to an inch...cold wave Christmas day...1983 had light snow on Christmas eve of 1-2"...Mostly in the morning...1985 had some wet snow showers Christmas day but it didn't stick...1993 had a little light snow late Christmas eve that put down a dusting...then another dusting late Christmas night...1995 had 2-4 inches on the ground Christmas morning and some flurries Christmas day evening...1998 had a 2" snowfall from late Dec. 23rd to early Christmas eve...2002 had some light snow from around midnight Christmas eve to 4 or 5am when it changed to heavy rain...Then back to snow Christmas afternoon...2008 had some snow on the ground Christmas eve but melted by Christmas day...

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we are old enough to remember Christmas 1966...7" of snow and sleet starting before noon Christmas eve and ending early Christmas morning...the best white Christmas of my life...2009 was the last year we had snow on the ground Christmas morning...My list from the white Christmas post...

http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/38399-im-dreaming-of-a-white-christmas/

the years I remember snow falling Christmas eve after dark are...1961 had 6" of snow and sleet that started the evening of the 23rd and ended the evening of the 24th...1960 had flurries Christmas eve with an inch of old snow on the ground...1963 had a snowstorm that started around noon December 23rd and ended in the early hours of the 24th...Then for good measure there was a snow shower that coated the ground at dusk Christmas eve...1962 had a trace on the ground Christmas morning with light snow from late morning to late afternoon...It changed to freezing rain and plain rain at night...1969 had a dusting Christmas eve and snow Christmas night...1975 had a trace of snow on the ground Christmas morning and light snow in the afternoon that changed to rain at night...1980 had some light snow and sleet on the 23rd and a period of snow Christmas eve up to an inch...cold wave Christmas day...1983 had light snow on Christmas eve of 1-2"...Mostly in the morning...1985 had some wet snow showers Christmas day but it didn't stick...1993 had a little light snow late Christmas eve that put down a dusting...then another dusting late Christmas night...1995 had 2-4 inches on the ground Christmas morning and some flurries Christmas day evening...1998 had a 2" snowfall from late Dec. 23rd to early Christmas eve...2002 had some light snow from around midnight Christmas eve to 4 or 5am when it changed to heavy rain...Then back to snow Christmas afternoon...2008 had some snow on the ground Christmas eve but melted by Christmas day...

I remember them all especially 1966..it was perfect..it was amazing the years 59-63,which I don't remember, to have that much snow in the 23rd-25th period..and then the next year in 64 it was over 60 degrees.`1969.. i remember the snow showers Christmas eve morning and heavy snow Christmas night which changed to rain the next morning,..1975 had a few inches during the day and then heavy rain at night..the cold waves in 80 and 83 and of course 2002

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