Carvers Gap Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 Some ice pellets fell this AM. Not a great trajectory for the northern valley. Still, it is early December and the is the fourth time I have had frozen stuff falling from the sky this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 Both the 12z and 18z GFS want to put down an inch of snow in east TN Friday night. We might have us another marginal event to track! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John1122 Posted December 11, 2013 Author Share Posted December 11, 2013 I ended up with about 1/4th inch of snow over a light glaze of ice. A few people actually ran across some slick spots on the roads from it this morning as they were taking their kids to school. Most of the county was mainly just wet. I just can't trust any of the models this year in these marginal situations like the potential one Friday night. They cool the column too quickly and end up showing more snow than actually happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 I hear you John. I love the over-acheivers like the quick hitting mid January storm of 2011. That one was modeled to move across the state as a snow to rain situation, and it was, until it hit the plateau. I was sitting in my office at UT around 3pm watching the heavy wet flakes start, expecting it to switch to rain any minute like the short range models showed. It never did and I drove home in some of the heaviest, whiteout, 35-40 dbz snow that I've ever seen. Slid home on a prayer and ended up with 3-4 inches and a huge snowman to show for it. Modeling is often off base and occasionally those fun surprises can happen in marginal setups. I hope to see another like that this season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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