snowfan Posted August 14, 2014 Share Posted August 14, 2014 The ULL only sucked for some. It was awesome imby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hosj III Posted August 15, 2014 Share Posted August 15, 2014 That storm no longer exists in my mind. I paid to have it removed permanently. Where can I go for that? How much do they charge? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hosj III Posted August 15, 2014 Share Posted August 15, 2014 The ULL only sucked for some. It was awesome imby. Sucked here. The RGEM still owes me 8-10" of awesome ULL snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hosj III Posted August 15, 2014 Share Posted August 15, 2014 http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/39585-the-march-6-storm-the-last-great-white-hope-part-ii/page-32 Pages 41-42... LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted August 15, 2014 Share Posted August 15, 2014 We do heartbreak well here.Hey, at least we fail with style. I can't say the same for our northern friends lol. I guess we're use to it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted August 15, 2014 Share Posted August 15, 2014 One thing I distinctly remember about the ULL was watching the changeover from drizzle to sleet to big fatty's on radar via correlation coefficient. Look at radar and see the line pass, look outside and see no more rain. After a period of sleet/snow mix it just ripped for a few hours. Took me over 2 hours to make a 30 mile round trip to pick up the wife from work. I know many people poo poo that storm because of the day time melt, but the bookend ripping snow was enough for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlaskaETC Posted August 15, 2014 Share Posted August 15, 2014 I can't remember if it was the March 7th storm or the St. Patrick's Day storm where Zwyts went wild and slapped me around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted August 15, 2014 Share Posted August 15, 2014 Parr's Ridge does not. 10dec2013.JPG nice gloating! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted August 15, 2014 Share Posted August 15, 2014 That storm no longer exists in my mind. I paid to have it removed permanently. I actually almost literally forgot about a lot of those great runs leading up to it and just how great it seemed even 5 hours before the storm. I don't blame anyone who's still bitter about March 2013... it was a gut-wrenching bust... especially for a lot of you who at that point hadn't seen a 2-3" snowfall since Jan 2011. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hosj III Posted August 15, 2014 Share Posted August 15, 2014 I actually almost literally forgot about a lot of those great runs leading up to it and just how great it seemed even 5 hours before the storm. I don't blame anyone who's still bitter about March 2013... it was a gut-wrenching bust... especially for a lot of you who at that point hadn't seen a 2-3" snowfall since Jan 2011. It was amazing how every pornographic run was just flat out wrong. We were supposed to get 6-8" front end followed by CCB destruction all the next day. Nothing could be further from the reality. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted August 15, 2014 Share Posted August 15, 2014 March 2013 was an excellent lesson if nothing else. We knew damn well how tight temps were going in. It was ripe for a bust. We we're hoping for everything to all come together perfectly (it could have) but it didn't. We had zero cold air source to work with. It was all in-situ. I learned a great lesson. Numerical models weren't far off. Just a tad too cold and it was way marginal. I think the fact that SO many runs showed a good shot of snow that we dismissed the inherent flaw too much. I was way guilty of it. What happened the next day was a more classic bust of things not developing as expected. As the low went nuts down near Ric it drifted a little se before making the turn. All of the good lift and dynamics were robbed up here. The euro was the only model that showed a couple runs leading in with the se drift but we dismissed them because it's not really common for a bombing low to do that. oops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted August 16, 2014 Share Posted August 16, 2014 March 2013 was an excellent lesson if nothing else. We knew damn well how tight temps were going in. It was ripe for a bust. We we're hoping for everything to all come together perfectly (it could have) but it didn't. We had zero cold air source to work with. It was all in-situ. I learned a great lesson. Numerical models weren't far off. Just a tad too cold and it was way marginal. I think the fact that SO many runs showed a good shot of snow that we dismissed the inherent flaw too much. I was way guilty of it. What happened the next day was a more classic bust of things not developing as expected. As the low went nuts down near Ric it drifted a little se before making the turn. All of the good lift and dynamics were robbed up here. The euro was the only model that showed a couple runs leading in with the se drift but we dismissed them because it's not really common for a bombing low to do that. oops. That Storm sucked even where it snowed. 11.5" here, 4" by 2 pm and it sounded like Niagara Falls Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kay Posted August 16, 2014 Share Posted August 16, 2014 The euro was the only model that showed a couple runs leading in with the se drift but we dismissed them because it's not really common for a bombing low to do that. oops. Oh man....right. Bringing the pain back vividly. I'm not going to discuss the Morning Soul Crusher. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hosj III Posted August 16, 2014 Share Posted August 16, 2014 March 2013 was an excellent lesson if nothing else. We knew damn well how tight temps were going in. It was ripe for a bust. We we're hoping for everything to all come together perfectly (it could have) but it didn't. We had zero cold air source to work with. It was all in-situ. I learned a great lesson. Numerical models weren't far off. Just a tad too cold and it was way marginal. I think the fact that SO many runs showed a good shot of snow that we dismissed the inherent flaw too much. I was way guilty of it. What happened the next day was a more classic bust of things not developing as expected. As the low went nuts down near Ric it drifted a little se before making the turn. All of the good lift and dynamics were robbed up here. The euro was the only model that showed a couple runs leading in with the se drift but we dismissed them because it's not really common for a bombing low to do that. oops. What do we do in the future? Ignore model consensus for big snow? That same inherent flaw worked out fine in Jan 2011. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted August 16, 2014 Share Posted August 16, 2014 What do we do in the future? Ignore model consensus for big snow? That same inherent flaw worked out fine in Jan 2011.March is a bad month to hedge marginal success. That's the big lesson. January is the best month. Switch the setups and the results would have been less snow in 11 and more rain in 13.Mar 2014 will skew expectations going forward if more threats come this season. We really suck at March snow on the means. I'm only hedging March success when a pv on roids is basically parked on us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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