Bruinsyear Posted December 17, 2013 Share Posted December 17, 2013 Verbatim WSW are needed for EMA. Road trip to Acadia? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 17, 2013 Share Posted December 17, 2013 Harv going 4-6" pretty much region wide from NE CT northeastward. 2-4" SEMA. Very reasonable even in light of the new GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 17, 2013 Share Posted December 17, 2013 That is a great band and developing mini comma head as modeled over SNE, esp east as it exits. At least as the GFS depicts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted December 17, 2013 Share Posted December 17, 2013 Bouchard 5-8 Worcester points east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 17, 2013 Share Posted December 17, 2013 Bouchard 5-8 Worcester points east Too bullish IMO. Sticking with my call from 8am this morning. 2-4". Always can reassess tomorrow morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 17, 2013 Share Posted December 17, 2013 That is a great band and developing mini comma head as modeled over SNE, esp east as it exits. At least as the GFS depicts. RGEM kind of supported too Scott. Note it had a similar thumb of .4" that edged down towards the Cape. The outlier right now is really the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted December 17, 2013 Share Posted December 17, 2013 Too bullish IMO. Sticking with my call from 8am this morning. 2-4". Always can reassess tomorrow morning. Yeah... He went 5-8, spot 9. I would probably go 4-7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 17, 2013 Share Posted December 17, 2013 That is a great band and developing mini comma head as modeled over SNE, esp east as it exits. At least as the GFS depicts. Seems like gfs shows the potential for better comma head snows is real for BOS and North Shore. I think west of 128 it's still sort of a meh solution regardless of gfs qpf fields. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 17, 2013 Share Posted December 17, 2013 Yeah... He went 5-8, spot 9. I would probably go 4-7 I miss your old maps. They were well done, but unfortunately members can be unrelenting when non-mets put out a map/guess. Liking the trends, but cautiously optimistic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 17, 2013 Share Posted December 17, 2013 You know it's getting bad when you have to go see what the CRAS shows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 17, 2013 Share Posted December 17, 2013 That is a great band and developing mini comma head as modeled over SNE, esp east as it exits. At least as the GFS depicts. This signal has seemed to exist the past few days on the Euro/GFS/NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BostonWX Posted December 17, 2013 Share Posted December 17, 2013 I miss your old maps. They were well done, but unfortunately members can be unrelenting when non-mets put out a map/guess. Liking the trends, but cautiously optimistic. haha... thanks, I'm actually graduating with my BS in meteorology this spring Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 17, 2013 Share Posted December 17, 2013 Seems like gfs shows the potential for better comma head snows is real for BOS and North Shore. I think west of 128 it's still sort of a meh solution regardless of gfs qpf fields. It argues for further west to get involved too...but I noticed the lift gets convective and spotty in nature. The mid level thermal gradient tightens up which seems to drive the forcing. Obviously more of a gamble when you have that. I like the trend, but I would want to see the ukie and euro on board too. If they only bite a little...then it would lead me to believe the GFS might be too aggressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 17, 2013 Share Posted December 17, 2013 verbatim, i'm torched by 03z tomorrow if gfs is correct. probably short-lived but it is what it is. 2-3" prior to change Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 17, 2013 Share Posted December 17, 2013 verbatim, i'm torched by 03z tomorrow if gfs is correct. probably short-lived but it is what it is. 2-3" prior to change GFS might be a hair too warm in real life. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 17, 2013 Share Posted December 17, 2013 It argues for further west to get involved too...but I noticed the lift gets convective and spotty in nature. The mid level thermal gradient tightens up which seems to drive the forcing. Obviously more of a gamble when you have that. I like the trend, but I would want to see the ukie and euro on board too. If they only bite a little...then it would lead me to believe the GFS might be too aggressive. I feel like the trend may be right with more second s/w involvement but I doubt we'll be able to snow for 24 hours back this way. Spotty forcing and some funky subsidence and dry air issues. Where the CCB can crank different story. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 17, 2013 Share Posted December 17, 2013 haha... thanks, I'm actually graduating with my BS in meteorology this spring Great! We'll have another red tagger soon. I'm thinking this might come down to a nowcasting event in the end. We can throw out our best guesses now, but mother nature will decide the final outcome later. Always fun to watch with bust potential either way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 17, 2013 Share Posted December 17, 2013 haha... thanks, I'm actually graduating with my BS in meteorology this spring Nice man. Good luck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 17, 2013 Share Posted December 17, 2013 Jesus we need 3 climo zones for this stupid thing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 17, 2013 Share Posted December 17, 2013 verbatim, i'm torched by 03z tomorrow if gfs is correct. probably short-lived but it is what it is. 2-3" prior to change GFS might be a hair too warm in real life. yup, was short-lived as flow backed e/ne. by 06z back below 0c thru column. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 17, 2013 Share Posted December 17, 2013 I feel like the trend may be right with more second s/w involvement but I doubt we'll be able to snow for 24 hours back this way. Spotty forcing and some funky subsidence and dry air issues. Where the CCB can crank different story. Yeah we'll see. That little yellow flag in my head sort of went up...but on the other hand the trend is tough to ignore and that is important. The other op runs should be interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted December 17, 2013 Share Posted December 17, 2013 What I am going to run with. Can't stay up for Euro. Work in the morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 17, 2013 Share Posted December 17, 2013 What I am going to run with. Can't stay up for Euro. Work in the morning. Pretty good. Although ... I'd put a 70-100" red around that co in CT that says Tolland Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 17, 2013 Share Posted December 17, 2013 Canadian is nothing like the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 17, 2013 Share Posted December 17, 2013 Canadian is actually drier than its 12z run..lol. Flag number 1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 17, 2013 Share Posted December 17, 2013 Anyone have uncle? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 17, 2013 Share Posted December 17, 2013 Anyone have uncle? Not yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 17, 2013 Share Posted December 17, 2013 I"m guessing alot of people out there are buying the GFS...seen lots of tweets/fb posts of many upping snowfall totals after seeing the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 17, 2013 Share Posted December 17, 2013 Canadian is actually drier than its 12z run..lol. Flag number 1. Not really....RGEM/GGEM have apparently been the biggest outliers the entire time. They were running the low across RI for several runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 17, 2013 Share Posted December 17, 2013 I"m guessing alot of people out there are buying the GFS...seen lots of tweets/fb posts of many upping snowfall totals after seeing the GFS Yeah i saw that too. Not sure that's the best move. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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