IsentropicLift Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 It's being overlooked a bit because of today and tomorrows event but we could be dealing with another storm this weekend. The 00z ECMWF had a low passing off the Delmarva giving NW areas a quick burst of very heavy snow. The 12z GFS is slower and more of a SW to NE track over NJ giving a quick front end dump and then rain. The 00z GGEM had the low off the Delmarva coast but most of the precip was confined to the city eastward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Surface temps are cold on the gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 As i previously stated this weekend were going to a have a fresh and very cold air mass where if this storm does happen it should be snow for alot of as atleast for a period Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
supermeh Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 GGEM has two waves. 1st is snow for everyone and the second is borderline. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 I'm looking at the GFS and I'm seeing temps around 40 Saturday night when the heaviest precip is falling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 9, 2013 Author Share Posted December 9, 2013 GGEM has two waves. 1st is snow for everyone and the second is borderline. Exciting times ahead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 9, 2013 Author Share Posted December 9, 2013 I'm looking at the GFS and I'm seeing temps around 40 Saturday night when the heaviest precip is falling Yeah the GFS is mostly rain right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 9, 2013 Author Share Posted December 9, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 I shouldnt be doing this for a DAY 6 event , But most of the region is below freezing , the next frame is even colder 2 things , yes the 850`s are above ( this run ) 1 .This is low level cold air and its not be dispalced easily 2 . The model is 6 days out and has to figure out the depth of the PV and what its 500 MB placement is as its spins ENE . I am more concerned about a complete miss than i am about a 40 degree rain storm Like I said 6 days out . I should know better . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 9, 2013 Author Share Posted December 9, 2013 12z GGEM is actually over running, followed by a coastal and switch to rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 9, 2013 Author Share Posted December 9, 2013 is that for the weekend?? No Sorry Wrong thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfsheepsheadbay Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Storm getting its act together in western texas at hour 90. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 9, 2013 Author Share Posted December 9, 2013 12z Euro has lower teens for NYC on Friday at 00z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 9, 2013 Author Share Posted December 9, 2013 Classic setup incoming on the Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 hr 114 has snow moving into western pa…plenty cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Classic setup incoming on the Euro We will no doubt have probably the coldest air mass of the season entrenched in this area so the cold will be very stubborn to be scoured out. Im going to be weary of any solutions that show us going to 40-45 and rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfsheepsheadbay Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Light snow over spreading the entire area at 120 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 9, 2013 Author Share Posted December 9, 2013 Snow breaking out at 12z Saturday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 9, 2013 Author Share Posted December 9, 2013 Looks like a pretty classic miller B setup here. Moderate snow moving in at 18z. The surface looks warm for Long Island but that's not important right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wolfsheepsheadbay Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Turns to rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 9, 2013 Author Share Posted December 9, 2013 Not going to get it done this run. We flip to a cold rain Saturday afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Looks like a pretty classic miller B setup here. Moderate snow moving in at 18z. The surface looks warm for Long Island but that's not important right now. Lol How is it a classic miller B when it goes to rain..lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Looks like a pretty classic miller B setup here. Moderate snow moving in at 18z. The surface looks warm for Long Island but that's not important right now. Im not sure how even the coast can warm quickly with the cold air mass thats going to move in. I know its a ways off and im just making some opinions. Me personally this cold air is going to be hanging tough all the way to the coast the next weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Lol How is it a classic miller B when it goes to rain..lol It's going to be hard to redevelop a coastal storm in time for us to stay snow when there's no or little blocking. The primary low will want to hang on and ride west of the Apps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Tough call right now with this. If the cold air ahead of it is deep enough than we'll see another CAD signature and probably deal with more icing problems. It's tough to get a good snowstorm without blocking in these scenario, but it's way too far out to pinpoint specifics. I'll wait until after tomorrow's event. I think this might be New England's storm and all indications right now are that it will cut inland like last month's storm but probably being a colder system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Looks like a pretty classic miller B setup here. Moderate snow moving in at 18z. The surface looks warm for Long Island but that's not important right now. How can there be a Miller B with no 50/50 or block? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted December 9, 2013 Author Share Posted December 9, 2013 Relax, it looked as if it was going redevelop off the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 The Canadian at 120 is colder , no sense 6 days out worrying about a R/S line , Plenty of Cold air and we have a system . Lets wait a few days to see which model catches the speed between the FRIGID AIR mass leaving and the one arriving . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 The Canadian at 120 is colder , no sense 6 days out worrying about a R/S line , Plenty of Cold air and we have a system . Lets wait a few days to see which model catches the speed between the FRIGID AIR mass leaving and the one arriving . I would think we'd have a better shot at having more frozen precip. Over todays storm regardless with the cold air on tap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 This event needs good timing whereby we get one of the arctic highs out of Canada to be just in the right place where it can keep it from coming north yet be close enough south we get hit otherwise it probably overphases and goes north or gets shunted south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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