WintersGrasp Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 Uh oh bright bands headed into here for NE NJ....only 22 degrees....if this stays snow it'll be 1-2"/hour Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 DISCUSSION...RAPID PRESSURE FALLS ~6MB PER LAST 3H SIGNAL SECONDARY CYCLOGENESIS WAS BEGINNING ALONG A STRONG COASTAL FRONT ACROSS DELMARVA PENINSULA THIS EVENING. THE SFC LOW WILL INTENSIFY RAPIDLY INTO COASTAL BOMB OVER THE NEXT 12H WITH THE CENTER OF THE LOW FORECAST TO TRACK FROM DELAWARE BAY/CAPE MAY NJ TO BLOCK ISLAND OVERNIGHT/EARLY SUNDAY. MASS ADJUSTMENTS RESULTING FROM STRONG QG-FORCING FOR ASCENT WILL CONTRIBUTE TO PRONOUNCED INFLUX OF ATLANTIC MOISTURE ACROSS THE NORTHEAST ON THE NOSE OF A 65-70KT E-SELY LOW-LEVEL JET THROUGH 0900 UTC. HEAVIEST SNOW CAN BE ANTICIPATED AS THE CORE OF THIS LOW-LEVEL JET...AND ACCOMPANYING LARGE SCALE ASCENT...TRANSLATE NEWD FROM NY/NJ ACROSS NEW ENGLAND OVERNIGHT. VERY COLD SFC-BASED AIRMASS WAS ANCHORED ACROSS INTERIOR NY AND NEW ENGLAND AND WILL INITIALLY CONTRIBUTE TO HIGH SNOW-LIQUID RATIOS /SLRS/...PERHAPS AS HIGH AS 15-20:1. HOWEVER...RELATIVE WARMING AND MOISTENING ABOVE THE SURFACE WILL PROBABLY SUPPORT A LOWERING TREND TO ~10:1 SLRS PER LATEST NAM MAX SATURATED COLUMN TEMP. SNOWFALL RATES GREATER THAN 1 INCH PER HOUR WILL BE MOST LIKELY ON THE EAST/SOUTHEAST-FACING SLOPES OF THE CATSKILL/ADIRONDACK/GREEN AND WHITE MOUNTAINS WHERE OROGRAPHIC ASCENT WILL BE MAXIMIZED AS AFOREMENTIONED INTENSIFYING LOW-LEVEL JET SPREADS NEWD OVERNIGHT. TIGHTENING LOW-LEVEL BAROCLINIC ZONE COINCIDENT WITH THE INTENSIFYING SFC LOW FROM THE JERSEY SHORE NEWD WILL CONTRIBUTE TO A NARROW PRECIPITATION TRANSITION ZONE THAT SHOULD SPREAD INLAND FROM SERN NY ACROSS SERN NEW ENGLAND BETWEEN 0300 UTC AND 0900 UTC. EXPECT PRIMARILY A MIX OF SNOW AND SLEET IN THIS TRANSITION ZONE WITH FREEZING RAIN TO RAIN REMAINING CONFINED TO THE IMMEDIATE COASTAL AREAS FROM LONG ISLAND TO SERN MA BETWEEN 0400-0900 UTC. INTENSE MESOSCALE ASCENT ACROSS THE COASTAL FRONT COULD ALSO CONTRIBUTE TO HIGH SNOWFALL RATES IN EXCESS OF AN INCH PER HOUR DEVELOPING NEWD ON THE COLD/INLAND SIDE OF THIS BOUNDARY...FROM INTERIOR SRN NEW ENGLAND TO COASTAL MAINE THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 Holding steady at 27.9 with good snows.. JM1220 what is your wind direction? Still ENE I'd say. Some raindrops now but mostly sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tomcatct Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 19 and mod snow up here in trumbull, ct...NE wind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FreeRain Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 Hmmm...Temperature is up to 28 degrees but the wind just went back to NE. Moderate snow with about 3" accumulation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 Temperature 23 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 Can see the dry air killing the snow on BR/RHO over NE NJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFox Posted December 15, 2013 Author Share Posted December 15, 2013 8:00 PM OBS, 12/14/13 NEW YORK CITY 22 18 85 50 at 11 16 30.18 1021.1 0.5 9 OVC S ...KNYC NEW YORK/JFK 30 26 85 50 at 15 30.16 1021.1 1.2 10 OVC S- ...KJFK NEW YORK/LGA 25 22 88 30 at 16 25 30.16 1021.4 0.2 5 OVC S ...KLGA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathermedic Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 29 degrees here in Sheepshead Bay and what appears to be graupel is mixing with the snow. Not sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 30 degrees with freezing rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ScottB Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 Going to have quite a few bands coming over middlesex county in a little bit. Should be fun! Holding around 20.8 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yl715 Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 Dry air killing the precip as it moves north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 Snow trying to mix back in. It's doing just about everything outside now. No more raindrops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RutgersWx92 Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 I think this storm is goig through a transition phase as the coastal is taking over some bright banding entering somerset county nj anyone under that ? http://www.wunderground.com/radar/radblast.asp?zoommode=zoom&num=6&delay=15&rbscale=0.30434782608695654&scale=1.000&noclutter=0&ID=DIX&type=N0R&lat=0&lon=0&label=you&showstorms=0&map.x=360&map.y=184¢erx=400¢ery=240&lightning=0&smooth=0&showlabels=1&rainsnow=0 Yes I am...big flakes coming down now. Probably a sign of the changeover soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WintersGrasp Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 There is A CHANCE that we stay snow here to pick up a quick 2-4" on top of what has fallen, which is around 4" here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bullfr2121 Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 I think this storm is goig through a transition phase as the coastal is taking over some bright banding entering somerset county nj anyone under that ? http://www.wunderground.com/radar/radblast.asp?zoommode=zoom&num=6&delay=15&rbscale=0.30434782608695654&scale=1.000&noclutter=0&ID=DIX&type=N0R&lat=0&lon=0&label=you&showstorms=0&map.x=360&map.y=184¢erx=400¢ery=240&lightning=0&smooth=0&showlabels=1&rainsnow=0 i'm in Somerset County, but on the border of Hunterdon...3.5-4 inches so far and moderate snow right now...nothing crazy yet, hopefully soon!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 28.0 Snow and freezing Rain make that 28.2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 Ripping in Metuchen - so cool out there. I'm DJ-ing a party at Red Monk's, for a friend's 50th, so I can barely get any time to check the boards/radars. Soundling like we still might not changeover for a few more hours - would that get us to 5-6" here? Allsnow - need your Edison reports, as nobody ever posts from Metuchen, lol... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxnyc Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 29.3 rain snow line knocking on our door. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 We are still ripping here. Huge flakes, the stuff u see accumulate. I really thought we would be raining by now. Great storm. Could finish close to 5 or 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mgerb Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 First pingers hitting the window in Somerset. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 I am 19.8 here in Middlesex on the Union County border 4.8 inches of snow - mod snow falling winds picking up and blowing and drifting starting - NO snow at all on the tree limbs or power lines so any freezing rain will not weigh the trees down for quite a while - Garden State Parkway is moving in both directions at about 35 mph north of exit 131 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
danstorm Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 Graupel mixing in with snow in Forest Hills. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 now mainly sleet here....3.5 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 25 still here with snow falling...temp up to 43 along the Jersey shore... http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/gmap.php?zoom=7&extents=37.422526,-79.650879,42.472097,-70.532227&density=1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 Ripping in Metuchen - so cool out there. I'm DJ-ing a party at Red Monk's, for a friend's 50th, so I can barely get any time to check the boards/radars. Soundling like we still might not changeover for a few more hours - would that get us to 5-6" here? Allsnow - need your Edison reports, as nobody ever posts from Metuchen, lol... Hey pal. I would say a solid 4...coming down heavy. Could finish close to 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 Yes I am...big flakes coming down now. Probably a sign of the changeover soon. yes now mostly sleet here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
green tube Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 went over to sleet.... at low for the day 22F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 Snow is accumulating rapidly here now, moderate to heavy snow falling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted December 15, 2013 Share Posted December 15, 2013 those bright echoes are sleet as reported http://www.wunderground.com/radar/radblast.asp?zoommode=zoom&num=6&delay=15&rbscale=0.30434782608695654&scale=1.000&noclutter=0&ID=DIX&type=N0R&lat=0&lon=0&label=you&showstorms=0&map.x=360&map.y=184¢erx=400¢ery=240&lightning=0&smooth=0&showlabels=1&rainsnow=0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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