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Dec 10 Morning Crusher (obs/nowcasting)


yoda

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radar looks pretty good to me though i haven't necessarily followed the exact progression of what we're expecting from that area. 

 

post-1615-0-95503300-1386653272_thumb.gi

 

sorta get the sense that that "dry zone" on wv is about where it will track up behind and it keeps pushing east. 

 

post-1615-0-63153500-1386653261_thumb.jp

 

all systems go.. till we wake up to marginal temps and a spotty radar at least. :P

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This thing's gonna explode.

Our general area is in a really good spot overall. The dynamics all come together kinda perfectly. It's not a big system. It's just got some punch. You don't squeeze out .5 precip all snow in 6 hours very often.

I keep thinking in the back of my head that there is some enhancement from weak lp forming just off the coast. It's probably weenie blindness thinking but tssn is not impossible

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Upgrade time

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGENATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC219 AM EST TUE DEC 10 2013MDZ004-005-VAZ027-030-031-050-101530-/O.UPG.KLWX.WW.Y.0035.131210T0800Z-131210T1900Z//O.EXA.KLWX.WS.W.0011.131210T0800Z-131210T1900Z/FREDERICK MD-CARROLL-SHENANDOAH-WARREN-CLARKE-ORANGE-INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FREDERICK...WESTMINSTER...FRONT ROYAL219 AM EST TUE DEC 10 2013...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON HASISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL2 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGERIN EFFECT.* PRECIPITATION TYPE...SNOW...HEAVY AT TIMES.* ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 6 INCHES.* TIMING...BY DAWN IN VIRGINIA...AND A LITTLE AFTER SUNRISE IN  NORTHERN MARYLAND.* TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOWER 30S.* WINDS...NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.* IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FROM HEAVY  SNOW. THE SNOW WILL IMPACT THE MORNING RUSH TUESDAY WITH THE  POTENTIAL FOR ACCUMULATION RATES OF 1-2 INCHES PER HOUR.

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URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGENATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC219 AM EST TUE DEC 10 2013VAZ036-037-101530-/O.UPG.KLWX.WW.Y.0035.000000T0000Z-131210T1900Z//O.EXA.KLWX.WS.W.0011.131210T0800Z-131210T1900Z/NELSON-ALBEMARLE-INCLUDING THE CITY OF...CHARLOTTESVILLE219 AM EST TUE DEC 10 2013...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON HASISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER INEFFECT.* PRECIPITATION TYPE...SNOW...HEAVY AT TIMES...PERHAPS MIXED WITH  SLEET AT ONSET.* ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 6 INCHES.* TIMING...PRECIPITATION WILL BEGIN BEFORE SUNRISE...AND CHANGE TO  ALL SNOW DURING THE MORNING COMMUTE. SNOW WILL END BY EARLY  AFTERNOON.
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URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC

219 AM EST TUE DEC 10 2013

DCZ001-MDZ006-007-009>011-013-014-VAZ025-026-029-038>040-042-

051>054-501-502-101530-

/O.CON.KLWX.WS.W.0011.131210T0800Z-131210T1900Z/

DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA-NORTHERN BALTIMORE-HARFORD-MONTGOMERY-HOWARD-

SOUTHERN BALTIMORE-PRINCE GEORGES-ANNE ARUNDEL-AUGUSTA-ROCKINGHAM-

PAGE-GREENE-MADISON-RAPPAHANNOCK-LOUDOUN-CULPEPER-

PRINCE WILLIAM/MANASSAS/MANASSAS PARK-FAIRFAX-

ARLINGTON/FALLS CHURCH/ALEXANDRIA-NORTHERN FAUQUIER-

SOUTHERN FAUQUIER-

INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WASHINGTON...GAITHERSBURG...COLUMBIA...

BALTIMORE...ANNAPOLIS...STAUNTON...WAYNESBORO...HARRISONBURG...

LEESBURG...CULPEPER...MANASSAS...MANASSAS PARK...FAIRFAX...

ALEXANDRIA...FALLS CHURCH...WARRENTON

219 AM EST TUE DEC 10 2013

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 PM EST THIS

AFTERNOON...

* PRECIPITATION TYPE...SNOW...HEAVY AT TIMES...PERHAPS MIXED WITH

SLEET AT ONSET.

* ACCUMULATIONS...4 TO 6 INCHES.

* TIMING...STARTING AROUND DAYBREAK...AND ENDING BY EARLY

AFTERNOON.

* TEMPERATURES...IN THE LOWER 30S.

* WINDS...NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.

* IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FROM SNOW.

ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL IMPACT THE MORNING RUSH TUESDAY.

SNOWFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR ARE POSSIBLE BETWEEN

7 AND 11 AM.

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