UlsterCountySnowZ Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 What about North and East - i.e. upper Fairfield County? Hard time to get opinions for this area both here and in the New England forum. I guys look to be prime for some good totals 8+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 What about North and East - i.e. upper Fairfield County? Hard time to get opinions for this area both here and in the New England forum. Upper Fairfield County will probably taint, but not before seeing 6+. Lower Fairfield country(Me) will probably squeak out 4+ then torch. I'm really hoping we can avoid plan rain, but it's looking likely that might not be the case. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Upton's snowmap if anyone didn't see it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cut Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Thanks for the Fairfield County feedback. I am in Trumbull so I am probably closer to the southern outlook. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 13, 2013 Author Share Posted December 13, 2013 RPM has showed a really impressive ageostrophic flow its past run or two. Northeast winds keep the city and areas west of it heavy snow through at least 02z Sunday (newest run still coming out but looks equally impressive). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 12z NAM text numbers for those interested. First number is snow, second is ZR KMMU - 8.7" 0.32" KHPN - 9.2" 0.23" KSWF - 12.0" 0.05" KISP - 4.4" 0.00" KLGA - 7.4" 0.15" KEWR - 8.2" 0.25" KJFK - 6.7" 0.00" wow - shocked to see less than an inch diff between JFK and LGA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StatenWx Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 RPM has showed a really impressive ageostrophic flow its past run or two. Northeast winds keep the city and areas west of it heavy snow through at least 02z Sunday (newest run still coming out but looks equally impressive). Where do you get the rpm from I googled it and couldn't find it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 13, 2013 Author Share Posted December 13, 2013 Where do you get the rpm from I googled it and couldn't find it. I get it through WSI which is paid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Radders Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 This looks like a good call. A little more bullish than me in the far NW zones, but the word "potential" keeps it realistic. Its a hard call on how long those zones stay frozen given that a small difference in the thermal gradient can have a huge impact to those areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Based off the 12z GGEM Meteograms, NYC gets a few inches of snow followed by rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rsteff Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 looks good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Based off the 12z GGEM Meteograms, NYC gets 3-6 inches of snow followed by rain. The map looks like it could perhaps be a little more. Anyway, tough accumulation call for the immediate metro-we know it will change over, but how soon into the heavy precip? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Hr 30 12z euro light snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Hr 36 heavy snow. Surface south of 95 and 850's by phl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 By hr 42 it's rain for city and coast. Nw jersey Ice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 By hr 42 it's rain for city and coast. Nw jersey Ice It's coming to an end by then. Looks like a few inches before it turns to rain for a few hours. This run was an improvement from the past runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted December 13, 2013 Author Share Posted December 13, 2013 Without using the silly snowfall maps, the Euro is definitely a tick colder at 850mb and the surface prior to the front end dump of snowfall. Probably ends up around the same with a bit more snow west of the city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Really?? Most of that is 10-15 mm of liquid which is about .5 inch. Those pops of yellow and brown still dont get over 1.0 and they are small you are right, i misread the level of MM's....i thought it was more in the 25-35 mm range....just a high end SECS/low end MECS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lab94 Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Those are the temps at 42HR the key is how much of the .50-.75 falls in that 6 hrs before they get there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dwang0725 Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 By hr 42 it's rain for city and coast. Nw jersey Ice Sucks that there's no hr 39 panel... Would have loved to see what's going on at that time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 The 12z Euro looks warmer at 850mb than the 12z NAM at 42hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
supermeh Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 euro is definitely a tick or so cooler than 00z last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 My area of Orange County is about 65 miles north The I84/I87 interchange is about 50 miles from Central Park. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Not even close to a ku. That is just ridiculous to call it so.. just for the record this is on the NESIS site.... this one might have greater scope Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 euro is definitely a tick or so cooler than 00z last night. wXBell map shows 6+ just to the west of NYC. Shows 3-6 for NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 wXBell map shows 6+ just to the west of NYC. Shows 3-6 for NYC. The word Weatherbell should be bleeped out here like a curse word. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 The word Weatherbell should be bleeped out here like a curse word. +1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Sv maps have 4 inches for the city and immediate suburbs. 6+ north jersey. Long Island 2-3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gkrangers Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Sv maps have 4 inches for the city and immediate suburbs. 6+ north jersey. Long Island 2-3ill take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 ill take it. I will take 9 inches total for the first half of December going into first of the year. Northern pa and western sne get hit hard this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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