Tropopause_Fold Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 On 12/16/2013 at 6:08 PM, jamesnichols1989 said: I can see a sharp cutoff between PVC and HYA, 6" for Provincetown, MA and 4" for Hyannis, MA negative. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 On 12/16/2013 at 6:06 PM, Baroclinic Zone said: Pretty solid consensus right now on a track/qpf. Any idea of surface temps? I think the GFS is a tad warm. I think the 4km BTV WRF will have a solid handle most models show a CF and most other keep the 35F line from say E PYM county over to outer cape and touching scituate on s shore on a cpl of them also cape ann seems to be mild Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 On 12/16/2013 at 6:10 PM, Tropopause_Fold said: negative. rain james rain out on outer cape mid pm on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 On 12/16/2013 at 6:09 PM, Tropopause_Fold said: yeah there is a sucker hole there. pretty good band along the CT shore. then another area of heavier precip further east awesome Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 On 12/16/2013 at 6:05 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Does it have the dry slot/flurries over Ct/Central mass? Actually it does lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 On 12/16/2013 at 6:10 PM, CoastalWx said: On phone so can't really give specifics. Phil may know. No problem, I'll grab them off Wunderground shortly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 On 12/16/2013 at 6:10 PM, CoastalWx said: On phone so can't really give specifics. Phil may know. they are cold. only area that gets above freezing is extreme SE MA/Cape/Islands late Tue Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 On 12/16/2013 at 6:09 PM, Tropopause_Fold said: yeah there is a sucker hole there. pretty good band along the CT shore. then another area of heavier precip further east On 12/16/2013 at 6:11 PM, CT Rain said: Actually it does lol Eh, he'll never trust my posts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols1989 Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 850mb temps are below freezing the whole time, why do we warm up with a track to our southeast? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appcontroller/Image.php?fhr=048ℑ=data%2Fhrw-nmm%2F12%2Fhrw-nmm_eus_048_precip_p48.gif&model=hrw-nmm-eus&area=eus¶m=precip_p48&group=Model+Guidance&imageSize= Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 On 12/16/2013 at 6:11 PM, Tropopause_Fold said: they are cold. only area that gets above freezing is extreme SE MA/Cape/Islands late Tue Thanks. Will just have to worry about precip intensity than. Still like my 1-3/2-4" idea for SE MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 Euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 On 12/16/2013 at 6:11 PM, CT Rain said: Actually it does lol How much total qpf does it give CT? Sounds like only the shore does well? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RI Rob Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 2-4 inches here. May be a bit high but w.e Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 On 12/16/2013 at 6:13 PM, jamesnichols1989 said: 850mb temps are below freezing the whole time, why do we warm up with a track to our southeast? Lower levels warm on the southerly winds ahead of the system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 On 12/16/2013 at 6:13 PM, jamesnichols1989 said: 850mb temps are below freezing the whole time, why do we warm up with a track to our southeast? ESE wind off the water. potentially S wind if the thing cuts the canal like some products show Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 16, 2013 Author Share Posted December 16, 2013 It's not going to be only flurries at your place Kevin..but it might be like 1-2" there while spots further east get 2-4 or 3-5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 This event looks like a widespread 2-6" for SNE to me...maybe someone pulls a 7-spot if a fluff band develops, but ya'll are going to drive yourselves crazy trying to pin this down to within an inch or two, or talking about sucker holes, etc. I'd just ride with a 2-6" snowfall and see what happens tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 On 12/16/2013 at 6:14 PM, Winston Wolf said: Euro? NYC crowd doesn't like it says it's furthest north. anyway I'm not running with it this storm either way...scoot's says it's solid hit for most anyway.....I think u go above 33F on it around 4-8pm thou that's what most meso's are showing that I've seen like I posted on last page I violently agree with this QPF distribution http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appcontroller/Image.php?fhr=048ℑ=data%2Fhrw-nmm%2F12%2Fhrw-nmm_eus_048_precip_p48.gif&model=hrw-nmm-eus&area=eus¶m=precip_p48&group=Model+Guidance&imageSize= Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 Euro blows per the other thread? North and warmer (here) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 On 12/16/2013 at 6:15 PM, ORH_wxman said: It's not going to be only flurries at your place Kevin..but it might be like 1-2" there while spots further east get 2-4 or 3-5. WIll are you thinking the potential for more in NE mass is slim Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 On 12/16/2013 at 6:16 PM, Winston Wolf said: Euro blows per the other thread? North and warmer (here) eh...it's fine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 16, 2013 Author Share Posted December 16, 2013 On 12/16/2013 at 6:17 PM, cpick79 said: WIll are you thinking the potential for more in NE mass is slim Def can't rule out a couple 5 and 6 spots in E MA if this blows up as it exits stage right. But I'd stay in the 2-4/3-5 range for now for E MA and RI (gotta watch the BL in S RI and far SE MA) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 16, 2013 Author Share Posted December 16, 2013 On 12/16/2013 at 6:18 PM, Tropopause_Fold said: eh...it's fine. It was a decent improvement on last night I thought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 On 12/16/2013 at 6:20 PM, ORH_wxman said: It was a decent improvement on last night I thought. yeah i thought it looked fine. i don't see how it looked bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 NYC thoughts do not translate to SNE in these setups. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 On 12/16/2013 at 6:25 PM, CoastalWx said: NYC thoughts do not translate to SNE in these setups. or in life in general 99.9% of the time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 On 12/16/2013 at 6:19 PM, ORH_wxman said: Def can't rule out a couple 5 and 6 spots in E MA if this blows up as it exits stage right. But I'd stay in the 2-4/3-5 range for now for E MA and RI (gotta watch the BL in S RI and far SE MA) I guess I'm saying I could see some sick bands over E mass from 4-8pm and where they set up I could see 7-8 spots.....some of the plume's support this idea. now nobody would forecast it...but that someone may well get it ..if banding develops Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 Euro has like .5+" I think in a small area around Braintree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 On 12/16/2013 at 6:15 PM, ORH_wxman said: It's not going to be only flurries at your place Kevin..but it might be like 1-2" there while spots further east get 2-4 or 3-5. Thanks. the way I was reading some of the posts and people laughing..it seemed like maybe it would just be flurries over much of E Ct up into C Mass Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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