weathafella Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 Looking at how the euro was evolving, I thought it would be a more robust system precip wise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eduggs Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 There's gonna be some bouncing around regarding which shortwave is dominant. The run to run changes with these features have been pretty large. I'm rooting for the 2nd wave to be dominant and the first to dissipate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 yeah, i agree -- it's always dicey when you plow that much dpva S of our latitude. Euro being inside of 4 days is usually pretty good with details, though. That said, the EC has been somewhat less than awe-inspiring the past few months. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
educate Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 To produce a real thumper with these setups, you have a very small margin of error. But when the parts come together, they have produced some of my best storm event memories because of the surprises. There's gonna be some bouncing around regarding which shortwave is dominant. The run to run changes with these features have been pretty large. I'm rooting for the 2nd wave to be dominant and the first to dissipate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 Wow...15z SREFs are going nuts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 Wow...15z SREFs are going nuts.Warnings tomorrow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 Looks like its in here early early Tuesday morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 Wow...15z SREFs are going nuts.We do not toss Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 Wow...15z SREFs are going nuts. brings mean slp from just s of w end of li over canal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 srefs look pretty much like the nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 Yeah Srefs were juicy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 Euro ensembles maybe near ACK it appears. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 euro ens look good...right near the BM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zand Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 Can you imagine? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 Euro ensembles maybe near ACK it appears.Sounds better than op right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RobbieL241 Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 Warnings tomorrow? not likely IMO. SREF means max out around 7" and without the other guidance on board yet there's not a lot of confidence to hoist the watch boxes back up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 Euro ensembles maybe near ACK it appears. Much juicier than the op too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 Thanks Phil...tough to tell with a wide MSLP contour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 Much juicier than the op too. Nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 not likely IMO. SREF means max out around 7" and without the other guidance on board yet there's not a lot of confidence to hoist the watch boxes back up.It was a Kev joke, carry on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 Thanks Phil...tough to tell with a wide MSLP contour. looked actually about half way between ACK and the BM maybe? definitely not tucked in that close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 15z SREF mean precip total. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 Love these events where you get done shoveling out and have to immediately run to the store to get bread and milk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 Nice. 0.25" runs from about BGR-CON-BAF-HPN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 Forest Gump/NAM looks a lot different at 500mb by 36 hours...someone else is the jackpot this time. Like a cracker jack box you get a different prize every time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 Might be wrong on this but the NAM should be south of it's previous run this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 definitely S thru 42h. stronger s/w too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 Looks over HYA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 yeah NAM seems further S. good sign i guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 yeah NAM seems further S. good sign i guess. Yep. Little concerned that we have this appendage aloft. Runs interference...hoping that we may see some new solutions tonight that consolidate everything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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