Bob Chill Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 NAM has inklings of a mapgirl superband. It's moved north each storm. Sunday was over N Md, Tues was in S PA so this one will be up by Lake Erie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 I expect rain.. even for my area. Anything over nothing and I'll be happy. I'm with you on this one. Flakes would be a win. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 Interested to see what the GFS has to say wrt to front end temps. It is more evident a bit more precip could be around, but as many have said the marginal temps make it hard for anything to really accumulate. Grassy surfaces don't make us all that happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 woonam.JPG good thing their snow maps suck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 good thing their snow maps suck This one has the highest chance of verifying since the 8th grade C math student wrote the algorithm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpasi Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 How do I see what the surface temps are around hour 60-70..for IAD..and Vienna,., Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 What a week it would be out here if we got another accumulating snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 Rain on the back end makes it kinda a non event. For me at least. Then we have the marginal temp issues which are not going away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 How do I see what the surface temps are around hour 60-70..for IAD..and Vienna,., Mid 30's. Push next in upper right hand corner. http://www.instantweathermaps.com/NAM-php/showmap-conussfc.php?run=2013121212&time=INSTANT&var=TMINF&hour=060 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 It could easily be as good as the last events in our backyards. Stay positive. I don't see any signs of it breaking our way. The usual suspects N and W, sure. I really am fine with it...I'm coming down with a cold and feeling miserable anyway. We shall get ours during the Christmas time- New years period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 It could easily be as good as the last events in our backyards. Stay positive. I think that would be a win for this event. Flakes maybe on the front end but even the euro warms the surface in dc pretty quickly in the city and points east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 I think that would be a win for this event. Flakes maybe on the front end but even the euro warms the surface in dc pretty quickly in the city and points east. That sounds eerily familiar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 woonam.JPG surface temps at 4PM on the NAM that snowfall map lines up almost perfectly with the 32 degree line http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appcontroller/Image.php?image=data%2Fnam%2F12%2Fnam_namer_057_10m_wnd_precip.gif&model=nam&area=namer&storm=&cycle=12¶m=10m_wnd_precip&fhr=057&group=Model+Guidance&imageSize=M&scrollx=0&scrolly=0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 Nam hires has some of u guys getting in on the waa band that is farther south this run: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 Nam hires has some of u guys getting in on the waa band that is farther south this run: Ralph, surface temps this time look to be a problem as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCAlexandria Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 I'm still out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 Maybe but the trends seem ok this run no? Colder at surface. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 Maybe but the trends seem ok this run no? Colder at surface. yes on the trends, but will it just be colder rain? although there's definitely time, I get the feeling we don't have the players on the field that could get us an inch or 2 under the best case Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 In any event, I'm pulling for you guys down there! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 I think that would be a win for this event. Flakes maybe on the front end but even the euro warms the surface in dc pretty quickly in the city and points east.Well I partly said that because our totals were pretty lame officially. You could pick up .5" in an hour or two by accident many places. Might be too much to ask for DCA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 In any event, I'm pulling for you guys down there! thanks, we'll need all the luck you can send us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 NAM for MRB: 131214/1500Z 51 10006KT 30.5F SNOW 11:1| 0.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.011 11:1| 0.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.01 100| 0| 0131214/1600Z 52 10007KT 31.0F SNOW 8:1| 0.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.028 9:1| 0.3|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.04 100| 0| 0131214/1700Z 53 10007KT 30.8F SNOW 8:1| 0.3|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.038 8:1| 0.6|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.08 100| 0| 0131214/1800Z 54 13008KT 31.5F SNOW 12:1| 0.5|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.046 10:1| 1.2|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.12 100| 0| 0----------------------------------------------+----++-----+-------------++--------------++-------------++-----------+---+---131214/1900Z 55 13007KT 31.9F SNOW 15:1| 0.9|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.061 11:1| 2.1|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.18 100| 0| 0131214/2000Z 56 13007KT 32.1F SNOW 8:1| 0.4|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.046 11:1| 2.4|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.23 100| 0| 0131214/2100Z 57 14008KT 32.1F SNOW 9:1| 0.6|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.063 10:1| 3.0|| 0.00|| 0.00|| 0.29 100| 0| 0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 .4 qpf snow from the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 i like southern pa for this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 I'm still out. keep us posted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 i like southern pa for this one all of them. fixed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 i like southern pa for this one. I'm here and I don't even like it. Coating of snow, changing to a freezing drizzle and then rain is my guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 Accums are suspect but the jackpot seems about right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 Accums are suspect but the jackpot seems about right 12zsnow.JPG Pool party at mapgirl's house! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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