HalloweenGale Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 There will be mixing here it looks like. 1-3." It's a "weather breeder" day today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 The NAM and GFS get unstable at the tail end too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Remember the NAM QPF biases guys. Any warmth is above 850 I assume...looks fine in the "lower" levels I thought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 12Z is rolling out a winna. QPF bomb and cold. Great start out of the gates. Mix appears to get up to Fore River and slammed back, by then thumping, dumpage done.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Can today's snow out here be counted toward storm totals since it's associated with the arctic boundary which will play a roll in tomorrow's system? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Ironically the RPM has cut back a lot because it tracks it over the canal...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 12Z is rolling out a winna. QPF bomb and cold. Great start out of the gates. Mix appears to get up to Fore River and slammed back, by then thumping, dumpage done.... Fore River in Maine? Doesn't get near there. Doesn't even make it to the pike verbatim on this run. Briefly gets to ma/ct border and retreats. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 The NAM and GFS get unstable at the tail end too. TOR's? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 I guess another way of looking at it is the nam is out to lunch. If it's botching this one it will cement itself as useless Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 just a teaser, delete if not OK. yellow is 15-16" orange 13-14" goes down from there Damn, I'd lock that, jackpot on my front door Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Professional Lurker Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Can today's snow out here be counted toward storm totals since it's associated with the arctic boundary which will play a roll in tomorrow's system? Lol... Snow is snow, i could care less when it's counted, as long as w have a white xmas, which is now a lock, I think... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Fore River in Maine? Doesn't get near there. Doesn't even make it to the pike verbatim on this run. Briefly gets to ma/ct border and retreats. No Jer Fore River- Quincy/ Braintree line. Trying to invoke a scooter! Me likes my seat in this. Right near the front row. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Remember the NAM QPF biases guys. Oh how soon folks forget this, around 1" is reasonable still unless further modeling can back it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 No Jer Fore River- Quincy/ Braintree line. Trying to invoke a scooter! Me likes my seat in this. Right near the front row. LOL tickles 32 for a bit, but if those VVs are right, it's giant beach balls falling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 I guess another way of looking at it is the nam is out to lunch. If it's botching this one it will cement itself as useless Quite sure this has already been done at least 100 times Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattlacroix4 Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 What a beautiful storm this is going to be. This just can't help getting stronger and stronger every run, I love it. Time to raise snow amounts! I could get over 14 inches IMBY! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Oh how soon folks forget this, around 1" is reasonable still unless further modeling can back it I think areas will get > 1" QPF for sure..but not sure 18" of snow in RI..lol. There is the tendency of the cold battling though and this is starting to take the appeal of a snow bomb in many areas, esp near and north of the Pike and just inland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Colonel Badger Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Ironically the RPM has cut back a lot because it tracks it over the canal...lol. Seems like the RPM came north a little. Almost brings liquid precip in to my area. Although verbatim the RPM has more snow for me than the 9Z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Seems like the RPM came north a little. Almost brings liquid precip in to my area. Although verbatim the RPM has more snow for me than the 9Z. It tends to this this and then correct south, but the RA/SN line close to the low center seems reasonable...I'm just not buying that wrapped up look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 I like NAM. Can we trust it inside 48? No we can not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bboughton Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Why are the 6" probs on the BOX website higher than the 4" probs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 I like NAM. Can we trust it inside 48? No we can not. Sadly....I knew the answer. She used to be beautiful but she let herself go. Now look at her.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 I think areas will get > 1" QPF for sure..but not sure 18" of snow in RI..lol. There is the tendency of the cold battling though and this is starting to take the appeal of a snow bomb in many areas, esp near and north of the Pike and just inland. I think the nam has the right idea handling the thermal aspects, Some one that is nw of the CF is going to get pounded pretty good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
apm Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Why are the 6" probs on the BOX website higher than the 4" probs? Good question, they're probably inadvertently transposed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Why are the 6" probs on the BOX website higher than the 4" probs? Edited... After looking at all the charts, these charts appear to provide probabilities based on at least 2" snowfall, at least 4", etc. I'm not sure what the issue is between the 4" and 6" charts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bboughton Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Because the charts depict the probability of 4" of snow, 6" of snow, etc.,not 4" or more of snow, 6" or more of snow, etc. I'm pretty sure that this is not true. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols1989 Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 My grandfather died this morning and I was wondering if you guys could pray for him if your into that kind of stuff, if not than that's fine. However its one of those deals where a snowstorm is a bonus regardless of the amounts. I won't stop watching the weather unfold because he wouldn't want me too. 850mb travels right over the Cape, so we mix for a time before the 850s crash southeastward as the comma head develops overhead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Sadly....I knew the answer. She used to be beautiful but she let herself go. Now look at her.... nam was really the first op model to bring this so far NW...everything else followed it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Sadly....I knew the answer. She used to be beautiful but she let herself go. Now look at her.... She still has her moments once in a while...but much better inside of 24-36 hours versus the marginal "inside of 48 but more than 36h" time frame. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Because the charts depict the probability of 4" of snow, 6" of snow, etc.,not 4" or more of snow, 6" or more of snow, etc. I think it is supposed to be for 1" or more, or 4" or more, etc. The 1" probabilities are 100%. I think it may just be a glitch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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