mimillman Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 As modeled, these are my favorite non-monster bomb events...being on the northern fringe with a prolonged NE flow has a good track record around these parts. Don't think I've ever seen you so positive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowstorms Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Might wanna go back and look at the maps from 1999. The upper level setup as depicted now looks nothing like that. Oh my bad, i see what you mean. It is a different set-up, my apologizes. I got it mixed it up. I believe it has some similarities to this other storm but I cant pinpoint the date. Cause when i saw the upper air plots it reminded me of something.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Don't think I've ever seen you so positive. Don't forget that he punted December just a few days ago. People call me a flip-flopper (which is true during the course of a storm), but I don't think I've seen a 180 in overall attitude quicker than this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Don't forget that he punted December just a few days ago. People call me a flip-flopper (which is true during the course of a storm), but I don't think I've seen a 180 in overall attitude quicker than this. To be fair, the long range models took a damn quick flip flop as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 yeah, I agree, it looks like January 1918 instead(yes, I am kidding) haha, that is the poster child for crazy winter weather. The bitter cold air with that (down around -20F here within hours of the snow ending) is probably as impressive as the snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Don't think I've ever seen you so positive. you haven't been around long enough Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 To be fair, the long range models took a damn quick flip flop as well. They never looked as awful as people made them out to be. At least, if you looked at ensemble trends. I never look solely at OP runs for medium or long range prospects anymore. Ensembles give a clearer picture of the myriad possibilities. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 18z gfs only if..... Lock it in lol Where do I sign up for this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 ^ Man that'd be a huge hit for a lot of members in this sub. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherbo Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 you haven't been around long enough well it's refreshing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Lol Alek's mood swings curing cancer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Lol^ Skilling "interested" in this system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestCoaster Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Where do I sign up for this? I'm in! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 I'm in! This would be a very nice early Christmas gift for a big part of this subforum that has missed out on the big snow action so far this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Central Illinois Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Lol^ Skilling "interested" in this system. Yes Please Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Indystorm Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 ^ Man that'd be a huge hit for a lot of members in this sub. Sure would. Only nuisance snows so far this season IMBY though South Bend did better with lake effect recently. Did have to sweep the sidewalk today however. One can only hope the models are consistent and accurate. I would think the clippers would pull the boundary southward for this next system and perhaps put many of us in the sweet spot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Sure would. Only nuisance snows so far this season IMBY though South Bend did better with lake effect recently. Did have to sweep the sidewalk today however. One can only hope the models are consistent and accurate. I would think the clippers would pull the boundary southward for this next system and perhaps put many of us in the sweet spot. Pulling the boundary southward would not help most of the people who are snow starved right now (ie. SE Michigan, C Illinois, etc.) Now if it stays where it is on the GFS and Euro, those peeps would be happy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Sure would. Only nuisance snows so far this season IMBY though South Bend did better with lake effect recently. Did have to sweep the sidewalk today however. One can only hope the models are consistent and accurate. I would think the clippers would pull the boundary southward for this next system and perhaps put many of us in the sweet spot. That and scrape my windows on the car because of all that darn freezing drizzle. It did make for a very moist and therefor resiliant inch or so of snow that didn't melt during the daylight hours today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAFF Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Ever get the feeling Lucy's holding the ball ??? While excited for the possibilities is still far from actual. I'm calling a C-1. (Coating to a foot) Best thing is I might still bust low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 just got around to checking some ensembles...def an increasing minority brining p-type issues up to Chicago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 just got around to checking some ensembles...def an increasing minority brining p-type issues up to Chicago Like sleet and freezing rain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 00Z GFS continues the cutter-ish to transfer scenario Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 with a 1040 HP coming down outta Canada as well... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 00z isn't on 18z levels...transfers to the coast faster, but its still a solid event. (map includes clipperage) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Unless something changes, going to have trouble getting moisture back into cold air after initial slug of precip. SW-WSW 850s isn't going to cut it advecting moisture back in as system wraps up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Still looking good for S/E Michigan..However this thing has some serious potential... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Looked like prolonged light snow in S Wisconsin for the longest time, has to be a lot of lake effect I would presume? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Would be nice to slow down that coastal transfer. Well, I guess nice is relative to where you are as it would cause issues for folks in the eastern part of the subforum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Boy if we got that southern piece of energy to slow down a day or so, we'd have a BOMB. http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?fhr=120ℑ=data%2Fgfs%2F00%2Fgfs_namer_120_500_vort_ht.gif&model=gfs&area=namer¶m=500_vort_ht&group=Model+Guidance&imageSize=M Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 There's an interesting E-W frontogenetic looking feature draped across the Lakes around 96 hours. Actual depicted QPF on the GFS is not substantial but it's been showing up for several runs and in my experience these things can be sleeper precursor snowfall producers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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