CoastalWx Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 Euro is a big moisture bag in ern MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 It's a hair warmer, but juicier. Probably not too much change, but snowier in int NE MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 GOOD-LUCK with all these maps and guesses. This thing is all over the place. Dynamics is the wrench. With an extreme CF one can envision going 10 miles and from nothing to 8-10" I'm thinking Phil nailed this earlier with his narrative although respectfully the map I think is off. A very sharp delineation of the have and have nada. Further N and W ~ Rt.495 easier just put a general 10-14" down and it's gold. Top it off with possible 3"hr rates and a distinct possible dryslot. And lastly lest forget the flash freeze. OY VEY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 Euro is a big moisture bag in ern MA. It give BOS like 0.80-0.90 of qpf in 6 hours at one point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 Euro! Hellacious thump! Then believe it not mid day thump on the back side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 It give BOS like 0.80-0.90 of qpf in 6 hours at one point. That's surely something I would like to see for a thump. If only this could tick SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 Its a beast here....like Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 BOS now 15/0 and dropping....was 28 at 6. Euro argues 6-10 BOS and 12+ in a lot of interior eastern and ne ma. Rays going to clean up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RI Rob Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 About 16F here in Cumberland with a DP of 8, hope it continues to fall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 True Arctic Air T at 14.7*F Td is hovering at zero with Wet-bulb slightly above. Fantastic Td depression. MBY could possibly set record yearly low temperature this upcoming week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joey2002 Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 It give BOS like 0.80-0.90 of qpf in 6 hours at one point. 6-12z Sunday... wow. Crazy how juiced this is compared to a few days ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 There is a sharper temp gradient right now at 06z than models have been indicating. Not quite sure what that means for tomorrow, but the cold to the north is being under estimated while the airmass to our south is going close to guidance right now. (weeding out some of the stray rad readings like SLK) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 There is a sharper temp gradient right now at 06z than models have been indicating. Not quite sure what that means for tomorrow, but the cold to the north is being under estimated while the airmass to our south is going close to guidance right now. (weeding out some of the stray rad readings like SLK) The Euro is actually doing the best looking at that model now. It was a little too cold down in M.A. for right now though. But the euro has been a little weird with its 2m temps lately...it seems to have been biased cold at night....esp radiational cooling conditions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 Amazing models are still ramping up qpf this close in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mfastx Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 That graphic last page worries me. I'll be extremely bummed if all we can muster in BOS is 3". Going to head to bed in a bit so I will go with around 6 inches for my area, final call. Good luck guys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 Both nam and gfs kinda cut back on the dry slot to some extent. Almost like its trying to give this thing a more pronounced hook. Yesterdays runs had e ct ri and cape dry slotting rather quickly. Prob doesnt mean much, just something ive noticed and kept my eye on. I think everyone has done a great job with this... A Great team effort lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 This is just great, we have had snow three times and this threat for some real snow, and I am stuck in foggy London for two weeks!!Enjoy the storm fellas, hopefully by the time I get back, the pattern is the same. Just for the hell of it, it is foggy here(shocker) and about 40F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 This is just great, we have had snow three times and this threat for some real snow, and I am stuck in foggy London for two weeks!!Enjoy the storm fellas, hopefully by the time I get back, the pattern is the same. Just for the hell of it, it is foggy here(shocker) and about 40F new england > old england Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joey2002 Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 new england > old england Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 That's surely something I would like to see for a thump. If only this could tick SE. Yup. If only. Good luck, BOS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 The southern stream s/w is looking pretty impressive right now... definitely stronger than what was modeled several days ago (suprise suprise) http://www.atmos.albany.edu/student/kgriffin/maps/dprog/F006/500vort/namer/500vort_namer_dprog.html (look at the last 60 hours to verification time... significant deepening of the southern stream s/w). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 The southern stream s/w is looking pretty impressive right now... definitely stronger than what was modeled several days ago (suprise suprise) If only some kind of blocking pattern could be present so that... So that... Anyway, good luck, SNE. Front end looks pretty decent for you guys, although east of 93/95 looks after midnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 Looks like it maybe time to get outta dodge, i think my fate is sealed east of -i-93 during the hellacious part of the thump. Not sure but man 34 f rain would sure blow from say 3-9 am. Ray is lookin right on line to me but snow. This could still overperform but damn that S stream shortwave has models playing catch up still. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 Big one on the way folks. Big one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 Look at the freaking temps over the border in southern Canada on spc mesoscale observations , wow u kidding me . -20 to -30 wow. Frigid in Bos right now 11f. Single digits Merrimack valley -8 MPV, vt so far. -12 stowe Mid-upper 20's NYC Low 20's s coast ma,ri and s ct. (Big gradient) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil882 Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 Look at the freaking temps over the border in southern Canada on spc mesoscale observations , wow u kidding me . -20 to -30 wow. Frigid in Bos right now. -8 MPV, vt so far. This is certainly shaping up for some impressive low-level frontogenesis tonight... even without a well defined coastal low, the ageostrophic vertical circulation produced from the strengthening temperature gradient will do all the heavy lifting for precip with this event. It also may result in some very high snowfall rates well inland as well in addition to coastal regions in the early going. There will be a lot of winners with this event prior to mixing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 Already snowing into CT..Southbury reporting light snow. Euro FTW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 The overnight models really ramped up QPF up this way...hopefully that's not a pipe dream. Is it me or do the tracks look a little more NW on 6z GFS/NAM? Crossing the Cape or SE MA... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwoman Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 Snowing lightly down here in Ansonia Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
centralmass Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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