Damage In Tolland Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 On 12/14/2013 at 1:18 PM, CoastalWx said: Nah 8-15 Who thinks that? My forecast for here is 8-10 What is yours? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 On 12/14/2013 at 1:07 PM, Chrisrotary12 said: I think someone at BOX saw my snow map....... SWCT shore with 7-10? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 On 12/14/2013 at 1:19 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Who thinks that? My forecast for here is 8-10 What is yours? Good call on the early snow, at work lt snow has commenced Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 On 12/14/2013 at 1:19 PM, Ginxy said: SWCT shore with 7-10? OKX has them for 6-8 at the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 On 12/14/2013 at 1:19 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Who thinks that? My forecast for here is 8-10 What is yours? 16-24" with snow until Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 Going from 5-9 to 2-4. Trend is not our friend jn this area. If that storm tracks over southeast ma. Well get a couple of inches before it's washed away by heavy rain. Any mets thoughts for this area? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 On 12/14/2013 at 1:17 PM, CT Rain said: Wow the gfs is very warm. That would be like a 3-6 deal here before we rip pingers and ZR. Pretty fast SW flow pumps in warm air. The NAM is even warm to a degree but holds onto the colder air at the surface longer...actually not too far away from a period of freezing rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 On 12/14/2013 at 1:23 PM, CoastalWx said: 16-24" with snow until Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 On 12/14/2013 at 1:23 PM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Going from 5-9 to 2-4. Trend is not our friend jn this area. If that storm tracks over southeast ma. Well get a couple of inches before it's washed away by heavy rain. Any mets thoughts for this area? Heavy rain? I think you get the upper end of it before sleet pings and a little rain at the end. A net gain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 On 12/14/2013 at 12:28 PM, HIPPYVALLEY said: or me in the winter. I'm at a balmy 7F this morning. Gonna' be fluffy. Your morning lows' beat me 98% of the time year-round, not just winter! What's even more impressive than the cool temps is that they took place as clouds were increasing and continued to drop long after heavy overcast had set in. On 12/14/2013 at 1:02 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Well he's kind of a vagabond..moving from place to place man to man..so I don't know where he lives really That Bohemian life-stye. Have been below freezing since midnight Wednesday (and have been outside of 3 hours since Monday), and in the 20's or lower since noon on Wednesday. Almost feels like winter. 3.0/-3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 On 12/14/2013 at 1:25 PM, HoarfrostHubb said: Heavy rain? I think you get the upper end of it before sleet pings and a little rain at the end. A net gain So your thinking 4 inches here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 On 12/14/2013 at 1:26 PM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: So your thinking 4 inches here? 4-6". But I am just a weenie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 On 12/14/2013 at 1:23 PM, weatherwiz said: Pretty fast SW flow pumps in warm air. The NAM is even warm to a degree but holds onto the colder air at the surface longer...actually not too far away from a period of freezing rain ZR threat def increased down there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 On 12/14/2013 at 1:26 PM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: So your thinking 4 inches here? I would guess 3-5 there. However, it may flip to heavy rain as signs point to a band of +RA ahead of the low as it moves NE cross near the canal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 On 12/14/2013 at 1:28 PM, CoastalWx said: ZR threat def increased down there. Yeah was just thinking that... Looks pretty icy down this way maybe even for Kevin too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 On 12/14/2013 at 1:20 PM, Ginxy said: Good call on the early snow, at work lt snow has commenced Hasn't the GFS shown daytime light snow in CT for the last several runs? On 12/14/2013 at 1:23 PM, CoastalWx said: 16-24" with snow until Monday. LOL. I was thinking that if Chris and I could finagle the ratios we had yesterday, we'd be over 20". Alas, we won't maintain those goose feather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 On 12/14/2013 at 1:28 PM, CoastalWx said: ZR threat def increased down there. Was just looking at some of the NAM soundings and they definitely are quite intriguing. The question at play is how warm do the low levels get? Pretty much on the line of sleet vs. freezing rain but it definitely needs to be watched. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 On 12/14/2013 at 1:29 PM, CoastalWx said: I would guess 3-5 there. However, it may flip to heavy rain as signs point to a band of +RA ahead of the low as it moves NE cross near the canal. Thanks. Yeah this hasn't really trended in the righ direction here at all. Hoping we can salvage a net gain and it all isn't washed away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 On 12/14/2013 at 1:23 PM, CoastalWx said: 16-24" with snow until Monday. I thought it looked like it was morphing into a Tuesday-Wednesday deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 On 12/14/2013 at 1:23 PM, CoastalWx said: 16-24" with snow until Monday. I've noticed you never like to give specific numbers or forecasts. Always these vague ideas Phil had a nice map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 Check out the 00z 4 km NAM forecast reflectivity for 11z Sunday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 On 12/14/2013 at 1:23 PM, weatherwiz said: Pretty fast SW flow pumps in warm air. The NAM is even warm to a degree but holds onto the colder air at the surface longer...actually not too far away from a period of freezing rain Go with mesos and Euro in situations like this..Nevr the GFS..Never Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 On 12/14/2013 at 1:29 PM, CT Rain said: Yeah was just thinking that... Looks pretty icy down this way maybe even for Kevin too. No power or schools for weeks. It will be like the book "The Road". Kevin pushing a shopping cart along manicured lawns of Mt. Tolland. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 On 12/14/2013 at 1:31 PM, Damage In Tolland said: I've noticed you never like to give specific numbers or forecasts. Always these vague ideas Phil had a nice map. I just gave T-Blizz some numbers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 On 12/14/2013 at 1:33 PM, CoastalWx said: I just gave T-Blizz some numbers. You don't feel comfortable for my area..and are unsure..so you're not putting one out there..That's ok too. My call is 8-10 here and 6-8 for you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 On 12/14/2013 at 1:32 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Go with mesos and Euro in situations like this..Nevr the GFS..Never look at soundings. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 On 12/14/2013 at 1:32 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Go with mesos and Euro in situations like this..Nevr the GFS..Never the euro is pretty darn warm, fwiw. more than 12z was too. it now has the 0C 850 line to MA/NH border by 12z tom. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 On 12/14/2013 at 1:34 PM, Damage In Tolland said: You don't feel comfortable for my area..and are unsure..so you're not putting one out there..That's ok too. My call is 8-10 here and 6-8 for you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 On 12/14/2013 at 1:32 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Go with mesos and Euro in situations like this..Nevr the GFS..Never Which is why I'm thinking we really could see a period of freezing rain tomorrow morning...just not sure if it will be enough to cause any issues or not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 On 12/14/2013 at 1:32 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Go with mesos and Euro in situations like this..Nevr the GFS..NeverVerbatim, the Euro looks similar at that valid time. +4C at 850 over your head and a little above 32F at the sfc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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