Scraff Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 How close is this to being something really good? I'm sure Boston will cash in. Miller Bs have a high bust potential around here I know. My forecast overnight went to 90% snow and rain for Saturday and Sunday. If we can just get that fresh cold NE H to supply us... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 A little something for everyone. Forecast says I get BOTH snow and rain. Rain on the back end is not very exciting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 How close is this to being something really good? I'm sure Boston will cash in. Miller Bs have a high bust potential around here I know. My forecast overnight went to 90% snow and rain for Saturday and Sunday. If we can just get that fresh cold NE H to supply us... actually, NE'ers aren't so happy with this run of the Euro because it's too progressive (fast).....sound familiar? for us, we want progressive because it increases the chances of snow on the front end and diminishes rain on the back end, while also guaranteeing it will be a light event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 I'm in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 I'm in Nice I'm on a triple point of neige verglas and gresil....YES!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 Nice I'm on a triple point of neige verglas and gresil....YES!!! Just keep the pluie to the south and east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 Just keep the pluie to the south and east Word Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 Just keep the pluie to the south and east :( Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 Nice, Mitch. Thanks. I'd be in for a few inches with a progressive flow. Models today will be interesting no doubt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 :( further south and east of you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 Oh pluie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 As disappointing as yesterday ended up being, I guess in the big picture, this will make 3 trackable events in the span of one week, with the first two yielding at least some frozen for a large part of the area. Given the regime we are in and how Wes and Matt and others rightly point out it is so crappy for storms in our region, this is probably as good as it gets for now. It's far better than the last two winters anyway, in terms of wintry precip. Hope we get to an -AO at some point this winter, just so we can hunt a legit storm once. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 Oh pluie Hong Kong pluie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 Hong Kong pluie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 Euro gives us a couple of inches of snow (per Wunderground maps) and not a lot of rain afterward progressive flow ftw The 0Z Euro 2m temps look cold according to wundermap. The freezing line at the surface appears draped over D.C. I-95 corridor for another classic CAD situation. I think it shows a little snow, but I wonder what the total qpf output looks like? Is it all snow? It's crazy how different the GFS is with the slight warming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 If nothing else, this is exciting. I can't remember the last time we had three storms line up like this in the matter of one week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 If nothing else, this is exciting. I can't remember the last time we had three storms line up like this in the matter of one week. I remember the GFS from December 1 showed multiple systems between the 8th and 15th, though now seems to want to continue the pattern throughout all December, fun times! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 Get the banter in while you can. Probably won't be allowed for long. PS - I love seeing you guys having fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 I don't know what to make of the NAM. I'm sure Matt would chuckle at that one. It keeps the 850 flirting with us all the way through, but the surface looks warm (ish), mid 30's or so. Not much of any CAD signal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 I don't know what to make of the NAM. I'm sure Matt would chuckle at that one. It keeps the 850 flirting with us all the way through, but the surface looks warm (ish), mid 30's or so. Not much of any CAD signal. The hp moves across canada in step with the storm. Surface flow goes from SW to E. It's not CAD. It's WAD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 I posted this in another forum but most guidance still has the 850 low over ohio which spells slop for i95 and the coastal plain. Need primary to weaken fast and secondary to develop even quicker...not sure any model has this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 The hp moves across canada in step with the storm. Surface flow goes from SW to E. It's not CAD. It's WAD The last couple systems gave a red flag for the NAM during this pattern, imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 GFS says some non-accumulating frozen is on the table. 3 round of flakes in a week is hardly something to be mad at. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 NWS last discussion said it was leaning on the dominant low being the coastl variety. Just need that to blow up south and early, drag down more fresh cold air--bam--flakes! If only it was that easy... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 NWS last discussion said it was leaning on the dominant low being the coastl variety. Just need that to blow up south and early, drag down more fresh cold air--bam--flakes! If only it was that easy... It's not a total write off but nothing showing to get all invested and over analyze. The prob with the coastal variety is it's still weak and progressive. Probably too much of an easterly trajectory and no appreciable amplification that can get us in the goods. Still plenty to resolve. If I get an inch of snow I would be kinda shocked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 I don't think a coastal throwing precip back into cold air is even remotely in the possibility range. I'd like to see an early blow up as in late Friday into Saturday and then dwindle out. Maybe get an inch or two of snow with no real rain afterward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RickinBaltimore Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 I'm being forecast here as 32 for the high and low on Saturday and a 90% chance of a wintry mix all day here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 Euro stays colder and south of the gfs. 1-3" verbatim before the rain. NW would do best of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 I'm being forecast here as 32 for the high and low on Saturday and a 90% chance of a wintry mix all day here. What outlet? Because if you're talking about Dundalk, thats not what NWS point and click says Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 Euro is holding firm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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