janetjanet998 Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 snow has switched to FZ in SPI and plain rain at Quincy(33f) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LizardMafia Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 Just started light snowing.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 Thinking MKE may get thier pants pulled down on Lake Effect. Understood its early in the game, but call was things would be ramping up about 6 pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 Thinking MKE may get thier pants pulled down on Lake Effect. Understood its early in the game, but call was things would be ramping up about 6 pm. obvious Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blue60007 Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 Light snow started here a few minutes ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
janetjanet998 Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 0600 PM SNOW 2 NE COLUSA 40.59N 91.14W 12/13/2013 M3.0 INCH HANCOCK IL TRAINED SPOTTER SNOW SO FAR. SNOW ACCUMULATION IS RATHER WET THUS FAR Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 Models didn't really have things increasing around MKE until later this evening so the bust calls might be premature. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
*IndyMeso* Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 Holy snow Batman. Went inside Chick-fil-a and had just started snowing. 5 minutes later went outside and my car was covered. Good wet snow too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 Any snow falling up there GEOS? Was some flurries flying near Kenosha on the way home. Atmosphere feels humid compared to earlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baum Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 Models didn't really have things increasing around MKE until later this evening so the bust calls might be premature. "OVER THE LAKE...AND PUSH INLAND BY EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON. THE LATE AFTERNOON RUSH HOUR SHOULD PROBABLY BE OKAY...WITH JUST SOME INITIAL LIGHT SNOW. BY 6 PM...WE SHOULD SEE THE SNOWS BEGIN TO INCREASE IN INTENSITY FAIRLY RAPIDLY...WITH THINGS GOING STRONG THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING. " And yes it's too early to say bust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 Was some flurries flying near Kenosha on the way home. Atmosphere feels humid compared to earlier. nice.....thanks....and good luck tonight! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sidewinder Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 Moderate snow here. Just about halfway through first wave though, if it keeps up the pace I could see us getting just under a couple inches. Would be nice to see this dry area fill in but doesn't appear to be in the cards until later tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 nice.....thanks....and good luck tonight! Thanks. At 1.5° tilt you can see that snow forming up this way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 Moistened very quickly here...went from 33/19 last hour to 29/28 now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof96 Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 When comparing the last frame of the HRRR to the NAM WRF, the flow seems to be aligned in more of an easterly direction as opposed to NE which causes the band to shift north faster. Southwest burbs getting hit pretty hard by 8am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
navchi21 Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 Looks like northward progression of the precipitation shield has slowed/stopped. Wondering if the recent trends for slightly higher totals in Chicago may bust. Oh by the way, first time poster and long time follower. Can't wait to see what the rest of the year has in store. Thanks for all the info and fun thus far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 "OVER THE LAKE...AND PUSH INLAND BY EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON. THE LATE AFTERNOON RUSH HOUR SHOULD PROBABLY BE OKAY...WITH JUST SOME INITIAL LIGHT SNOW. BY 6 PM...WE SHOULD SEE THE SNOWS BEGIN TO INCREASE IN INTENSITY FAIRLY RAPIDLY...WITH THINGS GOING STRONG THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING. " And yes it's too early to say bust. Maybe they thought it would ramp up quicker but models verbatim didn't really increase the intensity more substantially until a bit later. In any case, the signal for enhancement has been very consistent but it'll be more of a red flag if it doesn't get going within the next few hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 Maybe they thought it would ramp up quicker but models verbatim didn't really increase the intensity more substantially until a bit later. In any case, the signal for enhancement has been very consistent but it'll be more of a red flag if it doesn't get going within the next few hours. I thought the signal has been pretty lackluster all day, especially on hi-res models like the NNM which I would expect to be bullish. The upgrade to a warning was a surprise to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 I thought the signal has been pretty lackluster all day, especially on hi-res models like the NNM which I would expect to be bullish. The upgrade to a warning was a surprise to me. NMM has a pocket of .5 liquid over there, but I see what you're saying as sim radar doesn't look that good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 watching the returns move northward towards Chicagoland is painful. I said it last night....I just don't see much happening here. The precip is moving more to the east than to the north. And the northern fringe is being eaten away as it tries to go north of I-80. So close, yet so far on this one... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blue60007 Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 Flake size has dropped off somewhat at the moment. Picked up 0.5" in the past hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 NMM has a pocket of .5 liquid over there, but I see what you're saying as sim radar doesn't look that good. I wonder if the recent extreme cold spell knocked lake temps down enough to make this already marginal thermal setup even worse. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 Extrapolating radar, I think it's gonna be a few hours before snow gets into most of Chicago. Maybe as early as 9 PM far southern parts of the city and more like 11 PM or later far north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 Extrapolating radar, I think it's gonna be a few hours before snow gets into most of Chicago. Maybe as early as 9 PM far southern parts of the city and more like 11 PM or later far north. I wasn't expecting it to start until after midnight so that sounds about right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 That oncoming first wave is quite the snow producer west of Peoria. NWUS53 KDVN 140138LSRDVNPRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORTNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL738 PM CST FRI DEC 13 2013..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON.....DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.... ..REMARKS..0738 PM SNOW NE GOOD HOPE 40.56N 90.67W12/13/2013 M4.0 INCH MCDONOUGH IL TRAINED SPOTTER STILL SNOWING Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 0z RAP coming in stronger than 21z run. 1010mb low of Nashville compared to 1012mb on the 21z run at 15z tomorrow with more of a defo band look to it from eastern IL to nw IN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 watching the returns move northward towards Chicagoland is painful. I said it last night....I just don't see much happening here. The precip is moving more to the east than to the north. And the northern fringe is being eaten away as it tries to go north of I-80. So close, yet so far on this one...This has been my thinking all day and I gotta agree. I think the GFS is about to pull a fast one on all of the other models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 RAP has been stubbornly bringing the LP up through KY...now has it dropping to 1008 in central KY @ 18Z 14DEC with light QPF still over the eastern half of IL...FWIW EDIT: or, what thundersnow just said Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 nice Cook county gradient on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 fun now-cast for such a minor system...still think my 1.something call will end up low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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