Stebo Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Lol this potential is unraveling faster than the last one. 18z GFS continues the unphased/weaker look, weakest run yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Lol this potential is unraveling faster than the last one. 18z GFS continues the unphased/weaker look, weakest run yet. yep, was 3rd and long and we just got called for holding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 yep, was 3rd and long and we just got called for holding. In Chicago sure, over here we still manage 4-7" due to duration and ratios. It will be harder to dry this one up for those in SE MI/S ON. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 In Chicago sure, over here we still manage 2-4" due to duration and ratios. It will be harder to dry this one up for those in SE MI/S ON. agree Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 I could see this end up being a decent moderate event when all said and done. Not been a season for widespread biggies so far. as is almost always the case in early Dec. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Too early to be comfortable with a range but I think we'll get over 3", hopefully substantially more. Ratios not likely going to be outstanding around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxman1952 Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 I'm not going to complain, not yet anyway. All I have to do is think back this time last year lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 10, 2013 Author Share Posted December 10, 2013 I could see this end up being a decent moderate event when all said and done. Agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 Just to clarify my mention of the system unraveling, was more of a correlation to the potential it could have had. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 Just to clarify my mention of the system unraveling, was more of a correlation to the potential it could have had.This isn't set in stone yet. The models could easily come back to a more phased solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 This isn't set in stone yet. The models could easily come back to a more phased solution. Obviously, but the trend is unfortunately in the other direction. Like I said though for GRR to DTW to YYZ it will be harder to miss a moderate snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 not sure what joe's definition of moderate event is but he seems rather optimistic on this turd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 not sure what joe's definition of moderate event is but he seems rather optimistic on this turd you're gonna pull out the tp already? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAFF Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 Even the GFS is showing some warmth in the long term, with lots of potentially snowy systems. I think the next clipper is key to forecasting the stronger storm. If Wed overachieves then we are more than likely looking at another overachiever in the works. All in all the pattern looks better than anything in a long time. Happy shoveling!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 The weather channel has got us covered..forecast is out! "SatDec 14 28° 21° Snow Potential for some snow accumulation CHANCE OF SNOW: 70% WIND: ENE at 9 mph SNOWFALL <1 in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 lol, Ajdos Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 not sure what joe's definition of moderate event is but he seems rather optimistic on this turd http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/41851-winter-1314-bantercomplaint-thread-part-1/page-9#entry2524841 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 11, 2013 Author Share Posted December 11, 2013 not sure what joe's definition of moderate event is but he seems rather optimistic on this turd 1-3" is light, 3-6" is moderate, 6"+ is heavy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 1-3" is light, 3-6" is moderate, 6"+ is heavy. Yep and I agree that Chicago has a moderate snowfall potential with this one, with moderate to heavy east and northeast of there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 It will be interesting to see what happens when the southern wave is fully sampled, probably with the 12z runs on Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 Obviously, but the trend is unfortunately in the other direction. Like I said though for GRR to DTW to YYZ it will be harder to miss a moderate snowstorm. I'm hoping for at least a 4" snowfall in Toronto. Have to temper my hopes and be more realistic. The chances of Toronto getting a 12" snowstorm two winters in a row are not very high! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 I'm hoping for at least a 4" snowfall in Toronto. Have to temper my hopes and be more realistic. The chances of Toronto getting a 12" snowstorm two winters in a row are not very high! Toronto has the lake effect wild card though, so I wouldn't completely rule it out, plus if this phases sooner the chases of a larger snowfall goes up substantially for YYZ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 I'm hoping for at least a 4" snowfall in Toronto. Have to temper my hopes and be more realistic. The chances of Toronto getting a 12" snowstorm two winters in a row is virtually impossible! fyp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 fyp whats fyp? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 whats fyp? "fixed your post" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 whats fyp? fixed your post Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 GFS doesn't look spectacularly different through 90. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 00z not any less lame Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 fixed your post thx! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 00z NAM actually has us flirting with freezing while it's snowing early Saturday morning. It seems strange to me given lack of any real WAA and time of day, but even if legit it's not a real concern with the cold temps in the days leading up to this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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