mitchnick Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 the dry wedge on the GFS is utterly maddening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 On 12/13/2013 at 3:55 AM, mitchnick said: the dry wedge on the GFS is utterly maddeningIts mot really dry? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 On 12/13/2013 at 3:57 AM, UVVmet84 said: Its mot really dry? hrs. 39 and 42 with 42 having a "V" shaped dry wedge which is what I was referring to Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 I bet the GFS temps keep coming down. There's a mother load of cold to our ne and a stout high there as well. The euro will be colder I think (than gfs) Another step in the wetter direction Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 13, 2013 Author Share Posted December 13, 2013 GFS cant handle the cad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 the reason why it's so dry compared to our west and north is that it's transferring energy to a new low on the coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 On 12/13/2013 at 4:03 AM, mitchnick said: the reason why it's so dry compared to our west and north is that it's transferring energy to a new low on the coast The only way we get anything decent here is if it transfers the coastal much further south like the NAM, the chances of that happening this late in the game are slim. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 On 12/13/2013 at 4:00 AM, Ji said: GFS cant handle the cadToss it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 On 12/13/2013 at 4:06 AM, ravensrule said: The only way we get anything decent here is if it transfers the coastal much further south like the NAM, the chances of that happening this late in the game are slim. it's possible, but late minute jogs are 95%+ of the time northward Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 13, 2013 Author Share Posted December 13, 2013 On 12/13/2013 at 4:06 AM, Ian said: Toss it if you go with the snowiest model, you will usually be successful forecasting in DC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Where are you guys getting its dry. Overall it's the wettest run yet for the whole area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 On 12/13/2013 at 4:06 AM, Ian said: Toss it GFS snow map? sorry, you gave us the drugs earlier and we need more now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 On 12/13/2013 at 4:08 AM, WinterWxLuvr said: Where are you guys getting its dry. Overall it's the wettest run yet for the whole area. yeah, if you include the rain it's dry up here when it's cold enough to snow and then gets moist once things warm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lpaschall Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 I like the trend and plan on some good skiing at liberty this weekend. While it would be great to have a widespread storm portions of this forum have a good chance at getting some more snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Seems to me that these snow maps everyone keeps posting seem to change every run lol Idont know why some people get excited by them . Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 On 12/13/2013 at 4:08 AM, mitchnick said: GFS snow map? sorry, you gave us the drugs earlier and we need more now this is like methadone vs heroin but enjoy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 gfs snow maps ....naso good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 On 12/13/2013 at 4:11 AM, jack_frost said: Seems to me that these snow maps everyone keeps posting seem to change every run lol Idont know why some people get excited by them . Lol sometimes they change within the same run. at least soil temps look good: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 On 12/13/2013 at 4:15 AM, Ian said: this is like methadone vs heroin but enjoy gfs_6hr_snow_acc_washdc_25.png thanks I( looked at the one on Instant Weather and it was worse than yours, which is why I posted it was naso good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 On 12/13/2013 at 4:16 AM, mitchnick said: thanks I( looked at the one on Instant Weather and it was worse than yours, which is why I posted it was naso good wxbell snowmaps are for the true weenies only. consider yourself privileged. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 It's been a great wintry week so far with two snow events and some nice cold...to get a third would be icing...if its another 2-4" then wow...even better. Is there a model right now NOT showing snow for the favored areas? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 13, 2013 Author Share Posted December 13, 2013 On 12/13/2013 at 4:17 AM, Ian said: wxbell snowmaps are for the true weenies only. consider yourself privileged. Ryan Mahue made them like that to get more subscribers. "Subscribe to weatherbell and see your snowfall forecasts increase!" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 13, 2013 Author Share Posted December 13, 2013 On 12/13/2013 at 4:19 AM, leesburg 04 said: It's been a great wintry week so far with two snow events and some nice cold...to get a third would be icing...if its another 2-4" then wow...even better. Is there a model right now NOT showing snow for the favored areas? the GFS looks the worst Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 On 12/13/2013 at 4:15 AM, mitchnick said: gfs snow maps ....naso good On 12/13/2013 at 4:16 AM, mitchnick said: thanks I( looked at the one on Instant Weather and it was worse than yours, which is why I posted it was naso good It shows 4" by my house even if you cut that in half I would be tickled pink, you made me think we were getting squat at first. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 On 12/13/2013 at 4:20 AM, Ji said: the GFS looks the worst Does it show snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 I am actually a little surprised it is as close as it is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 On 12/13/2013 at 4:23 AM, PhineasC said: I am actually a little surprised it is as close as it is.Even taking the worst model we should get close to 2", that would put us at 10" and it will only be Dec 14. Pretty damn good for a winter that all the experts said would be below normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Haven't been able to look at models all day until now. GFS and NAM both giving me 6+ with 36 hours until start time. Hope the ECMWF agrees later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterymix Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Some of us could be close to 50% of the annual mean by Sunday; except for DC which has the snow climate of Macon, Georgia. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 On 12/13/2013 at 4:21 AM, ravensrule said: It shows 4" by my house even if you cut that in half I would be tickled pink, you made me think we were getting squat at first. it's a killer gradient and I'm on the wrong side and don't go by the descriptions from others because we're all back yard centric around here! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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