12/14 to 12/15 Snow Storm Observations

[NEG NAO]

  On 12/15/2013 at 12:00 AM, Rjay said:

I think it shuts off earlier then modeled when looking at the WV imagery. We'll see

that would be better up in NYC metro then turning to ice then heavy rain - Newark is now 19.9 Dew 19 winds still NNE

[Stormlover74]

  On 12/15/2013 at 12:00 AM, Hailstorm said:

How come Manhattan and Newark keep seeing dropping temps while Brooklyn and LI are seeing rising temps at the same time? Should'n't we all see rising temps as WAA ensues?

No because they are just enough distance from the water and with NE winds they aren't getting the ocean influence yet.

[ag3]

12z euro was 11 degrees too warm for KNYC for 7pm.

[RutgersWx92]

The temp continues to drop...Somerville down to 21.  12z NAM and 12z GFS were 4 and 5 degrees too warm at this time.

[Blizzardo]

This keeps up.. im gonna see 10-12 inch easy. Its bonkers here in Montclair!

[UlsterCountySnowZ]

I don't think I'm gonna see my high end of 10" I don't see precip lasting that long

[Snowlover11]

Just ripping here, temps sitting at 18F

[Rjay]

  On 12/15/2013 at 12:01 AM, Plfdwxdude said:

Maybe the precip is going to pivot from the south after the coastal low takes over?

Thought about it and I don't know. The coastal wont be strong enough until off of coastal NE...but this is just one amateur's opinion

[bluewave]

  On 12/14/2013 at 11:58 PM, TWCCraig said:

FOK up to 33 and still snowing.

 

It's raining a few miles to their south now.

[WeatherFox]

  On 12/14/2013 at 11:58 PM, Sundog said:

I see them reporting 26 at 651pm with a NE wind.

Yes:

[PB GFI]

27 just went to sleet. 5 .1 inches colts neck.

[96blizz]

Heaviest snow of the day.  15.8 degrees.  Wow.

[EasternLI]

30 and heavy snow here

[Wannabehippie]

  On 12/14/2013 at 11:58 PM, Sundog said:

I see them reporting 26 at 651pm with a NE wind.

In Astoria (which is right near LGA) the wind feels like it is coming from the NE and not ENE.  I just measured 3.5" of snow.  Maybe we can get another inch out it before the change over?

[TWCCraig]

Amazing bright banding out east. Transitioning fast.

[NEG NAO]

  On 12/15/2013 at 12:02 AM, ag3 said:

12z euro was 11 degrees too warm for KNYC for 7pm.

there is obviously a coastal front developing dividing east of the hudson where temps are rising and west where temps are falling - I would think anywhere above the raritan river in NJ will not rise above freezing tonight

[WintersGrasp]

I wonder if that heavy 1-2"/hour rates will make it into Essex county NJ here. Inland norther Monmouth getting nailed

[Weathergun]

  On 12/14/2013 at 11:58 PM, Sundog said:

I see them reporting 26 at 651pm with a NE wind.

Obs changing every few mins. 6:34pm was 27.

 

7:02pm 27 again with NE wind.

[sferic]

Lynbrook western Nassau county 26.4 light snow

[jm1220]

  On 12/14/2013 at 11:46 PM, WeatherFox said:

Without digesting all the available data.  I think it is not out of the question for the NWS to upgrade to a Winter Storm Warning for New York City and portions of Long Island.  Just my gut feeling and based on my experience.

We have maybe an inch and a half outside. We're not getting anywhere close to warning amounts, at least not my town. I think at most we end up with 3" if the snow lasts for a while and it gets heavier before rain. The temp is creeping up now as well-we're up to 27.

[UlsterCountySnowZ]

I was hoping those heavy bands would make their way up here but it's been steady light snow with occasional burst of mod snows

[Zir0b]

lol why are u guys arguing about this? just go outside and enjoy lol  its a nice surprise for a lot! 

[Rjay]

Up another degree in last 24 mins...27 in north Merrick

[WeatherFox]

for the record:

 

NYZ072-150915-
NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-
624 PM EST SAT DEC 14 2013

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SNOW AND FREEZING RAIN THIS EVENING...THEN RAIN AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SNOW MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES THIS EVENING. TOTAL SNOW
ACCUMULATION OF 4 TO 6 INCHES. ICE ACCUMULATION OF UP TO A TENTH
OF AN INCH. WINDY WITH LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. TEMPERATURE RISING
INTO THE MID 30S AFTER MIDNIGHT. EAST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH WITH
GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION NEAR 100 PERCENT.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE MORNING...THEN
MOSTLY SUNNY IN THE AFTERNOON. BREEZY WITH HIGHS IN THE MID 40S.
WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 30 PERCENT.

[Sophisticated Skeptic]

alright, so there needs to be a dramatic surge in temps the next couple hours.....if not, it's a dramatic forecast bust. 

[ag3]

  On 12/15/2013 at 12:06 AM, Wannabehippie said:

In Astoria (which is right near LGA) the wind feels like it is coming from the NE and not ENE. I just measured 3.5" of snow. Maybe we can get another inch out it before the change over?

I just measured 3.7" of snow on 36th Street in Astoria.

[SnoSki14]

Temps going up now, everyone will warm up rapidly regardless of current temps.

[wxman]

3" down, heavy snow, temp 21.6

[Allsnow]

We must have had close 2 inches in the last hr. Ripping.

[bluewave]

  On 12/15/2013 at 12:08 AM, jm1220 said:

We have maybe an inch and a half outside. We're not getting anywhere close to warning amounts, at least not my town. I think at most we end up with 3" if the snow lasts for a while and it gets heavier before rain. The temp is creeping up now as well-we're up to 27.

 

Yeah, I am rising a degree per half hour at 27.1 near the Southern State in Western Nassau.