Chicago WX Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 1.0" (0.07" liquid) last hour at MSP METAR KMSP 161553Z 13006KT 6SM -SN BR FEW009 OVC034 M14/M17 A3000 RMK AO2 SLP181 SNINCR 1/6 P0007 T11441167 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 Hourly has me down for 2" and change by the end of tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 Solid rippage right now 20 miles east of rochester. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 AREA FORECAST DISCUSSIONNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI1104 AM EST MON DEC 16 2013.UPDATE...GOOD THREE HOUR BURST OF SNOW EXPECTED LATE THIS EVENING ACROSSSOUTHEAST MICHIGAN.STRONG UPPER LEVEL WAVE/CIRCULATION ALONG THE SOUTHERNMANITOBA/ONTARIO BORDER WITH LOTS OF ENERGY DIVING SOUTHEAST ON THEBACKSIDE OF THIS SYSTEM...HELPING TO CARVE/SHARPEN UP THE SHORTWAVETROUGH SWINGING THROUGH THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES TONIGHT. SOLID 285 KISENTROPIC ASCENT DURING EVENING HOURS...WITH GENERALLY 2 TO 2.5G/KG OF SPECIFIC HUMIDITY TO WORK WITH IN/AROUND 750 MB LEVEL WHERETHE MAX LIFT IS. CROSS SECTION SHOWS AGEOSTROPHIC CIRCULATION IS NOTUPRIGHT UNTIL REACH 600 MB LEVEL. MY INCLINATION/EXPECTATION ISABOUT HALF INCH RATES FOR 3 HRS (SOMEWHERE IN THE 3-7Z TIMEFRAME)..WITH COUPLE TENTHS ON EITHER SIDE OUTSIDE OF THE MAIN TIME FRAME.THUS...EXPECTING 1.5-2.0 INCHES ACROSS MUCH OF SOUTHEAST MICHIGANTONIGHT. SO...INHERITED FORECAST IS PRETTY MUCH IN LINE WITH THELATEST THINKING AND NO PLANS TO MAKE SIGNIFICANT CHANGES. WILLLOOK IN MORE DETAIL THIS AFTERNOON TO SEE IF THERE IS THE POTENTIALFOR 3 INCH TOTALS SHOWING UP ANYWHERE...JUST IN CASE THE LIFT IS ABIT MORE ROBUST OR DURATION IS TOUCH LONGER THAN EXPECTED AT THEPRESENT TIME. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 some decent looking banding near decora with 25-30 dbz returns Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 1/4 mile visibility at Decorah. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gosaints Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 some decent looking banding near decora with 25-30 dbz returns hardest snow I have seen all season... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 I know its been mentioned in AFD's....but this could make for an ugly rush hour in chi-metro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 I have the over with Caplan of 2" at ORD with today and tomorrow mornings system combined. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 I have the over of 2" at ORD with today and tomorrow mornings system combined. Looks good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 yeah, easy over Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 I have the over with Caplan of 2" at ORD with today and tomorrow mornings system combined. over looks good imo...i'll go with 3.7 for both Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 Should be an interesting drive home at 4:30 today! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 Spitting a few flakes here now. 12z 4km NAM shows a pretty decent hit for northern IL late tonight/tomorrow morning as well. I didn't even know about this little clipper until Thundersnow mentioned it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 My flight leaves Midway at 6:30. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 System coming in south of ARX guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 nice little radar finger pointing right down I-90 into the city Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 Nice little burst of light snow out there at the moment. Shouldn't last long, but makes for 4 days in a row with snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 12z NMM has a fun look to it for tomorrow. 48 hour total QPF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 12z NMM has a fun look to it for tomorrow. NMM 24.gif NMM 27.gif NMM 30.gif 48 hour total QPF NMM 48 total.gif Yeah that one looks like a vigorous little bastard. Should be fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 1/4 mile at 1800z at Boscobel in southwest WI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 Think a general 1" looks good for this for Toronto, but it wouldn't surprise me to see 2-3" fall in the lake band that'll likely setup. With an ESE/SE flow it'll likely be in the areas from Toronto and east that missed out on the LES during the weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 12z NMM has a fun look to it for tomorrow. NMM 24.gif NMM 27.gif NMM 30.gif 48 hour total QPF NMM 48 total.gif Another one! Lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Toronto4 Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 Think a general 1" looks good for this for Toronto, but it wouldn't surprise me to see 2-3" fall in the lake band that'll likely setup. With an ESE/SE flow it'll likely be in the areas from Toronto and east that missed out on the LES during the weekend. That's my call too. Last night's 4k NAM showed the LES band from downtown Toronto and points east towards Scarborough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 Snow started around 11 with heavy, very small flakes...turned off for awhile, and now we have heavy, very large flakes falling. Winter wonderland this afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blue60007 Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 12z NMM has a fun look to it for tomorrow. NMM 24.gif NMM 27.gif NMM 30.gif 48 hour total QPF NMM 48 total.gif Was about to post something about this. Looks like an inch or so may be in store tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 That's my call too. Last night's 4k NAM showed the LES band from downtown Toronto and points east towards Scarborough. Nothing out of this world, but with good ratios you don't need a QPF fiend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mogget Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 Light snow now in Madison. Small flakes so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 I'll go with 1.7" with todays clipper at ORD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 Flakes falling in DKB. Better returns should nose in here with the next hour or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.