mulen Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 These systems which rarely perform well if they make it over the mountains and don't fizzle.They either snow or bust just my obs.Lived though to many clippers to get a snowgasm lol see ya. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 These systems which rarely perform well if they make it over the mountains and don't fizzle.They either snow or bust just my obs.Lived though to many clippers to get a snowgasm lol see ya. Comes in more from ur SW moves NE , The trough tries to go NEG , so it " intensifies " once to the coast . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 Certainly a trend south/cold with the main precip band/snows today on the RGEM/NAM/GFS, bring S/C NJ (Ocean/Monmouth) back in the game...but still given the history with these systems I like where we stand right now with this for a 2-4"'er. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 .30 for most of the area .35 city south and east .40 shore of ocean and Monmouth county through Suffolk county .50 east end . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 GFS 1-2" NENJ....2-4" NYC to LI, lower west higher east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 Certainly a trend south/cold with the main precip band/snows today on the RGEM/NAM/GFS, bring S/C NJ (Ocean/Monmouth) back in the game...but still given the history with these systems I like where we stand right now with this for a 2-4"'er. Yup-definitely encouraging so far at 12z. If we can get this to emerge east of maybe Toms River instead of Asbury Park, that would be perfect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 only poss precip issues mayb suffolk county off this , but like sat , its prob a few degrees too high . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 GFS 1-2" NENJ....2-4" NYC to LI, lower west higher east .25" liquid so 1-2" would be low Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LnbWx Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 So, is it a snow to rain event or an all snow event? For a change would like to have an all snow event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfsheepsheadbay Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 The latest RGEM bullseyes NENJ. Union and Essex Counties. 5-6". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 2nd wave hits SE NJ hard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 There is definitely more digging going on, you can see that now with the latest runs not giving as much snow to C-N or NE PA amymore as they bring the system in more from the WSW...we may see a later start time and end time as a result. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 any WWA or WSW possible for NE NJ NYC or Long Island? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rossi Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 Wintersgrasp- 2nd wave hits SE NJ hard PLease expand. Rossi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 any WWA or WSW possible for NE NJ NYC or Long Island? 95% WWA for Monmouth, Middlesex, Mercer, Somerset and North/East... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 any WWA or WSW possible for NE NJ NYC or Long Island? WSW for areas expected to see 4-8 on LI typically. Dont see that happening at all. Maybe top 5" on LI which is upper scale of WWA criteria IMO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 any WWA or WSW possible for NE NJ NYC or Long Island? Everyone gets an advisory Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 any WWA or WSW possible for NE NJ NYC or Long Island? If the NWS sticks with 2-4" areawide that's enough for an advisory. I still think given the rate at which this could deepen that there could be some 5 or 6" areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 Everyone gets an advisory Probably, someone may get warning criteria snowfall, but it'll be localized. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 Does anyone forsee a rush hour mess tomorrow in the AM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 Does anyone forsee a rush hour mess tomorrow in the AM? Shouldnt be too bad for morning and evening rush as this storm should hit in stride after rush hour (9-10am) and storm should end before 5 and clean up shouldnt be too bad. Im off tommorow so this doesnt affect me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 Probably, someone may get warning criteria snowfall, but it'll be localized. Hoping to get into some of the "heavier" banding tommorow as the clipper hits the coast. But your right there may be some localized warning level totals (5" or more) but nothing that should warrant county wide WSW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 RGEM total snowfall accumulation, through 36 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 Does anyone forsee a rush hour mess tomorrow in the AM? Could be. If snow arrives by 6/7 am and quickly turns steady/moderate roads could get pretty bad. Well below freezing tonight so immediate stickage Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 GGEM? 12z RPM has a 4-8" from this area through New England with the 2nd wave! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CTWeatherFreak Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 GGEM? 12z RPM has a 4-8" from this area through New England with the 2nd wave! Is the rpm ever even close to being right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 Is the rpm ever even close to being right? Well some models have been giving that second wave some potency so we'll see. This is a volatile setup however that can go either way in a hurry. Lets get past this even first Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 16, 2013 Share Posted December 16, 2013 12z NMM http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appcontroller/Image.php?fhr=048ℑ=data%2Fhrw-nmm%2F12%2Fhrw-nmm_eus_048_precip_p48.gif&model=hrw-nmm-eus&area=eus¶m=precip_p48&group=Model+Guidance&imageSize= .50 + for the NYC area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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