Ginx snewx Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 On 12/16/2013 at 3:47 PM, CoastalWx said: Even though the low levels get mild in SE areas, it's quite cold aloft. There is not taint in the 850 level so it's going to be a very bursty kind of snow..even if the lower 500-1000ft get near and above 32. yea 534 heights, one of those deals where the progged LLs get washed out quick with precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 nice hit up in ME, congratulations up there! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MainePhotog Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 On 12/16/2013 at 3:44 PM, mattlacroix4 said: I really feel like this thing is going to have quite a few surprises. I may be just NW of the heavier bands. These events seem to have Portland as the western line often. I like where I am sitting here on the midcoast. Subject to change, of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 Looks like yesterday's NAM had correct idea with teens inland near 32 on the coast..Big time convergence signal..Gonna be some bigtime banding and fluff factor. Gonna be some surprises I think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 On 12/16/2013 at 4:06 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Looks like yesterday's NAM had correct idea with teens inland near 32 on the coast..Big time convergence signal..Gonna be some bigtime banding and fluff factor. Gonna be some surprises I think ...Hype train is boarding and will be leaving shortly after the afternoon data is out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 Final call for mby 2.5" Enjoy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 Will go 1-3" here, I think NH and Maine are going to be where it's at. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 On 12/16/2013 at 4:06 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Looks like yesterday's NAM had correct idea with teens inland near 32 on the coast..Big time convergence signal..Gonna be some bigtime banding and fluff factor. Gonna be some surprises I think There always are but before every event so far this season you've alluded to surprises in a favorable way or a positive bust, lol. Hopefully no negative surprises. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 NWS Boston @NWSBoston1m Tech: Steep mid level lapse rates Tue means enhanced snowfall in some locations. Exactly where is the question, but some 6-7" amts psbl. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 On 12/16/2013 at 4:30 PM, powderfreak said: There always are but before every event so far this season you've alluded to surprises in a favorable way, lol. they aren't always favorable though. sometimes a big hole opens on the RADAR in areas you don't anticipate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 On 12/16/2013 at 4:31 PM, Tropopause_Fold said: they aren't always favorable though. sometimes a big hole opens on the RADAR in areas you don't anticipate. Correct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 Some fish off the coast of Maine might be in for a good surprise Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 On 12/16/2013 at 4:33 PM, HoarfrostHubb said: Some fish off the coast of Maine might be in for a good surprise Someone once told me that salt water doesn't accumulate snow very efficiently though. Probably a little lower ratios out that way in the water. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 ha just saw the 12z RPM what a joke.. 1-2" tomorrow morning for everyone then 4-8" tomorrow night from nyc to maine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 On 12/16/2013 at 4:34 PM, powderfreak said: Someone once told me that salt water doesn't accumulate snow very efficiently though. Probably a little lower ratios out that way in the water. Low sun angle this time of year will help. Below a certain temp the salt treatment they put out there does not matter much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 On 12/16/2013 at 4:31 PM, Tropopause_Fold said: they aren't always favorable though. sometimes a big hole opens on the RADAR in areas you don't anticipate. Ya that saved ct some ice issues sat nite i think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 On 12/16/2013 at 4:33 PM, HoarfrostHubb said: Some fish off the coast of Maine might be in for a good surprise Lobster, Get it right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 On 12/16/2013 at 4:05 PM, MainePhotog said: I like where I am sitting here on the midcoast. Subject to change, of course. Yup--this would be a good day to be in my old stomping grounds. Congrats. On 12/16/2013 at 4:33 PM, HoarfrostHubb said: Some fish off the coast of Maine might be in for a good surprise LOL. Pleasantly suprised to see the GFS put me in the .25" and NAM close to that. I imagine the ratios won't suck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 On 12/16/2013 at 4:35 PM, JGNYK03 said: ha just saw the 12z RPM what a joke.. 1-2" tomorrow morning for everyone then 4-8" tomorrow night from nyc to maine So the idea of weak 1'st wave dropping light snows during day, then a sharpening second wave sort of taking over during eve and nite is crazy. I guess the 4-8 so far back to nyc /sw ct maybe the joke part ? But i mean with this *potential, we may expect to see some bullish solutions (i thought) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 1-2 final call here. Was looking pretty promising yesterday. Looks like north and east is the place to be Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 On 12/16/2013 at 4:30 PM, powderfreak said: There always are but before every event so far this season you've alluded to surprises in a favorable way or a positive bust, lol. Hopefully no negative surprises. Or when you get a few inches of snow and wake up to bare ground, temps in the 50's and roaring sou easterlies. That's a negative one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 On 12/16/2013 at 4:41 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Or when you get a few inches of snow and wake up to bare ground, temps in the 50's and roaring sou easterlies. That's a negative one thankfully no one has had that kind of ugly surprise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 On 12/16/2013 at 4:41 PM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: 1-2 final call here. Was looking pretty promising yesterday. Looks like north and east is the place to beSeems u adopted the PF mantra of goin low to a fault to avoid busting on high side . (Hey pf,lol)I would say you are Far East enuf to have at least a decent shot at 3 or 4. I see this morphing into more of an evening deal . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 On 12/16/2013 at 4:43 PM, cpick79 said: Seems u adopted the PF mantra of goin low to a fault to avoid busting on high side . (Hey pf,lol) I would say you are Far East enuf to have at least a decent shot at 3 or 4. I see this morphing into more of an evening deal . If this bombs out early, then I think I'm in a real good location. But right now, looks like I'm gunna miss the potential good stuff. And yeah, keep expectations low and be pleasantly surprised. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 My weenie has deflated on this one. Just a feeling that for my hood we may see an intense band of mush move through and then get ray slotted on any follow up. 1-2 with the hope that models are still pulling the a/b and may lean towards a brief capture in later runs far enough south to make a difference. Capture = brief slow down as the low waits for the trailing energy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 Ukie looks like a nice hit for ern areas. Can't see 6 hr QPF though. It does seem like this slows down a bit as the second s/w trends stronger...but not sure it's in time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 On 12/16/2013 at 4:58 PM, CoastalWx said: Ukie looks like a nice hit for ern areas. Can't see 6 hr QPF though. It does seem like this slows down a bit as the second s/w trends stronger...but not sure it's in time. How has verification been on the Ukie these last few events? I know it always gets mentioned Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 On 12/16/2013 at 5:02 PM, coldfront said: How has verification been on the Ukie these last few events? I know it always gets mentioned It was ok with the last one iirc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 On 12/16/2013 at 5:03 PM, CoastalWx said: It was ok with the last one iirc. Its been quite a while since we have had a clipper type event that i don't remember which models actually handle these types of systems better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 I like how the NAM's 12z version moves the QPF ball liked tormenting cookie-cutter around SNE without actually bringing it on land... I think I'm going with that solution - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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