buckeye Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 wow, takes the 0 line almost to CLE. Will have to see what the other mos come up with tonight and whether it's just the NAM being the NAM or it's on to something with this warmer, more northwesterly track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 Got some lake effect/enhancement up this way. 4km NAM following the 12km. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 Ugh, looks like it goes over to rain here in CMH after maybe 3" of snow. But it is the NAM. Also, when have you ever seen that happen with this type of set up here In CMH? I've seen accumulating snow quickly change to rain with a cranked up storm going over us or to the west of us, but not with a WAA event in front of a weak system. I think we are going to either see a front end snow that hangs on for awhile changing to drizzle, or a stronger storm come together and give us primarily rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JayPSU Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 Also, when have you ever seen that happen with this type of set up here In CMH? I've seen accumulating snow quickly change to rain with a cranked up storm going over us or to the west of us, but not with a WAA event in front of a weak system. I think we are going to either see a front end snow that hangs on for awhile changing to drizzle, or a stronger storm come together and give us primarily rain. Exactly. I could see something like we saw last Friday, or a potent storm that nails northern IN. But not a weak frontal wave that changes us over to rain. We'll see though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 FWIW the 00z RGEM looks a lot like the NAM at 48hrs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 .3" liquid up to pretty much all of I-88 on this run. That's a big shift north from the 12z and 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 GFS unusually slow for anyone else? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 Hm GFS lol, messy run... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 00z GFS is showing similar trends as the NAM with the waves in question. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 No major changes through hour 24 at h5 on the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 Hour 54 Hour 60 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted December 12, 2013 Author Share Posted December 12, 2013 0z GFS comes in wetter and a bit north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 NIce low placement....for S/E Michigan..not so wet tho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ottawa Blizzard Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 GFS unusually slow for anyone else? It is slow for me as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 meanwhile ukmet a lot different than nam at 72 hrs. low center over PIT (albeit very weak 1012), and 850 0 line south of OH down thru central KY. Nice hit for OH. Just another solution I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ILSNOW Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 gfs thru 96 hrs http://www.instantweathermaps.com/GFS-php/showmap-conussfc.php?run=2013121200&time=PER&var=ASNOWI&hour=096 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 4km NAM gives eastern Iowa 6-8", while GFS delivers a dusting. Gotta love it lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 Looks like a central Illinois and Indiana special for this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 Watch - the EURO and GGEM follow suit. GGEM running. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 ^Looking like another challenging forecast for DVN and LOT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeye Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 ggem looks good for Ohio. Centered further south along i70. Let the model wars begin Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 3-6" forecast from DTX seems solid in my neck of the woods right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 Hour 42 Hour 54 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 00z GEM misses us to the south, much like the GFS. NAM looks to be all on it's own. Feel bad for the crew at DVN. Good luck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 GGEM a bit further south from 12z. Confirms big win for central Illinois and Indiana. Someone there will see 6"+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 Total water through 96 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ajdos Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 I think CMC has been the most consistent model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxMidwest Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 Anybody bother looking at CIPS analogs? All the analog tracks are North of the current track, past climatology of this system with variables laid down could indicate a shift. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mimillman Posted December 12, 2013 Share Posted December 12, 2013 Looking at all of the models over the past few days... Whatever happens, it's clear that there's going to be an incredibly sharp gradient to the southeast. It could mean the difference between a dusting on the northwest side of Chicago and 3" in Gary. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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