Coastalfront Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 This artic air is really low level, I understand warm air will flood from 850 but given the shallow depth ZR is looking more of a concern IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 Often times the cold air holds to the point where the coastal front ends up further south and east, unlikely in this case though. Even if it does it seems highly unlikely anyone south of I-78 can avoid changing over..especially with guidance calling not just for temps going slightly above freezing but torching into the 40s in coastal locales Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 Snow just isn't accumulating in Woodbridge; the back stoop hasn't changed in hours. We remain 1.75-2. Maybe it's the wind. When snow does get a little heavier, it doesn't last. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 looks like rain at the Link on TV now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jdt Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 Anyone concerned about the drop in temperatures? NAM had HPN at 22 degrees right now, I am down to 17 The only concern it produces in my mind is the threat of more significant freezing rain exist, if, when the warming occurs aloft its deep enough to exclude sleet and results in rain falling into this dense arctic air at the surface. Temps at the surface in the areas with temps and dew points currently in the teens will very likely never reach freezing or at least not till well after all the precip has fallen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rgwp96 Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 NAM had OXC 19 by 7pm, 24 by 10pm, currently 12 lol,just a tad off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WE GOT HIM Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 Same here. Just a sign the arctic air for the HP well to our north is still filtering into the area. Here in Queens, the wind is now E with a very slight southerly component to it. Temps starting to rise Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RutgersWx92 Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 As of 5 PM: Sussex: 15 Morristown: 19 Newark: 22 Somerville: 22 New Brunswick: 24 Trenton: 27 Philly: 32 Belmar: 36 Atlantic City: 42 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 Currently at 18F. 3.2" of snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wthrmn654 Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 nerad25.jpg i think that sleet on south long island is over doing it.. temps are still well below 32... mainly lower to middle 20's right now as we speak... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 Strange. But I have dropped to 12 F up north. Impressive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TwcMan Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 Snow just isn't accumulating in Woodbridge; the back stoop hasn't changed in hours. We remain 1.75-2. Maybe it's the wind. When snow does get a little heavier, it doesn't last. Look to the west.. I'm sure that band will produce for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophisticated Skeptic Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 NAM had OXC 19 by 7pm, 24 by 10pm, currently 12 Anyone concerned about the drop in temperatures? NAM had HPN at 22 degrees right now, I am down to 17 I'm completely puzzled by it too. Didn't read Upton's discussion. But mount holly only went by what the latest models were saying...didn't mention anything about Nowcasting. Or what the current temps indicate. Even if the mid layers get above freezing, this will still be a huge sleet / freezing rain event. 13 degrees and heavy snow here. Way below forecasted temp. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 We're in a bit of dry slot at the moment. Hopefully that heavy stuff in PA moves east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 24F... low of the day here. only about 1.5" temp from: http://synoptic.envsci.rutgers.edu/site/ yes, very weak system for us. Never had great expectations. looks like the 1-3 calls were right. My general rule is that I don't even pay attention to 1-3 events, but it is early in the season and we have had two lame winters in central NJ, even if we eked our way to average last year. So its nice to see anyway, but I can't make any conclusions about the rest of the winter other than that statistically, some snow in Dec usually means we will see more as winter wears on, but I keep reading here the outlook isn't good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardWarning Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 What is really going to expand northward is that area of pink. I knew this would happen. The temperatures to the Northwest of NYC have dropped into the low 20 and some areas have fallen into the upper teens. Sleet and freezing rain will be a big threat and that will compact all that fresh powder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 Temp dropped 4 degrees at newark last hour to 21.9 - this cold air is holding tough with heavey precip moving in - just hope its snow and not changing to freezing rain http://www.wunderground.com/history/airport/KEWR/2013/12/14/DailyHistory.html?req_city=NA&req_state=NA&req_statename=NA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 Clearly colder than forecasted here. 15.6 and the snow is ripping in Southern Sussex County. Coldest snow I can remember in a long, long time... Just spent an hour out there and had a couple of beers playing in the woods. Now I'm warming up by the fire getting ready for my next trip out when it's really going! LOVE this stuff! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherpruf Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 We're in a bit of dry slot at the moment. Hopefully that heavy stuff in PA moves east We're in a bit of dry slot at the moment. Hopefully that heavy stuff in PA moves east Yes, can you believe it? a small hole surrounded by precip.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fantom X Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 Temp just jumped here from 23 to 27 in 30 minutes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 27 here with about 1.5 inches of snow...not accumulating all that much after that moderate snow around 300 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 Still snowing in long branch. So trying to hang tough in asbury Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sophisticated Skeptic Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 Temp just jumped here from 23 to 27 in 30 minutes Temp dropped 4 degrees at newark last hour to 21.9 - this cold air is holding tough with heavey precip moving in - just hope its snow and not changing to freezing rain http://www.wunderground.com/history/airport/KEWR/2013/12/14/DailyHistory.html?req_city=NA&req_state=NA&req_statename=NA dramatic stuff going on. Especially the Newark one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RutgersWx92 Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 yes, very weak system for us. Never had great expectations. looks like the 1-3 calls were right. My general rule is that I don't even pay attention to 1-3 events, but it is early in the season and we have had two lame winters in central NJ, even if we eked our way to average last year. So its nice to see anyway, but I can't make any conclusions about the rest of the winter other than that statistically, some snow in Dec usually means we will see more as winter wears on, but I keep reading here the outlook isn't good. Please stop. The rain/snow line is still down by Lakewood and very slowly moving north. The entire region will continue to be snow for the next few hours and there is heavy precip moving in from the south and west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 25/19 snowing hardest of event so far right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 watch the last frame on this loop the snow / rain line is moving south through Monmouth county now in response to the cold push the last hour http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~fxg1/WXTYPE/loop25ne.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 Yes, can you believe it? a small hole surrounded by precip.... Its fine radar to the west and south looks great Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFox Posted December 14, 2013 Author Share Posted December 14, 2013 watch the last frame on this loop the snow / rain line is moving south through Monmouth county now in response to the cold push the last hour http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~fxg1/WXTYPE/loop25ne.html That's how it looks to me also up towards NYC and Long Island too. At least during the last fifteen minutes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 Its fine radar to the west and south looks great Looking at traffic cams out of mill town it's ripping and moving north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFox Posted December 14, 2013 Author Share Posted December 14, 2013 I also saw the that NWS mentioned the blizzard word in their afternoon forecast in New York City. At least for brief periods of time for heavy snow, blowing snow and low visibility. Time will tell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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