moneypitmike Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 someone will probably pull 1-2" of complete fluff today. that stuff when you step on it, it moves out from under your feet before you've finished taking a step. Radar echos on weathertap don't appear to be reaching the ground up here--not that I expected they would be. We have nearly 4" underfoot this morning, the bottom 2" which are the result of last weeks snow/ice, the top 2" from yesterdays fluff. Should establish something reasonable after tonight. What's the take on the warm up end of the week? deadly? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 Pretty dramatic adjustment on the BOX map just now. 06z adjustments? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 Pretty dramatic adjustment on the BOX map just now. 06z adjustments? Congrats on 16-18 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattb65 Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 6z consensus runs the surface track just SE of PVD/BOS which is outstanding for CNE/NNE, but obviously much more precarious for BOS and coastal plain locales. Diving deep on the hi res models it appears the vast majority of the precip is still frozen even here before it ends briefly as rain (likely showery in nature at that point). The 850 temps really rocket up as the heavy precip approaches but the warming appears to be battled back by very heavy rates however, with the warming it appears there might be a latitudinal gradient of a switch to IP, in fact I think N CT on south might be in a dumbfounded zone of IP++ for a time if 6z models are correct. I'm not trying to debbie downer this because I think the front end is going to deliver the goods in a big way but I'm feeling pretty sure that it'll torch up to upper 30s on the coastal plain probably mid 30s out to 495 with a track as depicted on the most recent guidance once the precip shuts off. Of course it'll slam back to freezing not too long afterwards... I still think 4-8" is a reasonable range for the immediate boston area but could see it in the lower end of the range if there's a warm punch somewhere in an elevated region that switches folks to IP a bit early. Mets am I out to lunch with this thinking? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 The BTV WRF precip has been steadily increasing up here. Good news. But check out the downsloping near DDH/Bennington in SW VT, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 Congrats on 16-18 Is your SOP to take any forecast you see and add like 20% to it? lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 Is your SOP to take any forecast you see and add like 20% to it? lol. That cold you have is impressive. 6/-1F here. Gonna stay cold for most of this Blizzy might get his later piece too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 Corey is having the first melt down if the season Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 Congrats on 16-18 I say thanks for your optiimism--but I'm going to congratulation myself on 9-11". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 I am surprised it's already snowing here. Euro and Jerry called it, but i had my doubts it would start this early. This may add on a bit to the higher accumsThe sim radar from the BTV had it ahead of the arctic blast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 That cold you have is impressive. 6/-1F here. Gonna stay cold for most of this Blizzy might get his later piece too Rare is the morning when I'm cooler than you. 3.1/-3 at the Pit. I wonder if we might managed to stay sub-teens through the daylight hours. Prog is for 15*, so I supposed its doable. Cold storm in store. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 I say thanks for your optiimism--but I'm going to congratulation myself on 9-11". I'm gonna congratulate myself on 3-5. A little snow is better than none. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 Pretty dramatic adjustment on the BOX map just now. 06z adjustments? Looks consistent with NWS Albany's thoughts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 I'm gonna congratulate myself on 3-5. A little snow is better than none. A mantra for life. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 Rare is the morning when I'm cooler than you. 3.1/-3 at the Pit. I wonder if we might managed to stay sub-teens through the daylight hours. Prog is for 15*, so I supposed its doable. Cold storm in store. or me in the winter. I'm at a balmy 7F this morning. Gonna' be fluffy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 Full of win ... no worries north of pike Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 Rare is the morning when I'm cooler than you. 3.1/-3 at the Pit. I wonder if we might managed to stay sub-teens through the daylight hours. Prog is for 15*, so I supposed its doable. Cold storm in store. Yeah. BOX thinks 18F here, wunderground gets to 16. This ought to be interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 I wonder how much grab azz Ekster and OceanSt will play? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 I wonder how much grab azz Ekster and OceanSt will play?Maybe Danielle Niles will rip and read this on air Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 Pretty dramatic adjustment on the BOX map just now. 06z adjustments?ASOUT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 Maybe Danielle Niles will rip and read this on air She may have deleted her account. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 N conway /Glen nh bound . Lets keep trendin NW lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 Corey is having the first melt down if the season He just threw his favorite accordion down the stairs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 LOL at Pickles leaving home when he's going to get blasted with snow in his BY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CarverWX Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 So as I see it for down here we are F'ed in the A for any meaningful snow fall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 LOL at Pickles leaving home when he's going to get blasted with snow in his BY he's makin a good move. he'd get plenty in his hometown, but he doesn't want to deal with any taint what-so-ever so might as well head N. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 So as I see it for down here we are F'ed in the A for any meaningful snow fall. 4-5"...sleet...heavy rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 he's makin a good move. he'd get plenty in his hometown, but he doesn't want to deal with any taint what-so-ever so might as well head N. I don't know that I would head to North Conway though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 Picks should pick a place near PWM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 This is what a few folks were discussing that would help add to the higher totals..this is before it rips from 8-4:00 am Matt Noyes @MattNoyesNECN20m Late day plans? Latest guidance of total snow by 7 PM - 3" Central/Western CT, less northeast: http://ow.ly/i/41uq1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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