REDMK6GLI Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 Unbelieveable period that we are in. Anthony you are a model weenie i have to give that to you, always rooting on for the snow. Yea your right for the pattern were in we are getting some nickel and dime snow events that are slowing adding to our season totals so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 Anthony you are a model weenie i have to give that to you, always rooting on for the snow. Yea your right for the pattern were in we are getting some nickel and dime snow events that are slowing adding to our season totals so far Reminds me of January of 2009. We had a lot of nickel and dime events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 This was probably one of the great per-Christmas winter periods...cold and frequent snows. Yup, ill take this pattern in dec every year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 LOL, GFS tries to pull an inverted trof behind the storm too, can't make this stuff up Hilarious. So now the NAM, GFS, RGEM are all in agreement for a decent snow event again for about the same places that just got hit. IF we can eek out 5" or so on top of the 6-12" area wide and things don't torch too, too much, perhaps an outside shot that this would be enough snow for a White Christmas? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxman Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 This was probably one of the great per-Christmas winter periods...cold and frequent snows. ...But a bit behind last year for me at least, last year, 6.25" on Nov. 7 and 4" on Nov. 27. This year 9.25". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 Unbelieveable period that we are in, considering the indicies. the negative EPO is responsible for all of this - for a good explanation check out JB's free weatherbell discussion from yesterday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 the negative EPO is responsible for all of this Thank god for that. If it wasn't for the -EPO, we would be roasting. The warmup for next week looks transient before the -EPO rebuilds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 Hilarious. So now the NAM, GFS, RGEM are all in agreement for a decent snow event again for about the same places that just got hit. IF we can eek out 5" or so on top of the 6-12" area wide and things don't torch too, too much, perhaps an outside shot that this would be enough snow for a White Christmas? I wouldn't jump the gun yet on the clipper as these events typical favor SNE more so than around here, but I do like the trends. If this can keep digging further south than we would be in for quite a surprise. These can sometimes be quite explosive as well and that's often caught as we get closer by the models, perhaps that's what's going on now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 I wouldn't jump the gun yet on the clipper as these events typical favor SNE more so than around here, but I do like the trends. If this can keep digging further south than we would be in for quite a surprise. These can sometimes be quite explosive as well and that's often caught as we get closer by the models, perhaps that's what's going on now. absolutely. i remember many, many busts and a few major surprises. IF it surprises, I like where i am in NW NJ... Can we get lucky twice in the same week? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 To me, the best part of this winter so far (well, late fall) is that there has been something to track since before Thanksgiving non stop. I can't remember that being the case too often... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikehobbyst Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 To me, the best part of this winter so far (well, late fall) is that there has been something to track since before Thanksgiving non stop. I can't remember that being the case too often... '93-'94 seems to be back from the dead folks. A snowman's nirvana winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 To me, the best part of this winter so far (well, late fall) is that there has been something to track since before Thanksgiving non stop. I can't remember that being the case too often... Only 93 94. One break after another. Started w an ice storm in nov and every storm from 5 days out trended our way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 Only 93 94. One break after another. Started w an ice storm in nov and every storm from 5 days out trended our way But very little snow before christmas ..the storm a few days later seemed to really kick off an epic january and february and well march too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 Dear santa, Can you please deliver me some west based -NAO and -AO for christmas for the rest of winter. Respectfully, Ryan.....hahaha But this storm once again looks to drop a blanket of snow for our area in a couple days so this is nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 Just looking at the surface temps around the area mon nite into tues morning almost everyone is in the mid to upper 20s except eastern Long Island and southern NJ where they are close to freezing. But looks to be .3 inches if liquid thru minus 3 to 5 air. Looks like 2 to 4 from the first one accross the whole area. Hope the Euro agrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris L Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 To me, the best part of this winter so far (well, late fall) is that there has been something to track since before Thanksgiving non stop. I can't remember that being the case too often... 1993-1994, 1995-1996, 2002-2003, 2003-2004 (first half) then 2004-2005 (second half) then of course, 2009-2010 and 2010-2011. And the second half of 2012-2013 (February 2013 and March 2013). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 GEM looks very juiced but its more north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 My gut feeling is that this hits New England and spares everyone south of CT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 GEM looks very juiced but its more north Might be rain for the immediate coast if the low goes overhead or north at all. NAM spikes temps to near 40 again for the shores. The 850 temps and thicknesses could say one thing but southerly/easterly winds mean one thing-rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toople Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 How long is the -EPO going to last? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 My gut feeling is that this hits New England and spares everyone south of CT RGEM looked very nice at 48hr-low looked to go through S NJ. That would be a quick 3-6" thumper here. We just have to hope the low continues to trend south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 I wouldn't jump the gun yet on the clipper as these events typical favor SNE more so than around here, but I do like the trends. If this can keep digging further south than we would be in for quite a surprise. These can sometimes be quite explosive as well and that's often caught as we get closer by the models, perhaps that's what's going on now. If tracked and timed right, this can be quite explosive for our area and southern New England-the instant it hits Atlantic moisture, this can create quite a nice snow event for 6-10 hours or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 If tracked and timed right, this can be quite explosive for our area and southern New England-the instant it hits Atlantic moisture, this can create quite a nice snow event for 6-10 hours or so. Absolutely, I'm optimistic but still reasonable about this, this looks good just north of this area as of now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 My gut feeling is that this hits New England and spares everyone south of CT Maybe but right now every model gives us at least a couple inches and the warmup is mostly after the precip has fallen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 12Z GFS ensembles at 48 hours if anything argue this could go even more south...out of the 12 only 1 is north of the Op and you have to look really hard to see that, of the remaining 11, 2 are slightly south, 2 are very flat and the other 7 look almost exactly like the Op Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 Absolutely, I'm optimistic but still reasonable about this, this looks good just north of this area as of now. Haven't really paid attention to this until now, but some of the models such as the RGEM show a few hour period where there could be very heavy snow especially from the city across Long Island. Could be a "payback" storm for those who lost all their snow from last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 euro is .10+ monday night for clipper 1. enhancement by nyc and ne jersey…also long island Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 euro is .10+ monday night for clipper 1. enhancement by nyc and ne jersey…also long island Does it track under Long Island? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 tuesday night light snow from clipper 2 total from two clippers is .25+ for nyc metro and long island Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 Does it track under Long Island? yes….over southern nj and south of long island Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.