H2O Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Those that took the under for DCA are winners again...but that is usually the case Hilarious!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 The bust potential for this event became clear to me when NWS at LWX changed most areas from WWA to WSW. That usually spells doom. LWX does it again. I like it much better when they are calling for 1-2 " and I already have 6 inches on the ground. MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 If it were 29 degrees we would have like 2-3 inches in DC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 It now seems more and more than small- to medium events (1-3) (4-6) just don't work out in DC anymore. Seems you need a dynamic coastal beast with every single factor stacked in your favor to get anything more than a coating. One thing not in place and DC gets nothing. The forecasters around here need to seriously ask themselves why DC proper gets so little snow. I blame temps for this one. Couple degrees makes all the difference around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cigrgd Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 33/33 Light snow. 1.8 inches. Road is just wet now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ACFD FIREMAN Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Rippin in Arlington...bout an inch. Radar looks to be trying to establish some sort of banding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adelphi_sky Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 What sucks for me is that I telecommute 100%. So if we get 2', I don't have an excuse. Sent from my SPH-D710VMUB using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Best snow of the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skywalker03 Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Still snowing decently in Derwood... been consistent for about 2 hours. We're somewhere between 1-2 inches. I'll go out an measure and take pics soon. Not a total bust IMBY but still can't help feeling disappointed.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hosj III Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 atmospheric science I know you hate weenies here, but you could at least try to help us out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Look on the bright side, most everyone will be at or above normal to date after this is done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Mike Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Best snowfall of the day happening now in Annandale. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Look on the bright side, most everyone will be at or above normal to date after this is done. Possibly above last year too. Radar does appear to back-building slightly, but that back edge looks deadly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blueapple Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 How soon, if at all, before they downgrade the WSW to a WWA? Don't think they will. Some areas out west are reporting over 5". But for the locations closer to DC, even thought warning criteria may not be met, still dangerous to go out there and walk/drive in many spots. Since the NWS mission is public safety, reducing when rates are heavy may have people think it's ok to go out. Besides, will probably drop everything in the next few hours, might as well just clear the whole CWA at noon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hosj III Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Anything close to a "superband" went through southern DC. Kinda a shame it was too warm to take advantage of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JMU2004 Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Nothing but rain in Goochland. Not a flake....so much for our 2-3 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gymengineer Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Still snowing decently in Derwood... been consistent for about 2 hours. We're somewhere between 1-2 inches. I'll go out an measure and take pics soon. Not a total bust IMBY but still can't help feeling disappointed.... We're in the suburbs where it's sticking fine. It's still going to snow for a couple of hours at least... Why assume your total now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 This ain't over people.. read the LWX discussion for christ sakes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxMan1 Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 "WHILE MAX LIFT NOT EXACTLY IN DENTRITIC GROWTH ZONE..." This was my concern all along, again, especially south and east of the district. The soundings generally don't lie when there's good model consensus with the thermal, lift, and moisture profiles within the short term. I thought the heavier bands would be north again, though this time around maybe not as far north as I70. Anyway, it's awfully tough to get even a 10-1 ratio with .40 liquid when you're above freezing in the sfc layer while at the same time your best lift is below the -12 to -18 layer during much of the event. AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 810 AM EST TUE DEC 10 2013 .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/... -- Changed Discussion -- ...UPDATE TO DOWNGRADE THE WINTER STORM WARNING TO AN ADVISORY FOR THE CENTRAL SHENANDOAH VALLEY INTO CENTRAL VIRGINIA. ELSEWHERE...THE WINTER WEATHER HEADLINES HAVE NOT CHANGED. THE HEAVIEST IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR AND EAST OF THE BLUE RIDGE MOUNTAINS DURING THE MID TO LATE MORNING HOURS. THE PREVIOUS DISCUSSION FOLLOWS... LTST SFC ANALY DEPICT LOPRES IN WRN VA/NC. LOW A SFC REFLECTION OF VORTMAX/RRQ OF 180 KT UPR JET. ASSOCD PCPN HAS RAPIDLY BEEN FILLING IN ACRS THE OH/TN VLYS...AND IS ON THE WRN DOORSTEP ATTM. GDNC IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT THIS WL BE TRACKING ACRS CWFA...PRIMARILY BTWN 12-18 UTC. THE ARRIVAL OF THIS PCPN WL PROVIDE ENUF MIXING TO ERODE FOG CURRENTLY IN PLACE. A STRIP OF DENSE FOG RESIDES FM CHO-IAD. TRENDS SINCE 04Z INDICATE A SLOW IMPRVMNT HAS BEGUN...AND HV ALLWD DENSE FOG ADVY TO EXPIRE AT 08Z. AFTER THAT...VSBY STILL WONT BE GREAT...AS FOG RESTRICTIONS WL BE REPLACED W/ SNOW RESTRICTIONS. THE FEATURES RESPONSIBLE FOR THE SNOW LOOK TO BE PROGRESSIVE. BUT...LIFT VIGOROUS AND H7-5 F-VECTORS DO POINT TO MESOSCALE BANDING. WHILE MAX LIFT NOT EXACTLY IN DENTRITIC GROWTH ZONE...A THIRD TO HALF INCH LIQ QPF SUGGESTS THAT WRNG CRITERIA THREATENED. CANNOT PLACE EXACTLY WHERE THE BANDS WL SET UP /LTST HRRR AND WRF RUNS SUGGEST CHO-DCA-MTN/...FEEL FAIRLY CONFIDENT THAT LCLLY HIER AMTS PSBL. GFS SUGGESTS THAT THE BAND MAY BE NW OF CURRENT 3-6 INCH FCST STRIPE. CONFIDENCE DIMINISHES TWD EZF AND SRN MD DUE TO LOWER SNW RATIOS AND MDL SNDGS SUGGESTING PL WL MIX IN. BOTH OF THESE FACTORS WL REDUCE SNW TTLS. IN LIGHT OF 00Z GDNC...POTL FOR HIER TTLS...AND NOT CERTAIN BANDS WL BE W/IN PREVIOUS WRNG AREA...HV OPTED TO WIDEN WRNG AREA TO INCL LUA-FDK ON THE NW AND CHO- OMH ON THE SE. TIME FRAME NOT EXTENDED AS GDNC STILL PRETTY INSISTENT THAT SNOW SHUD BE ENDING BY 18Z. MAY EVEN SEE BRIGHTENING SKIES BEFORE SUNSET. ONCE SNOW STARTS...TEMPS CHGG LTL...AND FCST MAXT REFLECTS THAT. -- End Changed Discussion -- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blueapple Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 To think what 7am to 8am would have been if it were a bit colder and we were getting the rates we are getting now. Biggest flakes of the day here near Shirlington. Everything coated, but some grass blades still peaking through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 30* and snow here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Looks like a little over 2 inches here in Purcellville. I have been sick so missed the heavier stuff that must have been falling earlier so I could sleep. Just light snow now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 This ain't over people.. read the LWX discussion for christ sakes That's been up for hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
esullivan Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Maybe temp dropped with this band - snow sticking to Nebraska Ave. it's coming down at a pretty good clip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 I know you hate weenies here, but you could at least try to help us out. It was a rearview change. Bigger totals verified out west than expected so they upgraded. They basically said "wow, 3-5" already in winchester/frederick. Better expand the warning" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 To think what 7am to 8am would have been if it were a bit colder and we were getting the rates we are getting now. Biggest flakes of the day here near Shirlington. Everything coated, but some grass blades still peaking through. Looks really pretty in Fairlington. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 32 degrees with pingers and some light snow. Half an inch. I'm happy with whatever snow I can get. My expectation was 1 to 2 inches. Hoping for a changeover to all snow soon. If not, congrats are in order for whoever got demolished, and the 2nd wave was entertaining to track Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 measured at 9am. went from 1.25 to 1.75 in an hour. Temps definitely hurt. It's a wet snow. Prob would be closer to 2.5 if my temp was around 30 or so. I'm above freezing now @ 32.5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 That's been up for hours. Trouble reading? 8:10am isn't "hours" ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 eyeballing it, i have close to, if not, 1.5" and it's still snowing nicely I am fortunate in light of other areas not too far away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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