Ji Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 The storm is there on the euro with the CAD set up increasing on each run. I figure I'd start this thread because in life I have a ton of good luck to offer. Maybe it will rub off on us if I start a thread. Feel free to discuss, as the storm is only 96 hours from start assuming it occurs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Storm cancel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bari Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 no no no no NO NONO NONO NO NO NOOOOOOOOOOO! lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KAOS Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Really!?!? I feel like I have had my fill of fail and the fail has only just begun. Ji doesn't need to cancel winter. I am cancelling my own winter and moving to florida where I won't have to "enjoy" the never-ending failures that occur here on a regular basis. If it isn't going to snow...I might as well be warm! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 I'm in. 0.8"+ at DCA or bust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 I'm in. 0.8"+ at DCA or bust. lol, my goal is 0.7" Might be doable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 I am expecting rain... I am setting my goals at a flake... tired of being disappointed once again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 I'm in. 0.8"+ at DCA or bust. lol, my goal is 0.7" Might be doable. Dudes, we can pull at least 0.8" from this. Pending the 18z GFS, I'll decide if I'm in or not. Should be a good happy hour run and should get us both to like an inch of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 I am putting 5.3" as my goal, gotta beat this past Sunday. If I get that I will have had more snow during this one week period than I had over the past 3 years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 We're fighting over tenths of an inch. Can't we all just agree on .75"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 lol, my goal is 0.7" Might be doable. I just want climo+ for December now. When we look back that will be a victory regardless of how it happened. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 15"? yes, lets do this again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 I'm with Ian. I don't really care how we get there. They can all be 1" storms. Gives me lots of stuff to track anyways. I do like the puzzle and challenge regardless. Even though I post a lot and toss loads of sarcasm on busts it doesn't really get to me much at all. Maybe for a few minutes. Then I kill a squirrel in the back yard with a slingshot and I start feeling good again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 I'm with Ian. I don't really care how we get there. They can all be 1" storms. Gives me lots of stuff to track anyways. I do like the puzzle and challenge regardless. Even though I post a lot and toss loads of sarcasm on busts it doesn't really get to me much at all. Maybe for a few minutes. Then I kill a squirrel in the back yard with a slingshot and I start feeling good again. Well, just to be clear.. I hate that we "underperformed" today. I won't deny that. 3" was my benchmark and I'd lie at 2" (as per text to Randy/Matt )... But, at this point what the heck. Compared to the last few winters it's nice to already be tallying up some numbers at this point. We have to take our victories where we can. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grothar of Herndon Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 I'm with Ian. I don't really care how we get there. They can all be 1" storms. Gives me lots of stuff to track anyways. I do like the puzzle and challenge regardless. Even though I post a lot and toss loads of sarcasm on busts it doesn't really get to me much at all. Maybe for a few minutes. Then I kill a squirrel in the back yard with a slingshot and I start feeling good again. This year still so much better than last year. I know lots of people are disappointed with today event, but better to have a chance at snow than no chance at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Does the EURO even have any support from the other models on this supposed storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 10, 2013 Author Share Posted December 10, 2013 I'm with Ian. I don't really care how we get there. They can all be 1" storms. Gives me lots of stuff to track anyways. I do like the puzzle and challenge regardless. Even though I post a lot and toss loads of sarcasm on busts it doesn't really get to me much at all. Maybe for a few minutes. Then I kill a squirrel in the back yard with a slingshot and I start feeling good again. this storm turned wintier in a hurry....yesterday at best it was a mix with no snow...now its mostly snow N and W Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Does the EURO even have any support from the other models on this supposed storm? Euro needs no support. What, you won't rest easy until the UKMET and GGEM are on-board? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Well, just to be clear.. I hate that we "underperformed" today. I won't deny that. 3" was my benchmark and I'd lie at 2" (as per text to Randy/Matt )... But, at this point what the heck. Compared to the last few winters it's nice to already be tallying up some numbers at this point. We have to take our victories where we can. At least there are events to track and they seem to be wet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Models are cruel. They should at least give us 24 hours to grieve before sucking us back in again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bari Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Does the EURO even have any support from the other models on this supposed storm? The ECMWF has a 996mb low off the NJ coast at 120 hr (sorry for some reason I can't post images... if you tell me how, i'll post) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Euro needs no support. What, you won't rest easy until the UKMET and GGEM are on-board? actually, the GGEM isn't that far off from the Euro, so you know the Euro is probably on to something Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 this storm turned wintier in a hurry....yesterday at best it was a mix with no snow...now its mostly snow N and W Does everybody know your snowmap includes snowfall from today that didn't fall? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Does the EURO even have any support from the other models on this supposed storm? The GGEM has it - sort of looks like a Miller B to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Euro needs no support. What, you won't rest easy until the UKMET and GGEM are on-board? I am just frustrated and don't feel like being drawn in again to a event that won't happen most likely. Granted the Euro may be right again... who knows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bari Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 The GGEM has it - sort of looks like a Miller B to me. I don't have access to the GGEM, but from what I can see there is some agreement with some sort of Miller B type set up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 this storm turned wintier in a hurry....yesterday at best it was a mix with no snow...now its mostly snow N and W I see folks biting in the thread here. I know the long timers know what to expect but it's worth pointing some stuff out for someone who looks at panels and gets excited. Primary low into OH means we lose 850's at some point. Maybe a front end thump to dryslot. That would be great imo. But unless that low jumps further south or the primary dies super quick (models show it hanging on and even if they didn't the primary ALWAYS hangs on longer than we'd like it too). Once the jump happens we are usually at the losing end because of latitude. We have to wait and wait and wait as the column "gets right" again and typically by the time it gets just right we are watching all the precip pulling away from philly and SNE getting destroyed beyond recognition. If there is anything to watch on models it's how strong and where the primary dies. Then subtract a few mb's and move it 50-100 miles north. If it's showing the low dying in kentucky and reforming off the va capes then I might be interested in something after the front end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 I see folks biting in the thread here. I know the long timers know what to expect but it's worth pointing some stuff out for someone who looks at panels and gets excited. Primary low into OH means we lose 850's at some point. Maybe a front end thump to dryslot. That would be great imo. But unless that low jumps further south or the primary dies super quick (models show it hanging on and even if they didn't the primary ALWAYS hangs on longer than we'd like it too). Once the jump happens we are usually at the losing end because of latitude. We have to wait and wait and wait as the column "gets right" again and typically by the time it gets just right we are watching all the precip pulling away from philly and SNE getting destroyed beyond recognition. If there is anything to watch on models it's how strong and where the primary dies. Then subtract a few mb's and move it 50-100 miles north. If it's showing the low dying in kentucky and reforming off the va capes then I might be interested in something after the front end. Bob many of the posters here are most likely interested in the decent front end precip the Euro brings in in the first place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nflwxman Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 I am just frustrated and don't feel like being drawn in again to a event that won't happen most likely. Granted the Euro may be right again... who knows I've always felt that around hour 84-148 or so is when the Euro seems to verify the highest relative to the other models. It's kind of it's wheelhouse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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